Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Phantom Academy vs Misa · match preview
Phantom Academy vs Misa: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6
Phantom Academy
World #187 · 7-8
VS
2026-09-08 13:45 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · Best of 3
Misa
World #128 · 31-46
70%30%
54%
1.711.99Market · 2 books
46%The call · high confidence
Phantom Academy are favoured: our model gives them 70% against Misa. Bookmakers lean Phantom Academy at 54%. Strength slightly favours Phantom Academy, record slightly favours Phantom Academy, form slightly favours Phantom Academy, firepower clearly favours Phantom Academy.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Phantom AcademypullMisa
Team strength1529
143769/31 PHA
Track record7–8
31–4661/39 PHA
Recent formLWWLL
LLWLL64/36 PHA
Roster rating1.18
1.0289/11 PHA
Bookmakers imply 54% for Phantom Academy (1.71 / 1.99); we land 16 points higher at 70%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 89% our own signal (34 maps of Phantom Academy, 184 of Misa).
Bottom line: Phantom Academy to beat Misa, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Phantom Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
G2 Ares#980-21-4
Phantom Academy vs G2 Ares
May 23LMirage10-13Inferno4-13
Honvéd#1351-21-2
Phantom Academy vs Honvéd
Jul 5LMirage13-1Dust214-16Ancient6-13Misa vs Honvéd
Jul 21LDust211-13Mirage13-8Anubis13-16
benched gods#1361-20-2
Phantom Academy vs benched gods
Aug 17LMirage16-13Cache10-13Ancient5-13Misa vs benched gods
Jul 18LCache3-13Dust210-13
Privateer#1862-02-0
Phantom Academy vs Privateer
Aug 15WMirage13-7Ancient13-1Misa vs Privateer
Jul 24WDust213-5Nuke13-10
eternal premium#2052-00-2
Phantom Academy vs eternal premium
Aug 16WMirage13-9Nuke13-7Misa vs eternal premium
Jun 8LNuke14-16Inferno11-13
TNT1-23-2
Phantom Academy vs TNT
Mar 27LNuke4-13Ancient13-11Anubis4-13
TNC0-23-2
Phantom Academy vs TNC
Apr 19LMirage9-13Ancient12-16Firepower
roster ratingsPhantom Academy · avg 1.18 · top +0.14
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Phantom Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPHAMIS
InfernoPHA ban0%0-150%10-10
AncientMIS ban38%3-533%1-2
MiragePHA pick70%7-340%12-18
Dust2MIS pick75%3-152%25-23
AnubisPHA ban67%2-148%15-16
NukeMIS ban60%3-243%12-16
Cachedecider33%1-229%5-12
Each team's usual first ban: Phantom Academy Inferno · Misa Ancient.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Phantom Academy69%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Phantom Academy 75% clear · Dust2: Phantom Academy 60% · Cache: Phantom Academy 55% toss-upWhyPhantom Academy hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesPhantom Academy 69%: 2-0 45%, 2-1 25% · Misa 31%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 10%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Phantom Academy 69%Phantom Academy are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Phantom Academy 2-0.31% Misa
Mirage
Phantom Academy75%Misa25%
7-3record12-18
70%win40%
61%CT win52%
54%T win44%
70%pistol52%
71%convert74%
Dust2
Phantom Academy60%Misa40%
3-1record25-23
75%win52%
63%CT win50%
57%T win52%
38%pistol49%
100%convert85%
Cache
Phantom Academy55%Misa45%
1-2record5-12
33%win29%
46%CT win51%
38%T win44%
50%pistol53%
67%convert83%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
PHAct
PHAt
MISct
MISt
PHApistol
PHAconv
PHAeco
MISpistol
MISconv
MISeco
Miragepool
61%65/107
54%53/98
52%179/347
44%127/289
70%14/20
71%10/14
0%0/6
52%31/60
74%23/31
14%4/29
Dust2pool
63%24/38
57%27/47
50%239/475
52%276/532
38%3/8
100%3/3
20%1/5
49%47/96
85%40/47
18%9/49
Cachepool
46%13/28
38%13/34
51%100/196
44%80/181
50%3/6
67%2/3
0%0/3
53%18/34
83%15/18
13%2/16
Infernoban
17%2/12
40%2/5
54%130/240
47%93/200
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
45%18/40
67%12/18
27%6/22
Ancientban
53%48/91
43%31/72
30%10/33
42%8/19
44%7/16
86%6/7
22%2/9
67%4/6
50%2/4
0%0/2
Anubisban
45%13/29
47%17/36
45%147/330
51%171/337
50%3/6
33%1/3
0%0/3
44%27/62
89%24/27
17%6/35
Nukeban
56%24/43
47%24/51
51%160/313
44%119/272
40%4/10
75%3/4
33%2/6
50%28/56
79%22/28
25%7/28
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Phantom Academy wins more pistol rounds: 59% vs 51%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Misa usually win the next round too (81% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → Misa fight back to win the next round more often (16% vs 7%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Phantom Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/19 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 7 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs benched godsMiragefrom 7 downvs ImmuNeDust2from 6 downvs DiamantMiragefrom 6 downvs TNTAncientfrom 4 downvs ImmuNeAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/15 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 15 maps they lost, 5 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs TNCAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs benched godsCacheled 5 · lost 10-13vs HonvédAncientled 4 · lost 6-13vs G2 AresMirageled 3 · lost 10-13vs BASEMENT BOYSMirageled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs benched godsMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs TNCAncientled 5 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs TNCAncient12-16vs HonvédDust214-16vs benched godsMirage16-13
Misa
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/82 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 26 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 8 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs WBTAnubisfrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i38/102 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 102 maps they lost, 38 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs eternal premiumInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19