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Predictions / For Fun vs Overtake Sector · match preview
For Fun vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction · ESEA Advanced Season 58 North America
FOR
For Fun
World #141 · 6-7
VS
2026-09-19 00:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 North America · Best of 3
Overtake Sector
World #147 · 14-12
ESEA Advanced Season 58 North America · Best of 3
43%57%
27%
3.371.25Market · 4 books
73%The call
Overtake Sector are favoured: our model gives them 57% against For Fun. Bookmakers lean Overtake Sector at 73%. Strength slightly favours Overtake Sector, form slightly favours Overtake Sector, firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
For FunpullOvertake Sector
Team strength1517
155157/43 OVE
Track record6–7
14–1255/45 OVE
Recent formLWLLW
WWLWL65/35 OVE
Roster rating1.06
1.1181/19 OVE
Bookmakers imply 27% for For Fun (3.37 / 1.25); we land 16 points higher at 43%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 87% our own signal (27 maps of For Fun, 62 of Overtake Sector).
Bottom line: Overtake Sector to beat For Fun, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsFor Fun · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Overtake Sector · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
For Fun
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Marsborne#911-20-6
For Fun vs Marsborne
Sep 13LNuke13-11Inferno6-13Dust222-25Overtake Sector vs Marsborne
Sep 1LDust28-13Inferno9-13Jun 13LMirage7-13Inferno7-13May 25LMirage20-22Inferno11-13
LAG#941-31-4
Chicken Coop#1911-03-2
For Fun vs Chicken Coop
Sep 4WInferno13-8Overtake Sector vs Chicken Coop
Aug 31WMirage13-11Inferno13-8Jun 21LDust213-6Overpass9-13Ancient10-13
Wanted Goons#2173-04-2
Overtake Sector vs Wanted Goons
Jul 1WAncient10-13Mirage13-11Dust213-3Jun 12WMirage13-6Ancient10-13Overpass13-7Map lab
Overtake Sector54%to win the Bo3 · most likely Overtake Sector 2-0
If the veto goes
For Fun 46%how the series ends54% Overtake Sector
19%2-029%
27%2-126%
For Fun58%2-2vsOvertake Sector42%4-7
50%Win36%
60%CT57%
37%T43%
50%Pistol41%
75%Conv100%
For Fun32%2-3vsOvertake Sector68%12-6
40%Win67%
53%CT65%
43%T46%
40%Pistol53%
75%Conv74%
For Fun51%2-3vsOvertake Sector49%4-6
40%Win40%
38%CT47%
53%T55%
60%Pistol45%
67%Conv67%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
For FunAncientOvertake Sector
60%CT side57%
37%T side43%
50%Pistol41%
75%After win100%
0%After loss15%
For FunMirageOvertake Sector
53%CT side65%
43%T side46%
40%Pistol53%
75%After win74%
0%After loss18%
For FunDust2Overtake Sector
38%CT side47%
53%T side55%
60%Pistol45%
67%After win67%
0%After loss27%
Pistol rounds50% · 47% · For Fun win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol71% · 78% · Overtake Sector keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 20% · Overtake Sector fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, For Fun vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFOROVE
AnubisFOR ban50%1-175%3-1
Overtake Sector on Anubis
W
Voca13–1119d agoL
Villainous3–1322d agoWBrahmas16–123mo agoW
ex-Aether13–84mo agoNukeOVE ban50%3-3n/a0g
For Fun on Nuke
WMarsborne13–114d agoLLAG9–1311d agoL
SportsBetExpert5–1318d agoWWanted Goons13–618d agoWKodex13–618d agoLSportsBetExpert7–132mo agoOvertake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
AncientFOR pick50%2-236%4-7
MirageOVE pick40%2-367%12-6
CacheFOR bann/a0g75%3-1
For Fun on Cache
no recent maps
Overtake Sector on Cache
L
DETONATE11–132d agoWFarmVille16–145d agoWDETONATE13–911d agoW
NuTorious13–1121d agoInfernoOVE ban60%3-246%6-7
Dust2decider40%2-340%4-6
Each team's usual first ban: For Fun Anubis · Overtake Sector Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
For Fun
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/13 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 13 maps they won, 3 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs SportsBetExpertAnubisfrom 5 downvs LAGDust2from 5 downvs regainInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/14 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 14 maps they lost, 6 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LAGDust2led 5 · lost 6-13vs Without a RoofAnubisled 5 · lost 11-13vs SportsBetExpertInfernoled 3 · lost 9-13vs LAGNukeled 3 · lost 9-13vs Without a RoofMirageled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SportsBetExpertAnubisfrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LAGDust2led 5 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs MarsborneDust222-25
Overtake Sector
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/33 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 33 maps they won, 15 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 downvs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 downvs EMPIREInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/29 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 13 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14vs Iowa StormboarAncient14-16