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Predictions / EYEBALLERS vs BBL · match preview
EYEBALLERS vs BBL: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
EYEBALLERS
World #49 · 31-30
VS
2026-09-18 13:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
BBL
World #54 · 4-4
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
54%46%
59%
1.572.27Market · 2 books
41%The call
EYEBALLERS are favoured: our model gives them 54% against BBL. Bookmakers lean EYEBALLERS at 59%. Form clearly favours BBL, firepower slightly favours BBL.
Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
EYEBALLERSpullBBL
Team strength1535
154552/48 BBL
Track record31–30
4–452/48 BBL
Recent formLLLLW
LWWWL79/21 BBL
Roster rating1.06
1.0461/39 BBL
Bookmakers imply 59% for EYEBALLERS (1.57 / 2.27); we land 5 points lower at 54%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 81% our own signal (136 maps of EYEBALLERS, 18 of BBL).
Bottom line: EYEBALLERS to beat BBL, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsEYEBALLERS · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BBL · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
3DMAX#231-02-1
EYEBALLERS vs 3DMAX
Jul 2WInferno13-5BBL vs 3DMAX
Sep 10WCache16-13Nuke3-13Inferno13-7
Wildcard#401-22-0
EYEBALLERS vs Wildcard
Sep 10LNuke13-6Mirage13-16Cache4-13BBL vs Wildcard
Sep 12WNuke13-10Inferno16-12
fnatic#421-01-2
EYEBALLERS vs fnatic
Apr 14WMirage13-8BBL vs fnatic
Sep 5LCache11-13Inferno13-9Ancient11-13
SINNERS#452-10-2
EYEBALLERS vs SINNERS
Aug 9WMirage17-19Ancient13-7Inferno13-6BBL vs SINNERS
Sep 6LNuke3-13Map lab
BBL54%to win the Bo3 · most likely BBL 2-1
If the veto goes
EYEBALLERS 46%how the series ends54% BBL
28%2-021%
18%2-133%
EYEBALLERS47%16-15vsBBL53%1-0
52%Win100%
61%CT75%
46%T33%
48%Pistol50%
77%Conv0%
EYEBALLERS60%8-5vsBBL40%3-3
62%Win50%
49%CT56%
51%T41%
58%Pistol42%
53%Conv80%
EYEBALLERS35%0-5vsBBL65%1-2
0%Win33%
36%CT47%
20%T42%
40%Pistol17%
75%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
EYEBALLERSMirageBBL
61%CT side75%
46%T side33%
48%Pistol50%
77%After win0%
13%After loss0%
EYEBALLERSNukeBBL
49%CT side56%
51%T side41%
58%Pistol42%
53%After win80%
18%After loss0%
EYEBALLERSCacheBBL
36%CT side47%
20%T side42%
40%Pistol17%
75%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds50% · 35% · EYEBALLERS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol69% · 71% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol12% · 0% · EYEBALLERS fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, EYEBALLERS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEYEBBL
Dust2EYE ban38%5-8n/a0g
EYEBALLERS on Dust2
L
Nemesis4–137d agoL
FaZe8–132mo agoLNemesis19–222mo agoW
Alliance13–54mo agoL
CYBERSHOKE11–135mo agoW
FOKUS13–95mo agoLAlliance9–136mo agoL
Liquid6–136mo agoBBL on Dust2
no recent maps
AnubisBBL ban47%8-90%0-1
MirageEYE pick52%16-15100%1-0
NukeBBL pick62%8-550%3-3
InfernoEYE ban40%8-1260%3-2
AncientBBL ban54%14-1250%1-1
Cachedecider0%0-533%1-2
Each team's usual first ban: EYEBALLERS Nuke · BBL Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
EYEBALLERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 downvs BetclicAnubisfrom 6 downvs FOKUSInfernofrom 6 downvs NemesisInfernofrom 6 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/71 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 22 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs BetclicAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs 1winInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs NemesisInferno22-18vs UrsaMirage14-16vs VitalityAnubis16-19vs BET-MDust213-16vs TrickedOverpass14-16
BBL
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/9 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 5 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 4 downvs 3DMAXCachefrom 4 downvs WildcardInfernofrom 4 downvs HOTUNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/9 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 2 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16vs 100 ThievesInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs Black PhoenixInferno13-16vs 3DMAXCache16-13vs WildcardInferno16-12vs HOTUAnubis13-16