Enjoy are favoured: our model gives them 58% against Falcons Force. Bookmakers lean Enjoy at 52%. Strength slightly favours Enjoy, record slightly favours Enjoy, firepower slightly favours Falcons Force.
Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
EnjoypullFalcons Force
Team strength1503
146358/42 ENJ
Track record18–15
13–1960/40 ENJ
Recent formLLWWWWLLLW50/50
Roster rating1.09
1.0561/39 FAL
Bookmakers imply 52% for Enjoy (1.78 / 1.91); we land 6 points higher at 58%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 94% our own signal (85 maps of Enjoy, 71 of Falcons Force).
Bottom line: Enjoy to beat Falcons Force, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Enjoy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Each team's usual first ban: Enjoy Nuke · Falcons Force Overpass.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Enjoy50%to win the seriesiMap edgesCache: Falcons Force 58% · Mirage: Falcons Force 53% toss-up · Ancient: Enjoy 61%WhyFalcons Force are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Cache & Mirage), so Enjoy just need to steal one (~69% to grab at least one).OutcomesEnjoy 50%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 20% · Falcons Force 50%: 2-0 31%, 2-1 19% series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Enjoy 50%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Enjoy only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.50% Falcons Force
Cache
Enjoy42%
Falcons Force58%
9-5record4-1
64%win80%
62%CT win70%
49%T win44%
57%pistol70%
94%convert86%
Mirage
Enjoy47%
Falcons Force53%
8-7record9-7
53%win56%
52%CT win54%
55%T win52%
50%pistol63%
93%convert80%
Ancient
Enjoy61%
Falcons Force39%
9-8record6-9
53%win40%
52%CT win46%
49%T win52%
44%pistol60%
100%convert78%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ENJct
ENJt
FALct
FALt
ENJpistol
ENJconv
ENJeco
FALpistol
FALconv
FALeco
Cachepool
62%90/145
49%77/158
70%31/44
44%25/57
57%16/28
94%15/16
33%4/12
70%7/10
86%6/7
0%0/3
Miragepool
52%66/128
55%92/168
54%87/161
52%85/162
50%15/30
93%14/15
33%5/15
63%20/32
80%16/20
8%1/12
Ancientpool
52%83/161
49%95/193
46%71/154
52%88/170
44%15/34
100%15/15
16%3/19
60%18/30
78%14/18
36%4/11
Infernoban
41%26/64
38%23/60
54%72/133
47%70/150
50%6/12
83%5/6
0%0/6
38%10/26
60%6/10
38%6/16
Dust2ban
48%92/192
51%89/175
46%34/74
40%34/84
39%14/36
79%11/14
5%1/22
56%9/16
56%5/9
14%1/7
Nukeban
44%32/72
49%24/49
40%43/107
38%32/85
17%2/12
100%2/2
30%3/10
44%8/18
75%6/8
0%0/10
Anubisban
58%23/40
60%26/43
53%21/40
46%22/48
50%4/8
100%4/4
0%0/4
38%3/8
100%3/3
0%0/5
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Falcons Force wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Enjoy usually win the next round too (96% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → Enjoy fight back to win the next round more often (26% vs 19%).