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Predictions / QUAZAR vs NAVI Junior · match preview
QUAZAR vs NAVI Junior: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
QUAZAR
World #102 · 28-16
VS
2026-09-18 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
NAVI Junior
World #114 · 15-15
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
69%31%
71%
1.33.12Market · 2 books
29%The call
QUAZAR are favoured: our model gives them 69% against NAVI Junior. Bookmakers lean QUAZAR at 71%. Strength slightly favours QUAZAR, record slightly favours QUAZAR, form slightly favours NAVI Junior, firepower clearly favours QUAZAR.
Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
QUAZARpullNAVI Junior
Team strength1577
150765/35 QUA
Track record28–16
15–1560/40 QUA
Recent formLWWLW
WWWWL61/39 NAV
Roster rating1.13
1.0984/16 QUA
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 71% for QUAZAR (1.3 / 3.12) and we land at 69%, the same read. This read is 94% our own signal (107 maps of QUAZAR, 68 of NAVI Junior).
Bottom line: QUAZAR to beat NAVI Junior, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsQUAZAR · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
NAVI Junior · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
QUAZAR
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
BRUTE#732-22-2
Bushido Wildcats#762-02-5
QUAZAR vs Bushido Wildcats
Jul 13WNuke13-7Inferno13-6NAVI Junior vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 14WDust26-13Mirage16-13Anubis13-11Sep 12LDust219-22Mirage17-19Sep 8LMirage4-13Dust26-13
Fire Flux#1122-11-4
QUAZAR vs Fire Flux
Jun 21WDust24-13Mirage13-3Anubis13-11JUSJust Players#1262-02-1
QUAZAR vs Just Players
Jul 18WMirage13-6Cache13-9NAVI Junior vs Just Players
Sep 16WAncient5-13Mirage25-22Dust213-10
Falcons Force#1312-02-3
QUAZAR vs Falcons Force
Jun 3WInferno16-14Nuke13-8
HEROIC Academy2-12-1
QUAZAR vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 4WMirage16-14Inferno8-13Nuke13-3NAVI Junior vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 7WMirage13-8Ancient2-13Inferno13-7Map lab
QUAZAR59%to win the Bo3 · most likely QUAZAR 2-1
If the veto goes
QUAZAR 59%how the series ends41% NAVI Junior
24%2-021%
35%2-120%
QUAZAR35%16-8vsNAVI Junior65%13-3
67%Win81%
55%CT66%
53%T49%
60%Pistol59%
83%Conv89%
QUAZAR67%11-6vsNAVI Junior33%4-5
65%Win44%
63%CT50%
51%T50%
59%Pistol56%
95%Conv80%
QUAZAR64%11-9vsNAVI Junior36%3-5
55%Win38%
57%CT42%
43%T46%
43%Pistol44%
76%Conv57%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
QUAZARMirageNAVI Junior
55%CT side66%
53%T side49%
60%Pistol59%
83%After win89%
0%After loss31%
QUAZARAnubisNAVI Junior
63%CT side50%
51%T side50%
59%Pistol56%
95%After win80%
7%After loss38%
QUAZARNukeNAVI Junior
57%CT side42%
43%T side46%
43%Pistol44%
76%After win57%
13%After loss0%
Pistol rounds54% · 55% · level, no edge
After a won pistol85% · 81% · QUAZAR keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol7% · 23% · NAVI Junior fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, QUAZAR vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
NAVI Junior habitually bans Cache, QUAZAR's strongest maps (Overpass, Anubis, Mirage, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Cache 17/30), not an opponent read, so expect QUAZAR to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapQUANAV
AncientQUA bann/a0g27%3-8
QUAZAR on Ancient
no recent maps
CacheNAV ban64%7-40%0-2
MirageQUA pick67%16-881%13-3
AnubisNAV pick65%11-644%4-5
Dust2QUA ban41%7-1040%4-6
InfernoNAV ban36%4-729%2-5
Each team's usual first ban: QUAZAR Ancient · NAVI Junior Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
QUAZAR
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/61 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 61 maps they won, 24 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs The Last ResortAnubisfrom 10 downvs RUSTECOverpassfrom 6 downvs WingmanMiragefrom 6 downvs OmegaDust2from 6 downvs LavkedNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/46 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 46 maps they lost, 17 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The Last ResortNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs ENCE AcademyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs WingmanDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs CSDIILITAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs zajezdzaczeMirageled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The Last ResortNukeled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs HEROIC AcademyMirage16-14vs CSDIILITMirage16-12vs zajezdzaczeNuke13-16vs RUSTECDust215-19vs M1X KSMirage22-20
NAVI Junior
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/29 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 12 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 downvs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 5 downvs Just PlayersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/36 (19%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 36 maps they lost, 7 (19%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs JamNukeled 4 · lost 14-16vs UNiTYAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs GamersLabDust2led 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16