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Predictions / Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 3DMAX · match preview
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 3DMAX: CS2 match prediction · 1win Private Club Season 1
Ninjas in Pyjamas
World #29 · 32-33
VS
2026-09-25 12:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
3DMAX
World #23 · 32-40
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
48%52%
53%
1.761.96Market · 16 books
47%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. Bookmakers lean Ninjas in Pyjamas at 53%. Strength slightly favours Ninjas in Pyjamas, form slightly favours 3DMAX, firepower clearly favours 3DMAX, head-to-head slightly favours 3DMAX.
Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Ninjas in Pyjamaspull3DMAX
Team strength1607
157457/43 NIN
Track record32–33
32–4054/46 NIN
Recent formLWLLL
LLWWW57/43 3DM
Roster rating1.08
1.0787/13 3DM
Head-to-head0 maps
1 maps67/33 3DM
Bookmakers imply 53% for Ninjas in Pyjamas (1.76 / 1.96); we land 5 points lower at 48%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (155 maps of Ninjas in Pyjamas, 156 of 3DMAX). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: 3DMAX leads 1–0.
Bottom line: 3DMAX to beat Ninjas in Pyjamas, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsNinjas in Pyjamas · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xKacpersky★ | 1.06 | 82.2 | 72.4% | 54% | 1.18 |
| stavn | 1.2 | 74.3 | 71.7% | 32% | 1.12 |
| sjuush | 0.98 | 70.1 | 70.5% | 56% | 1.06 |
| n0te | 0.94 | 70.5 | 70.2% | 57% | 1.04 |
| Krimbo | 0.96 | 67 | 68.5% | 58% | 1 |
3DMAX · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
G2#80-20-2
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs G2
Mar 5LAnubis10-13Dust213-163DMAX vs G2
Apr 15LInferno6-13Dust21-13
Astralis#111-20-6
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Astralis
Aug 16LNuke3-13Inferno13-10Cache7-13
FaZe#132-02-2
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs FaZe
May 30WAncient13-11Nuke13-10
B8#160-15-4
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8
May 20LAncient9-13
magic#172-52-5
PARIVISION#191-22-0
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs PARIVISION
Mar 19LAncient11-13Mirage13-6Dust28-133DMAX vs PARIVISION
Apr 7WInferno13-9Dust213-9
Alliance#212-11-2
3DMAX vs Alliance
May 28LInferno17-19Dust213-9Anubis8-13
Liquid#222-65-2
Map lab
Ninjas in Pyjamas53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-1
If the veto goes
Ninjas in Pyjamas 53%how the series ends47% 3DMAX
25%2-019%
28%2-128%
Ninjas in Pyjamas71%30-10vs3DMAX29%14-12
75%Win54%
64%CT62%
52%T42%
46%Pistol58%
78%Conv80%
Ninjas in Pyjamas36%7-12vs3DMAX64%20-18
37%Win53%
46%CT50%
42%T48%
53%Pistol64%
80%Conv80%
Ninjas in Pyjamas50%8-8vs3DMAX50%6-6
50%Win50%
45%CT47%
53%T46%
44%Pistol58%
86%Conv86%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Ninjas in PyjamasNuke3DMAX
64%CT side62%
52%T side42%
46%Pistol58%
78%After win80%
47%After loss27%
Ninjas in PyjamasDust23DMAX
46%CT side50%
42%T side48%
53%Pistol64%
80%After win80%
6%After loss33%
Ninjas in PyjamasAnubis3DMAX
45%CT side47%
53%T side46%
44%Pistol58%
86%After win86%
28%After loss10%
Pistol rounds47% · 61% · 3DMAX win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol33% · 27% · Ninjas in Pyjamas fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Ninjas in Pyjamas vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNIN3DM
InfernoNIN ban57%4-338%12-20
Mirage3DM ban41%11-16n/a0g
Ninjas in Pyjamas on Mirage
L
1win9–135d agoW
INFINITE13–96d agoL
Inner Circle0–136d agoL
FOKUS10–137d agoW
fnatic13–1010d agoW
Nuclear TigeRES13–811d agoL
paiN14–162mo agoL
HEROIC12–162mo ago3DMAX on Mirage
no recent maps
NukeNIN pick75%30-1054%14-12
Dust23DM pick37%7-1253%20-18
CacheNIN ban0%0-658%7-5
Ancient3DM ban52%17-1641%11-16
Anubisdecider50%8-850%6-6
Each team's usual first ban: Ninjas in Pyjamas Inferno · 3DMAX Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/79 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 27 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs EchoNukefrom 7 downvs M1X KSDust2from 6 downvs MonteNukefrom 6 downvs fnaticMiragefrom 6 downvs SINNERSNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/75 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 26 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16vs MonteAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs LegacyAncientled 5 · lost 13-16vs BIGMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs paiNMirageled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EchoNukefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs LiquidAncient13-16vs BC.GameDust214-16vs M1X KSOverpass13-16vs GamerLegionMirage12-16vs 100 ThievesAncient12-16
3DMAX
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/73 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 73 maps they won, 16 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs B8Nukefrom 9 downvs INFINITECachefrom 8 downvs FUTAnubisfrom 7 downvs LiquidNukefrom 7 downvs VocaAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/82 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 82 maps they lost, 21 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FalconsInfernoled 8 · lost 10-13vs magicDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs VocaDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 17-19vs BESTIADust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs B8Nukefrom 9 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FalconsInfernoled 8 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs Inner CircleNuke16-13vs FUTAncient13-16vs FUTAnubis16-13vs paiNInferno14-16vs Gaimin GladiatorsDust216-14