Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Overtake Sector vs F5 · match preview
Overtake Sector vs F5: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Overtake Sector
World #147 · 13-12
VS
2026-09-17 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
F5
World #– · 14-19
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
67%33%
61%
1.52.36Market · 3 books
39%The call
Overtake Sector are favoured: our model gives them 67% against F5. Bookmakers lean Overtake Sector at 61%. Strength slightly favours Overtake Sector, record slightly favours Overtake Sector, form clearly favours Overtake Sector, firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Overtake SectorpullF5
Team strength1539
146166/34 OVE
Track record13–12
14–1959/41 OVE
Recent formWLWLW
LLLLW79/21 OVE
Roster rating1.1
1.0673/27 OVE
Bookmakers imply 61% for Overtake Sector (1.5 / 2.36); we land 6 points higher at 67%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 93% our own signal (60 maps of Overtake Sector, 77 of F5).
Bottom line: Overtake Sector to beat F5, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsOvertake Sector · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
F5 · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Overtake Sector
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Voca#841-20-2
Overtake Sector vs Voca
Aug 29LAnubis13-11Dust210-13Ancient5-13F5 vs Voca
Mar 29LAncient14-16Mirage1-13
Marsborne#910-60-2
Overtake Sector vs Marsborne
Sep 1LDust28-13Inferno9-13Jun 13LMirage7-13Inferno7-13May 25LMirage20-22Inferno11-13F5 vs Marsborne
Jun 12LOverpass3-13Inferno4-13
LAG#941-40-2
F5 vs LAG
Mar 25LMirage7-13Dust27-13
Chicken Coop#1913-21-6
Overtake Sector vs Chicken Coop
Aug 31WMirage13-11Inferno13-8Jun 21LDust213-6Overpass9-13Ancient10-13FARFarmVille#1932-02-0
Overtake Sector vs FarmVille
Sep 12WCache16-14Ancient16-14F5 vs FarmVille
Apr 3WMirage13-7Overpass19-17
Wanted Goons#2174-24-5
Overtake Sector vs Wanted Goons
Jul 1WAncient10-13Mirage13-11Dust213-3Jun 12WMirage13-6Ancient10-13Overpass13-7Map lab
F553%to win the Bo3 · most likely F5 2-0
If the veto goes
Overtake Sector 47%how the series ends53% F5
22%2-028%
25%2-125%
Overtake Sector46%11-6vsF554%9-4
65%Win69%
66%CT57%
43%T51%
53%Pistol58%
72%Conv87%
Overtake Sector48%4-7vsF552%7-11
36%Win39%
57%CT47%
43%T50%
41%Pistol50%
100%Conv89%
Overtake Sector50%3-1thinF550%0-0
75%Win–
48%CT–
56%T–
25%Pistol–
100%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Overtake SectorMirageF5
66%CT side57%
43%T side51%
53%Pistol58%
72%After win87%
19%After loss36%
Overtake SectorAncientF5
57%CT side47%
43%T side50%
41%Pistol50%
100%After win89%
15%After loss11%
Overtake SectorCacheF5
48%CT side–
56%T side–
25%Pistol–
100%After win–
17%After loss–
Pistol rounds45% · 53% · F5 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 88% · F5 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol17% · 21% · F5 fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Overtake Sector vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
F5 habitually bans Anubis, Overtake Sector's strongest maps (Anubis, Mirage, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 17/34), not an opponent read, so expect Overtake Sector to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapOVEF5
NukeOVE bann/a0g36%4-7
Overtake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2F5 ban40%4-60%0-3
MirageOVE pick65%11-669%9-4
AncientF5 pick36%4-739%7-11
AnubisOVE ban75%3-133%1-2
Overtake Sector on Anubis
WVoca13–1118d agoL
Villainous3–1321d agoWBrahmas16–123mo agoW
ex-Aether13–84mo agoInfernoF5 ban42%5-742%5-7
Cachedecider75%3-1n/a0g
Overtake Sector on Cache
L
DETONATE11–131d agoWFarmVille16–144d agoWDETONATE13–910d agoW
NuTorious13–1120d agoF5 on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Overtake Sector Nuke · F5 Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Overtake Sector
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/31 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 31 maps they won, 14 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 downvs EMPIREInfernofrom 5 downvs Chicken CoopMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/29 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 13 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14vs Iowa StormboarAncient14-16
F5
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/33 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 33 maps they won, 9 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs FRZAncientfrom 6 downvs Outfit 49Overpassfrom 6 downvs FarmVilleMiragefrom 4 downvs FarmVilleOverpassfrom 4 downvs MythicOverpassfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/44 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 11 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FRZNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs Reign AboveAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs Reign AboveAncientled 4 · lost 5-13vs Outfit 49Dust2led 3 · lost 11-13vs FlyQuest REDAncientled 3 · lost 20-22
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FRZAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FRZNukeled 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs FlyQuest REDAncient20-22vs Chicken CoopNuke12-16vs MythicOverpass19-17vs VocaAncient14-16vs FarmVilleOverpass19-17