Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / NAVI Junior vs Banger Gang · match preview
NAVI Junior vs Banger Gang: CS2 match prediction · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe
NAVI Junior
World #114 · 15-15
VS
2026-09-18 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
Banger Gang
World #– · 5-4
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
60%40%
61%
1.52.36Market · 3 books
39%The call
NAVI Junior are favoured: our model gives them 60% against Banger Gang. Bookmakers lean NAVI Junior at 61%. Firepower slightly favours Banger Gang, head-to-head clearly favours NAVI Junior.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
NAVI JuniorpullBanger Gang
Team strength1507
151551/49 BAN
Track record15–15
5–455/45 BAN
Recent formWWWWLWWWWL50/50
Roster rating1.09
1.0663/37 BAN
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 NAV
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 61% for NAVI Junior (1.5 / 2.36) and we land at 60%, the same read. This read is 84% our own signal (68 maps of NAVI Junior, 23 of Banger Gang). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: NAVI Junior leads 1–0.
Bottom line: NAVI Junior to beat Banger Gang, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsNAVI Junior · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Banger Gang · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
NAVI Junior
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsMap lab
Banger Gang51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Banger Gang 2-1
If the veto goes
NAVI Junior 49%how the series ends51% Banger Gang
25%2-023%
24%2-128%
NAVI Junior60%13-3vsBanger Gang40%2-1
81%Win67%
66%CT54%
49%T44%
59%Pistol50%
89%Conv67%
NAVI Junior42%4-6vsBanger Gang58%4-4
40%Win50%
54%CT55%
49%T49%
35%Pistol63%
71%Conv90%
NAVI Junior47%3-5vsBanger Gang53%1-1
38%Win50%
42%CT50%
46%T56%
44%Pistol25%
57%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
NAVI JuniorMirageBanger Gang
66%CT side54%
49%T side44%
59%Pistol50%
89%After win67%
31%After loss0%
NAVI JuniorDust2Banger Gang
54%CT side55%
49%T side49%
35%Pistol63%
71%After win90%
31%After loss17%
NAVI JuniorNukeBanger Gang
42%CT side50%
46%T side56%
44%Pistol25%
57%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds49% · 54% · Banger Gang win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 86% · Banger Gang keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol23% · 8% · NAVI Junior fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, NAVI Junior vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNAVBAN
CacheNAV ban0%0-2100%1-0
Banger Gang on Cache
W
ZOTIX13–71d agoAncientBAN ban27%3-80%0-1
MirageNAV pick81%13-367%2-1
Dust2BAN pick40%4-650%4-4
AnubisNAV ban44%4-575%3-1
InfernoBAN ban29%2-50%0-1
NAVI Junior on Inferno
L
Fire Flux14–168d agoL
eSuba14–161mo agoL
Prestige6–134mo agoL
ALGO6–134mo agoW
HEROIC Academy13–76mo agoW
LPH13–107mo agoL
MASONIC3–138mo agoBanger Gang on Inferno
LZOTIX11–131d agoNukedecider38%3-550%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: NAVI Junior Cache · Banger Gang Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
NAVI Junior
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/29 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 12 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 downvs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 5 downvs Just PlayersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/36 (19%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 36 maps they lost, 7 (19%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs JamNukeled 4 · lost 14-16vs UNiTYAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs GamersLabDust2led 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16
Banger Gang
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/12 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 12 maps they won, 3 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs YounglingsMiragefrom 4 downvs WBT AcademyMiragefrom 3 downvs ZOTIXCachefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/11 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 11 maps they lost, 3 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs WBT AcademyDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs ZOTIXInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13vs QWENTRYOverpassled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YounglingsMiragefrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs WBT AcademyDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs DONSTUOverpass14-16