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Predictions / Bushido Wildcats vs NAVI Junior · match preview
Bushido Wildcats vs NAVI Junior: CS2 match prediction · European Pro League Series 9
Bushido Wildcats
World #76 · 48-44
VS
2026-09-20 08:00 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
NAVI Junior
World #114 · 16-17
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
66%34%
62%
1.482.41Market · 4 books
38%The call
Bushido Wildcats are favoured: our model gives them 66% against NAVI Junior. Bookmakers lean Bushido Wildcats at 62%. Firepower slightly favours Bushido Wildcats, head-to-head slightly favours Bushido Wildcats.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Bushido WildcatspullNAVI Junior
Team strength1537
150757/43 BUS
Track record48–44
16–1756/44 BUS
Recent formWWLLL
WLLWW52/48 BUS
Roster rating1.1
1.0869/31 BUS
Head-to-head5 maps
2 maps67/33 BUS
Bookmakers imply 62% for Bushido Wildcats (1.48 / 2.41); we land 4 points higher at 66%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 95% our own signal (226 maps of Bushido Wildcats, 75 of NAVI Junior). Head-to-head they've met 3 times: Bushido Wildcats leads 2–1.
Bottom line: Bushido Wildcats to beat NAVI Junior, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsBushido Wildcats · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
NAVI Junior · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Bushido Wildcats
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents5d ago
Bushido Wildcats1 : 2 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup7d ago Bushido Wildcats2 : 0 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup11d ago Bushido Wildcats2 : 0 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup
Bushido Wildcats1 : 2 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup7d ago Bushido Wildcats2 : 0 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup11d ago Bushido Wildcats2 : 0 NAVI Junior◆ same lineup
ex-RUSTEC#672-01-2
Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 13WNuke13-8Dust222-19NAVI Junior vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 18LMirage13-4Dust24-13Nuke7-13
UNiTY#921-20-2
Bushido Wildcats vs UNiTY
Aug 29LInferno3-13Dust213-6Mirage10-13NAVI Junior vs UNiTY
Aug 7LAnubis5-13Ancient10-13
QUAZAR#1020-20-2
Bushido Wildcats vs QUAZAR
Jul 13LNuke7-13Inferno6-13NAVI Junior vs QUAZAR
Sep 18LDust23-13Nuke5-13
Fire Flux#1122-11-4
Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux
Aug 2WCache13-6Nuke11-13Dust213-8JUSJust Players#1262-02-1
Bushido Wildcats vs Just Players
May 23WDust213-11Mirage13-6NAVI Junior vs Just Players
Sep 16WAncient5-13Mirage25-22Dust213-10
MOUZ NXT#1363-31-0
NAVI Junior vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 27Wseries13-5
Entropy#1582-12-0
Bushido Wildcats vs Entropy
Sep 11WMirage16-13Nuke14-16Anubis19-16NAVI Junior vs Entropy
Sep 13WMirage13-1Anubis13-6
MASONIC#2073-31-2
Bushido Wildcats vs MASONIC
Feb 16WNuke11-13Anubis13-10Overpass25-22Feb 5LNuke5-13Anubis13-11Inferno7-13NAVI Junior vs MASONIC
Jan 19LOverpass3-13Mirage13-9Inferno3-13Map lab
Bushido Wildcats55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Bushido Wildcats 2-1
If the veto goes
Bushido Wildcats 55%how the series ends45% NAVI Junior
20%2-017%
35%2-128%
Bushido Wildcats77%40-17vsNAVI Junior23%5-8
70%Win38%
55%CT48%
58%T50%
56%Pistol35%
92%Conv78%
Bushido Wildcats26%28-20vsNAVI Junior74%15-3
58%Win83%
54%CT68%
50%T50%
47%Pistol64%
84%Conv91%
Bushido Wildcats56%16-26vsNAVI Junior44%3-7
38%Win30%
52%CT41%
46%T45%
54%Pistol40%
76%Conv63%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Bushido WildcatsDust2NAVI Junior
55%CT side48%
58%T side50%
56%Pistol35%
92%After win78%
20%After loss24%
Bushido WildcatsMirageNAVI Junior
54%CT side68%
50%T side50%
47%Pistol64%
84%After win91%
6%After loss31%
Bushido WildcatsNukeNAVI Junior
52%CT side41%
46%T side45%
54%Pistol40%
76%After win63%
15%After loss8%
Pistol rounds52% · 49% · Bushido Wildcats win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol14% · 21% · NAVI Junior fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bushido Wildcats vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBUSNAV
AncientBUS ban0%0-127%3-8
Bushido Wildcats on Ancient
L
SPARTA6–132mo ago
CacheNAV ban53%8-70%0-2
Dust2BUS pick70%40-1738%5-8
MirageNAV pick58%28-2083%15-3
InfernoBUS ban39%9-1429%2-5
AnubisNAV ban46%12-1444%4-5
Nukedecider38%16-2630%3-7
Each team's usual first ban: Bushido Wildcats Ancient · NAVI Junior Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Bushido Wildcats
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/118 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 118 maps they won, 29 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 10 downvs SPARTAAnubisfrom 9 downvs MASONICAnubisfrom 6 downvs G2 AresDust2from 6 downvs Nordic PartnersCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/106 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 106 maps they lost, 41 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAAncientled 7 · lost 6-13vs AzuolasNukeled 7 · lost 6-13vs VP.ProdigyDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs PhantomNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs Fire FluxNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAAncientled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs ALGONuke14-16vs BebopMirage15-19vs MASONICOverpass25-22vs LeoNuke16-19vs CSDIILITNuke19-16
NAVI Junior
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/32 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 13 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 downvs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 5 downvs Just PlayersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/40 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 40 maps they lost, 10 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs QUAZARDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 10 · lost 4-13vs QUAZARNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs QUAZARDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16