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Predictions / Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · match preview
Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE: CS2 match prediction · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier
Nuclear TigeRES
World #54 · 67-38
VS
2026-09-07 17:30 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3 · ★
CYBERSHOKE
World #87 · 38-32
69%31%
58%
1.62.21Market · 2 books
42%The call
Nuclear TigeRES are favoured: our model gives them 69% against CYBERSHOKE. Bookmakers lean Nuclear TigeRES at 58%. Strength slightly favours Nuclear TigeRES, form slightly favours CYBERSHOKE, firepower slightly favours CYBERSHOKE, head-to-head clearly favours Nuclear TigeRES.
Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Nuclear TigeRESpullCYBERSHOKE
Team strength1657
160461/39 NUC
Track record67–38
38–3255/45 NUC
Recent formLLLWW
LLWWW61/39 CYB
Roster rating1.12
1.167/33 CYB
Head-to-head4 maps
0 maps83/17 NUC
Bookmakers imply 58% for Nuclear TigeRES (1.6 / 2.21); we land 11 points higher at 69%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (241 maps of Nuclear TigeRES, 153 of CYBERSHOKE). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: Nuclear TigeRES leads 2–0.
Bottom line: Nuclear TigeRES to beat CYBERSHOKE, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Nuclear TigeRES
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents14d ago
Nuclear TigeRES2 : 0
CYBERSHOKE◆ same lineup3mo ago Nuclear TigeRES2 : 0 CYBERSHOKE!
Nuclear TigeRES2 : 0 CYBERSHOKE◆ same lineup3mo ago Nuclear TigeRES2 : 0 CYBERSHOKE!⚠ Different lineup
CYBERSHOKE
outbl1x1, fluffy, glowiing
inAlkaren, H4SAN4TOR, nota
magic#204-30-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs magic
Sep 2WAnubis13-11Ancient13-5Apr 25WAnubis13-9Mirage11-13Ancient13-6Mar 23LAnubis10-13Mirage15-19CYBERSHOKE vs magic
Apr 4LMirage4-13Dust26-13
HEROIC#300-20-3
Nuclear TigeRES vs HEROIC
Sep 4LAncient6-13Dust217-19
100 Thieves#334-20-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs 100 Thieves
Jul 23WAncient19-15Mirage8-13Inferno13-7May 19WAncient11-13Nuke13-10Mirage19-17CYBERSHOKE vs 100 Thieves
Feb 27LAncient8-13Dust211-13
K27#377-31-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs K27
Aug 30WAnubis13-9Cache13-11Jun 17WMirage9-13Anubis13-9Nuke13-9May 28WAnubis13-8Nuke13-9+1 earlier meeting
CYBERSHOKE vs K27
Mar 4LDust22-13Nuke13-11Mirage4-13
EYEBALLERS#422-12-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs EYEBALLERS
Jan 22WInferno13-6Mirage7-13Anubis13-6CYBERSHOKE vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 25WDust213-11Mirage13-6
1win#436-64-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win
Sep 1LAnubis8-13Mirage16-19May 21LAncient6-13Dust29-13Apr 16WDust213-3Anubis13-10+3 earlier meetings
Nemesis#448-22-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemesis
Aug 31WDust25-13Inferno13-7Jun 17WNuke10-13Dust213-9Ancient13-7Feb 14WAncient13-7Inferno13-9+1 earlier meeting
Acend#462-14-1
Nuclear TigeRES vs Acend
Apr 20WInferno7-13Ancient13-6Dust213-4Firepower
roster ratingsNuclear TigeRES · avg 1.12 · top +0.06
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nuclear TigeRES vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
CYBERSHOKE habitually bans Inferno, Nuclear TigeRES's strongest maps (Ancient, Inferno, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 60/69), not an opponent read, so expect Nuclear TigeRES to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapNUCCYB
MirageNUC ban41%11-1652%16-15
InfernoCYB ban67%16-8n/a0g
Nuclear TigeRES on Inferno
L
B811–133d agoW
INFINITE13–43d agoWColor13–26d agoWNemesis13–77d agoW
Butterfly13–71mo agoW
CYBERSHOKE Prospects22–201mo agoW100 Thieves13–72mo agoWLavked13–14mo agoCYBERSHOKE on Inferno
no recent maps
AncientNUC pick73%45-1767%22-11
Dust2CYB pick47%21-2456%25-20
NukeNUC ban42%16-2255%11-9
AnubisCYB ban71%30-1230%3-7
