Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / KUUSAMO vs LPH · match preview
KUUSAMO vs LPH: CS2 match prediction · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe
KUUSAMO
World #160 · 4-10
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
LPH
World #141 · 10-10
45%55%
The call
LPH are favoured: our model gives them 55% against KUUSAMO. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours LPH, record slightly favours LPH, firepower clearly favours LPH.
Likely mapsNuke · Inferno · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
KUUSAMOpullLPH
Team strength1447
148558/42 LPH
Track record4–10
10–1062/38 LPH
Recent formWLLLW
LLWWL53/47 KUU
Roster rating1.01
1.0881/19 LPH
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 85% our own signal (24 maps of KUUSAMO, 41 of LPH).
Bottom line: LPH to beat KUUSAMO, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
KUUSAMO
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Misa#1282-02-1
KUUSAMO vs Misa
Sep 6WNuke22-18Cache16-14LPH vs Misa
Mar 4WMirage6-13Inferno19-15Nuke16-13Firepower
roster ratingsKUUSAMO · avg 1.01 · top +0.12
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, KUUSAMO vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapKUULPH
AnubisKUU bann/a0g40%2-3
KUUSAMO on Anubis
no recent maps
MirageLPH ban43%3-40%0-2
NukeKUU pick43%3-450%4-4
InfernoLPH pick33%1-271%5-2
Dust2KUU ban0%0-250%4-4
CacheLPH ban50%1-10%0-1
LPH on Cache
L
Noir Verse4–1317d agoAncientdecider0%0-340%4-6
Each team's usual first ban: KUUSAMO Anubis · LPH Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
LPH65%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: LPH 56% toss-up · Inferno: LPH 63% · Ancient: LPH 62%WhyLPH hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesKUUSAMO 35%: 2-1 18%, 2-0 17% · LPH 65%: 2-0 35%, 2-1 30%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
KUUSAMO 35%LPH are the clearer side here: the most likely result is LPH 2-0.65% LPH
Nuke
KUUSAMO44%LPH56%
3-4record4-4
43%win50%
49%CT win57%
48%T win43%
57%pistol63%
88%convert90%
Inferno
KUUSAMO38%LPH62%
1-2record5-2
33%win71%
45%CT win56%
36%T win57%
67%pistol64%
100%convert100%
Ancient
KUUSAMO38%LPH62%
0-3record4-6
0%win40%
40%CT win36%
33%T win54%
17%pistol40%
100%convert86%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
KUUct
KUUt
LPHct
LPHt
KUUpistol
KUUconv
KUUeco
LPHpistol
LPHconv
LPHeco
Nukepool
49%35/71
48%40/83
57%43/75
43%41/96
57%8/14
88%7/8
0%0/6
63%10/16
90%9/10
33%2/6
Infernopool
45%10/22
36%13/36
56%40/71
57%44/77
67%4/6
100%4/4
0%0/2
64%9/14
100%9/9
60%3/5
Ancientpool
40%10/25
33%12/36
36%32/90
54%57/105
17%1/6
100%1/1
40%2/5
40%8/20
86%6/7
8%1/12
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
35%21/60
52%15/29
n/a
n/a
n/a
60%6/10
67%4/6
25%1/4
Mirageban
46%31/67
52%36/69
38%9/24
31%5/16
64%9/14
100%9/9
0%0/5
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
Dust2ban
33%8/24
38%6/16
49%47/96
44%30/68
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
63%10/16
50%5/10
0%0/6
Cacheban
27%6/22
63%15/24
33%4/12
0%0/5
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
LPH wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (92% vs 92%). Lose the pistol → LPH fight back to win the next round more often (26% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
KUUSAMO
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/8 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 3 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs MisaNukefrom 4 downvs MisaCachefrom 4 downvs BOJONGMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/16 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 16 maps they lost, 6 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CSDIILITNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs PCIFICDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs PCIFICCacheled 5 · lost 9-13vs PhantomNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs The Night ClubAncientled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MisaNukefrom 4 down · won 22-18
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CSDIILITNukeled 5 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs SINQUNuke13-16vs MisaNuke22-18vs MisaCache16-14
LPH
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/19 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 7 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs AtreidesInfernofrom 7 downvs The BoysDust2from 6 downvs The BoysNukefrom 6 downvs MisaInfernofrom 3 downvs HonvédAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/22 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 22 maps they lost, 5 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NAVI JuniorInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs mellrenInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs WBTNukeled 4 · lost 13-16vs HEROIC AcademyNukeled 3 · lost 11-13vs M1X KSDust2led 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AtreidesInfernofrom 7 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NAVI JuniorInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs MisaInferno19-15vs MisaNuke16-13vs The BoysDust216-14vs NAVI JuniorAncient16-13vs WBTNuke13-16