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Predictions / WW vs Phantom Academy · match preview
WW vs Phantom Academy: CS2 match prediction · Exort Fiesta Series 2
WW
World #81 · 47-36
VS
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Best of 3
Phantom Academy
World #185 · 10-13
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Best of 3
65%35%
71%
1.293.2Market · 2 books
29%The call
WW are favoured: our model gives them 65% against Phantom Academy. Bookmakers lean WW at 71%. Strength slightly favours WW.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WWpullPhantom Academy
Team strength1575
150565/35 WW
Track record47–36
10–1355/45 WW
Recent formLWWLL
WLWLW55/45 PHA
Roster rating1.1
1.1151/49 WW
Bookmakers imply 71% for WW (1.29 / 3.2); we land 6 points lower at 65%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 93% our own signal (208 maps of WW, 54 of Phantom Academy).
Bottom line: WW to beat Phantom Academy, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsWW · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Phantom Academy · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalyambys★ | 1.15 | 80.8 | 76.5% | 55% | 1.18 |
| manio | 1.2 | 76 | 73.4% | 64% | 1.16 |
| Brain47 | 1.12 | 75.2 | 68.7% | 36% | 1.12 |
| chedzik | 0.93 | 74.3 | 73.2% | 66% | 1.09 |
| Ayteel | 0.85 | 66.5 | 70.6% | 59% | 1.01 |
Recent form
WW
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
UNiTY#921-20-2
WW vs UNiTY
Feb 28LInferno9-13Dust213-7Mirage7-13Phantom Academy vs UNiTY
Sep 15LDust211-13Ancient11-13
G2 Ares#1031-20-2
WW vs G2 Ares
Mar 3LOverpass13-9Dust216-19Phantom Academy vs G2 Ares
May 23LMirage10-13Inferno4-13
Rebels1-21-2
WW vs Rebels
Feb 6LAnubis10-13Dust213-9Ancient11-13Phantom Academy vs Rebels
Apr 19LAncient6-13Dust213-10Nuke5-13
KOLESIE1-22-0
WW vs KOLESIE
Feb 28LDust213-11Nuke13-16Mirage9-13Phantom Academy vs KOLESIE
Jul 5WDust213-4Nuke13-8Map lab
Phantom Academy52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Phantom Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
WW 48%how the series ends52% Phantom Academy
22%2-028%
26%2-124%
WW45%41-25vsPhantom Academy55%5-2
62%Win71%
51%CT55%
55%T55%
48%Pistol43%
79%Conv100%
WW49%32-16vsPhantom Academy51%9-4
67%Win69%
59%CT63%
52%T47%
58%Pistol73%
86%Conv79%
WW52%16-15vsPhantom Academy48%4-4
52%Win50%
57%CT60%
45%T46%
52%Pistol56%
90%Conv78%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
WWDust2Phantom Academy
51%CT side55%
55%T side55%
48%Pistol43%
79%After win100%
17%After loss25%
WWMiragePhantom Academy
59%CT side63%
52%T side47%
58%Pistol73%
86%After win79%
18%After loss0%
WWNukePhantom Academy
57%CT side60%
45%T side46%
52%Pistol56%
90%After win78%
23%After loss29%
Pistol rounds52% · 61% · Phantom Academy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol19% · 18% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, WW vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapWWPHA
AncientWW ban17%1-536%4-7
InfernoPHA ban42%8-110%0-1
Dust2WW pick62%41-2571%5-2
MiragePHA pick67%32-1669%9-4
AnubisWW ban39%7-1140%2-3
WW on Anubis
W
Black Phoenix13–36d agoL
ex-RUSTEC9–132mo agoL
CYBERSHOKE Prospects6–132mo agoW
Virtus.pro13–72mo agoW
TDK16–122mo agoL
ARCRED10–132mo agoW
Johnny Speeds13–54mo agoL
Nemiga2–134mo agoPhantom Academy on Anubis
L
Noir Verse6–138d agoL
benched gods7–139d agoW
Diamant13–113mo agoWImmuNe13–115mo agoL
TNT4–136mo agoCachePHA ban25%1-333%3-6
Each team's usual first ban: WW Ancient · Phantom Academy Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WW
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/115 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 115 maps they won, 35 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs beznegativaDust2from 10 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 8 downvs K27Miragefrom 8 downvs Young27Ancientfrom 8 downvs HOTUNukefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/93 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 93 maps they lost, 30 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCE AcademyAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs KOLESIENukeled 7 · lost 13-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs ECSTATICInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs G2 AresDust2led 6 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs beznegativaDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCE AcademyAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs ARCREDNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYDust216-14vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs ENCE AcademyAnubis13-16vs LeoNuke19-17
Phantom Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/27 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 13 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs Noir VerseCachefrom 13 downvs benched godsMiragefrom 7 downvs ImmuNeDust2from 6 downvs DiamantMiragefrom 6 downvs benched godsMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/27 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 10 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MisaCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs TNCAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs benched godsCacheled 5 · lost 10-13vs benched godsCacheled 5 · lost 6-13vs UNiTYDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 13 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Noir VerseCachefrom 13 down · won 13-0
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MisaCacheled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs TNCAncient12-16vs HonvédDust214-16vs benched godsMirage16-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNuke13-16vs benched godsMirage16-14