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Predictions / BASEMENT BOYS vs WBT Academy · match preview
BASEMENT BOYS vs WBT Academy: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6
BASEMENT BOYS
World #100 · 40-38
VS
2026-09-08 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6 · Best of 3
WBT Academy
World #120 · 3-2
62%38%
58%
1.592.16Market · 6 books
42%The call
BASEMENT BOYS are favoured: our model gives them 62% against WBT Academy. Bookmakers lean BASEMENT BOYS at 58%. Strength slightly favours BASEMENT BOYS.
Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BASEMENT BOYSpullWBT Academy
Team strength1573
150564/36 BAS
Track record40–38
3–251/49 BAS
Recent formWWWLLWWWLL50/50
Roster rating1.1
1.1352/48 BAS
Bookmakers imply 58% for BASEMENT BOYS (1.59 / 2.16); we land 4 points higher at 62%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 75% our own signal (180 maps of BASEMENT BOYS, 12 of WBT Academy).
Bottom line: BASEMENT BOYS to beat WBT Academy, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
BASEMENT BOYS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
A Great Chaos#2062-02-0
BASEMENT BOYS vs A Great Chaos
May 11WMirage13-4Nuke13-6WBT Academy vs A Great Chaos
Sep 7WMirage13-10Anubis13-8Firepower
roster ratingsBASEMENT BOYS · avg 1.1 · top +0.06
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BASEMENT BOYS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
WBT Academy habitually bans Cache, BASEMENT BOYS's strongest maps (Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Cache 3/5), not an opponent read, so expect BASEMENT BOYS to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapBASWBT
InfernoBAS ban41%7-10n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Inferno
L
BC.Game8–131mo agoL
Alliance7–133mo agoL
fnatic5–133mo agoWBy Legends13–23mo agoL
JiJieHao12–164mo agoW
MASONIC13–44mo agoL
100 Thieves2–134mo agoL
aimclub5–135mo agoWBT Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheWBT ban67%4-2n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Cache
L
QUAZAR6–1312d agoW
BAKS13–524d agoW
Phantom Academy13–325d agoW
Citron13–01mo agoW
Fire Flux19–171mo agoLFire Flux10–131mo agoWBT Academy on Cache
no recent maps
NukeBAS pick48%20-2233%1-2
AnubisWBT pick57%8-625%1-3
MirageBAS ban55%17-14100%2-0
AncientWBT ban53%16-140%0-1
BASEMENT BOYS on Ancient
W
Vexar13–22d agoL
EAC7–1310d agoWLavked13–712d agoLEAC16–1923d agoW
INOX Division16–1223d agoLLavked10–1325d agoL
1win10–131mo agoL
ex-MANA9–131mo agoWBT Academy on Ancient
LGothic11–132d agoDust2decider50%18-18100%2-0
Each team's usual first ban: BASEMENT BOYS Overpass · WBT Academy Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
BASEMENT BOYS55%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: BASEMENT BOYS 54% toss-up · Anubis: BASEMENT BOYS 65% · Dust2: WBT Academy 58%WhyBASEMENT BOYS hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBASEMENT BOYS 55%: 2-0 35%, 2-1 20% · WBT Academy 45%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 16%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
BASEMENT BOYS 55%It’s nearly a coin-flip. BASEMENT BOYS only lead because their Anubis is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.45% WBT Academy
Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS54%WBT Academy46%
20-22record1-2
48%win33%
53%CT win53%
46%T win36%
56%pistol83%
83%convert60%
Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS65%WBT Academy35%
8-6record1-3
57%win25%
55%CT win30%
48%T win69%
46%pistol50%
100%convert75%
Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS42%WBT Academy58%
18-18record2-0
50%win100%
49%CT win46%
47%T win61%
39%pistol50%
89%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BASct
BASt
WBTct
WBTt
BASpistol
BASconv
BASeco
WBTpistol
WBTconv
WBTeco
Nukepool
53%207/388
46%202/441
53%19/36
36%12/33
56%47/84
83%39/47
25%9/36
83%5/6
60%3/5
0%0/1
Anubispool
55%79/143
48%66/137
30%13/43
69%33/48
46%13/28
100%13/13
20%3/15
50%4/8
75%3/4
25%1/4
Dust2pool
49%160/328
47%172/363
46%11/24
61%14/23
39%28/72
89%24/27
9%4/44
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
Infernoban
48%92/193
44%64/146
n/a
n/a
32%11/34
91%10/11
9%2/23
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
65%47/72
49%20/41
n/a
n/a
42%5/12
100%4/4
14%1/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
53%174/327
48%158/329
56%9/16
74%17/23
48%30/62
80%24/30
9%3/32
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
Ancientban
53%171/321
50%152/304
42%5/12
50%6/12
53%32/60
88%28/32
21%6/28
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
WBT Academy wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → BASEMENT BOYS usually win the next round too (87% vs 73%). Lose the pistol → WBT Academy fight back to win the next round more often (29% vs 17%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BASEMENT BOYS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/91 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 91 maps they won, 34 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs AcendAncientfrom 8 downvs PigeonsMiragefrom 6 downvs CSDIILITAncientfrom 6 downvs UNiTYAnubisfrom 6 downvs 777Infernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/89 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 89 maps they lost, 21 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs EACNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs OmegaMirageled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AcendAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs AaBMirage16-12vs ARCREDInferno16-13vs RebelsNuke14-16vs brazylijski luzNuke19-17vs PigeonsMirage16-13
WBT Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/6 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 3 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs GothicDust2from 5 downvs A Great ChaosMiragefrom 5 downvs PCIFICDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/6 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 2 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13vs PCIFICAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GothicDust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini3.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi67% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT67% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs OLDBOYS PLAnubis17-19vs PermittaAnubis13-16vs PCIFICDust219-16vs PCIFICNuke16-14