Cachedecider100%3-050%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: Nuclear TigeRES Overpass · CYBERSHOKE Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Nuclear TigeRES54%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: Nuclear TigeRES 57% · Dust2: CYBERSHOKE 58% · Cache: Nuclear TigeRES 60%WhyNuclear TigeRES hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNuclear TigeRES 54%: 2-1 31%, 2-0 24% · CYBERSHOKE 46%: 2-0 25%, 2-1 20%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Nuclear TigeRES 54%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Nuclear TigeRES only lead because their Cache is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.46% CYBERSHOKE
Ancient
Nuclear TigeRES57%CYBERSHOKE43%
45-17record22-11
73%win67%
56%CT win54%
55%T win56%
49%pistol64%
80%convert83%
Dust2
Nuclear TigeRES42%CYBERSHOKE58%
21-24record25-20
47%win56%
46%CT win59%
53%T win46%
59%pistol54%
89%convert80%
Cache
Nuclear TigeRES60%CYBERSHOKE40%
3-0record1-1
100%win50%
72%CT win42%
41%T win45%
50%pistol75%
100%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NUCct
NUCt
CYBct
CYBt
NUCpistol
NUCconv
NUCeco
CYBpistol
CYBconv
CYBeco
Ancientpool
56%330/589
55%393/711
54%175/323
56%190/341
49%61/124
80%49/61
24%15/63
64%42/66
83%35/42
22%5/23
Dust2pool
46%216/465
53%251/477
59%249/422
46%220/482
59%53/90
89%47/53
14%5/37
54%49/90
80%39/49
24%10/41
Cachepool
72%26/36
41%12/29
42%5/12
45%5/11
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Mirageban
57%182/318
40%102/253
59%196/332
41%122/300
57%31/54
97%30/31
13%3/23
40%25/62
76%19/25
16%6/37
Infernoban
58%132/229
54%146/268
n/a
n/a
65%31/48
84%26/31
6%1/17
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
56%244/439
41%155/381
55%120/219
47%92/197
46%35/76
69%24/35
15%6/41
70%28/40
93%25/27
8%1/12
Anubisban
53%217/408
60%262/435
41%39/96
48%44/92
46%39/84
90%35/39
13%6/45
60%12/20
64%7/11
25%2/8
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
CYBERSHOKE wins more pistol rounds: 59% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (85% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → CYBERSHOKE fight back to win the next round more often (23% vs 19%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Nuclear TigeRES
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/142 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 142 maps they won, 41 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 downvs SashiNukefrom 6 downvs Spirit AcademyCachefrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 5 downvs OxujiInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/99 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 99 maps they lost, 47 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19vs illwillInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 8 · lost 15-19vs magicMirageled 7 · lost 15-19vs 100 ThievesAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs Gentle MatesInferno15-19vs KOLESIEAncient16-13vs OramondMirage16-14vs WHITEBIRDInferno19-17vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13
CYBERSHOKE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/82 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 22 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs ButterflyAncientfrom 9 downvs PhantomDust2from 7 downvs Black PhoenixDust2from 7 downvs ARCREDNukefrom 7 downvs ENCEDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/69 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 20 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMOverpassled 9 · lost 12-16vs Virtus.proDust2led 9 · lost 4-13vs ASTRALDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs Black PhoenixCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs Inner CircleMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ButterflyAncientfrom 9 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMOverpassled 9 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ENCEDust216-13vs HEROICDust213-16vs PhantomDust228-26vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13vs AcendAncient19-17