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Predictions / Just Players vs Spirit Academy · match preview
Just Players vs Spirit Academy: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
JUS
Just Players
World #126 · 41-37
VS
2026-09-19 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
Spirit Academy
World #109 · 14-9
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
52%48%
51%
1.821.92Market · 26 books
49%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean Just Players at 51%. Record slightly favours Spirit Academy, form slightly favours Spirit Academy, firepower slightly favours Spirit Academy.
Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Just PlayerspullSpirit Academy
Team strength1537
154251/49 SPI
Track record41–37
14–957/43 SPI
Recent formLWLWW
WLWWL57/43 SPI
Roster rating1.15
1.1161/39 SPI
Head-to-head3 maps3 maps50/50
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 51% for Just Players (1.82 / 1.92) and we land at 52%, the same read. This read is 92% our own signal (190 maps of Just Players, 51 of Spirit Academy). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: split 1–1.
Bottom line: Just Players to beat Spirit Academy, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsJust Players · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Spirit Academy · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Just Players
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents21d agoJUS Just Players1 : 2
Spirit Academy!2mo agoJUS Just Players2 : 1 Spirit Academy!
Spirit Academy!⚠ Different lineup
Just Players
outD9D9VOLODYA, faydett, h1te, sm3t, sstiNiX
Spirit Academy!⚠ Different lineup
Just Players
outh1te, reNIK, sm3t, spirit, sstiNiX
Nuclear TigeRES#470-20-1
Just Players vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 4LDust211-13Anubis9-13Spirit Academy vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 24LCache13-16
ex-RUSTEC#671-60-2
Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 28LMirage13-11Dust26-13Anubis8-13Jul 25LDust25-13Mirage14-16Jul 21LMirage10-13Dust210-13Spirit Academy vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 30LCache6-13Dust213-16
Bushido Wildcats#760-20-2
Just Players vs Bushido Wildcats
May 23LDust211-13Mirage6-13Spirit Academy vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 5LNuke4-13Dust27-13
Permitta#1002-00-2
Just Players vs Permitta
Sep 17WAncient13-10Anubis13-6Spirit Academy vs Permitta
Sep 10LNuke10-13Ancient3-13
QUAZAR#1020-22-0
Just Players vs QUAZAR
Jul 18LMirage6-13Cache9-13Spirit Academy vs QUAZAR
Jul 17WDust213-2Anubis13-8PSYPsychoFace#1892-11-2
Just Players vs PsychoFace
Sep 6WMirage13-9Nuke8-13Dust213-10Spirit Academy vs PsychoFace
Jul 17LNuke3-13Cache13-9Dust20-13Map lab
Spirit Academy68%to win the Bo3 · most likely Spirit Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
Just Players 32%how the series ends68% Spirit Academy
13%2-041%
19%2-127%
Just Players31%25-16vsSpirit Academy69%9-2
61%Win82%
57%CT63%
52%T49%
44%Pistol45%
89%Conv90%
Just Players41%8-4vsSpirit Academy59%3-0
67%Win100%
50%CT67%
56%T45%
63%Pistol50%
73%Conv100%
Just Players41%15-22vsSpirit Academy59%6-6
41%Win50%
48%CT52%
45%T49%
55%Pistol42%
80%Conv90%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Just PlayersAncientSpirit Academy
57%CT side63%
52%T side49%
44%Pistol45%
89%After win90%
30%After loss33%
Just PlayersAnubisSpirit Academy
50%CT side67%
56%T side45%
63%Pistol50%
73%After win100%
11%After loss0%
Just PlayersDust2Spirit Academy
48%CT side52%
45%T side49%
55%Pistol42%
80%After win90%
18%After loss8%
Pistol rounds51% · 44% · Just Players win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 91% · Spirit Academy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 18% · Just Players fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Just Players vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Spirit Academy habitually bans Anubis, Just Players's strongest maps (Mirage, Ancient, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 12/23), not an opponent read, so expect Just Players to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapJUSSPI
InfernoJUS bann/a0gn/a0g
Just Players on Inferno
no recent maps
Spirit Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
MirageSPI ban62%32-2050%3-3
AncientJUS pick61%25-1682%9-2
AnubisSPI pick67%8-4100%3-0
CacheJUS ban25%2-656%5-4
NukeSPI ban31%9-2033%3-6
Dust2decider41%15-2250%6-6
Each team's usual first ban: Just Players Inferno · Spirit Academy Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Just Players
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/95 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 95 maps they won, 41 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs NEW VISIONAncientfrom 11 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs SAWAnubisfrom 7 downvs Endless JourneyMiragefrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/91 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 91 maps they lost, 29 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs eLITenergyOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs LavkedAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs Lazer CatsAncientled 5 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorMirageled 5 · lost 22-25vs eLITenergyAncientled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NEW VISIONAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs eLITenergyOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs yngodsAnubis16-14vs OlyBetAncient14-16vs SPARTAOverpass22-20vs TrickedMirage16-13vs TrickedNuke13-16
Spirit Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/30 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 15 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 downvs aimclubDust2from 7 downvs DONSTUAnubisfrom 6 downvs Saint SinnersNukefrom 5 downvs Saint SinnersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/21 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 8 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Nuclear TigeRESCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs Noir VerseCacheled 5 · lost 12-16vs Just PlayersDust2led 4 · lost 13-16vs PermittaNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs Just PlayersNukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Nuclear TigeRESCacheled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs BetclicNuke19-17vs Just PlayersDust213-16vs Young TigeRESDust225-22vs Nuclear TigeRESCache13-16vs ex-RUSTECDust213-16