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Predictions / Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats · match preview
Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats: CS2 match prediction · NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier
AZU
Azuolas
World #– · 2-2
VS
2026-09-07 11:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Bushido Wildcats
World #69 · 40-37
47%53%
The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 47–53. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Bushido Wildcats, form slightly favours Azuolas.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
AzuolaspullBushido Wildcats
Team strength1498
155762/38 BUS
Track record2–2
40–3753/47 BUS
Recent formLWWL
LWLLL60/40 AZU
Roster rating1.08
1.1154/46 BUS
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 72% our own signal (10 maps of Azuolas, 191 of Bushido Wildcats).
Bottom line: Bushido Wildcats to beat Azuolas, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Permitta#1122-24-0
Firepower
roster ratingsAzuolas · avg 1.08 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Azuolas vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Bushido Wildcats habitually bans Ancient, Azuolas's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 72/78), not an opponent read, so expect Azuolas to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapAZUBUS
AnubisAZU bann/a0g50%11-11
Azuolas on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientBUS ban67%2-10%0-1
Bushido Wildcats on Ancient
L
SPARTA6–132mo agoMirageAZU pick25%1-356%22-17
Dust2BUS pick0%0-165%32-17
CacheAZU bann/a0g56%5-4
Azuolas on Cache
no recent maps
InfernoBUS bann/a0g41%9-13
Azuolas on Inferno
no recent maps
Nukedecider100%2-043%15-20
Each team's usual first ban: Azuolas Anubis · Bushido Wildcats Ancient.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Bushido Wildcats55%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Bushido Wildcats 65% · Dust2: Bushido Wildcats 55% toss-up · Nuke: Azuolas 60%WhyBushido Wildcats hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesAzuolas 45%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 16% · Bushido Wildcats 55%: 2-0 35%, 2-1 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Azuolas 45%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Bushido Wildcats only lead because their Mirage is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.55% Bushido Wildcats
Mirage
Azuolas35%Bushido Wildcats65%
1-3record22-17
25%win56%
41%CT win52%
48%T win51%
50%pistol49%
50%convert84%
Dust2
Azuolas45%Bushido Wildcats55%
0-1record32-17
0%win65%
33%CT win53%
67%T win58%
50%pistol55%
100%convert92%
Nuke
Azuolas60%Bushido Wildcats40%
2-0record15-20
100%win43%
73%CT win51%
38%T win49%
25%pistol56%
100%convert74%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
AZUct
AZUt
BUSct
BUSt
AZUpistol
AZUconv
AZUeco
BUSpistol
BUSconv
BUSeco
Miragepool
41%12/29
48%23/48
52%187/358
51%218/428
50%4/8
50%2/4
25%1/4
49%38/78
84%32/38
3%1/40
Dust2pool
33%4/12
67%8/12
53%243/458
58%315/543
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
55%54/98
92%49/53
20%9/44
Nukepool
73%16/22
38%9/24
51%208/405
49%162/333
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
56%39/70
74%29/39
19%6/31
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
50%121/244
55%127/233
n/a
n/a
n/a
64%28/44
82%23/28
31%5/16
Ancientban
50%18/36
58%19/33
42%5/12
14%1/7
33%2/6
50%1/2
50%2/4
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
49%48/97
50%43/86
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%9/18
78%7/9
22%2/9
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
50%115/231
48%95/200
n/a
n/a
n/a
43%19/44
84%16/19
12%3/25
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Bushido Wildcats wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 43%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Bushido Wildcats usually win the next round too (85% vs 67%). Lose the pistol → Azuolas fight back to win the next round more often (25% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Azuolas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/5 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 2 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 4 downvs BERGNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/5 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 2 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PermittaMirageled 5 · lost 12-16vs EntropyDust2led 4 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PermittaMirageled 5 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs PermittaMirage12-16vs PermittaNuke19-16vs EntropyDust213-16
Bushido Wildcats
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/99 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 99 maps they won, 22 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 10 downvs SPARTAAnubisfrom 9 downvs MASONICAnubisfrom 6 downvs G2 AresDust2from 6 downvs Nordic PartnersCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/90 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 90 maps they lost, 35 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAAncientled 7 · lost 6-13vs VP.ProdigyDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs PhantomNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs Fire FluxNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs ex-MANACacheled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAAncientled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs ALGONuke14-16vs BebopMirage15-19vs MASONICOverpass25-22vs LeoNuke16-19vs CSDIILITNuke19-16