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Predictions / ex-RUSTEC vs Azuolas · match preview
ex-RUSTEC vs Azuolas: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 31-20
VS
2026-09-20 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
Azuolas
World #118 · 5-7
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
71%29%
The call · high confidence
ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 71% against Azuolas. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, record slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, form slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, head-to-head clearly favours ex-RUSTEC.
Likely mapsAnubis · Nuke · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ex-RUSTECpullAzuolas
Team strength1568
148268/32 EX-
Track record31–20
5–758/42 EX-
Recent formWLWLW
LWLLL65/35 EX-
Roster rating1.11
1.0965/35 EX-
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 EX-
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 87% our own signal (222 maps of ex-RUSTEC, 27 of Azuolas). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: ex-RUSTEC leads 1–0.
Bottom line: ex-RUSTEC to beat Azuolas, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsex-RUSTEC · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yiksrezo★ | 1.14 | 80.3 | 73% | 68% | 1.21 |
| youka | 1.25 | 73.5 | 72.2% | 36% | 1.2 |
| shalfey | 1.09 | 76.1 | 73.9% | 61% | 1.14 |
| jakekeS | 0.91 | 68.2 | 73.2% | 55% | 1.01 |
| Brilliance | 0.87 | 71.1 | 69.1% | 56% | 1 |
Azuolas · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
ex-RUSTEC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#760-26-2
ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 13LNuke8-13Dust219-22Azuolas vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 18LMirage8-13Nuke9-13Sep 17WNuke13-6Cache13-4Sep 9WMirage13-5Nuke13-10+1 earlier meeting
G2 Ares#1034-00-4
Honvéd#1292-11-2
ex-RUSTEC vs Honvéd
Aug 2WDust210-13Anubis13-2Mirage13-9Azuolas vs Honvéd
Sep 13LMirage13-4Ancient11-13Inferno6-13
Entropy#1586-11-2
ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy
Sep 8WMirage13-2Anubis13-1Aug 29WDust216-14Mirage8-13Anubis13-11Jul 27WCache13-3Dust213-7Azuolas vs Entropy
Aug 31LDust213-16Ancient13-9Mirage4-13Map lab
Azuolas54%to win the Bo3 · most likely Azuolas 2-0
If the veto goes
ex-RUSTEC 46%how the series ends54% Azuolas
14%2-036%
32%2-118%
ex-RUSTEC50%15-7vsAzuolas50%1-0
68%Win100%
51%CT67%
58%T100%
59%Pistol50%
92%Conv100%
ex-RUSTEC29%11-14vsAzuolas71%5-2
44%Win71%
54%CT64%
44%T43%
52%Pistol29%
85%Conv100%
ex-RUSTEC64%7-7vsAzuolas36%3-6
50%Win33%
53%CT54%
46%T45%
36%Pistol50%
80%Conv78%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ex-RUSTECAnubisAzuolas
51%CT side67%
58%T side100%
59%Pistol50%
92%After win100%
28%After loss0%
ex-RUSTECNukeAzuolas
54%CT side64%
44%T side43%
52%Pistol29%
85%After win100%
8%After loss20%
ex-RUSTECMirageAzuolas
53%CT side54%
46%T side45%
36%Pistol50%
80%After win78%
22%After loss22%
Pistol rounds51% · 41% · ex-RUSTEC win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol18% · 20% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-RUSTEC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Azuolas habitually bans Anubis, ex-RUSTEC's strongest maps (Dust2, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 9/12), not an opponent read, so expect ex-RUSTEC to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapEX-AZU
AncientEX- bann/a0g50%2-2
ex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
Dust2AZU ban62%21-130%0-2
AnubisEX- pick68%15-7100%1-0
NukeAZU pick44%11-1471%5-2
CacheEX- ban46%6-7100%1-0
InfernoAZU ban46%6-70%0-3
Miragedecider50%7-733%3-6
Each team's usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · Azuolas Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/66 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 66 maps they won, 20 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 downvs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs NexusDust2from 6 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/55 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 18 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16
Azuolas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/12 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 12 maps they won, 4 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 7 downvs EntropyAncientfrom 4 downvs BERGNukefrom 3 downvs Bushido WildcatsAnubisfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/15 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 15 maps they lost, 5 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs PermittaMirageled 5 · lost 12-16vs EntropyDust2led 4 · lost 13-16vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 3 · lost 9-13vs HonvédAncientled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 7 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs PermittaMirage12-16vs PermittaNuke19-16vs EntropyDust213-16vs G2 AresMirage15-19