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Predictions / Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · match preview
Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier
SAI
Saint Sinners
World #– · 2-4
VS
2026-09-22 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
KUUSAMO
World #200 · 4-12
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
62%38%
The call
Saint Sinners are favoured: our model gives them 62% against KUUSAMO. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Saint Sinners, form slightly favours Saint Sinners, firepower clearly favours Saint Sinners.
Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Inferno
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Saint SinnerspullKUUSAMO
Team strength1482
142762/38 SAI
Track record2–4
4–1256/44 SAI
Recent formWWLLL
LLWLL69/31 SAI
Roster rating1.09
0.9881/19 SAI
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 77% our own signal (14 maps of Saint Sinners, 29 of KUUSAMO).
Bottom line: Saint Sinners to beat KUUSAMO, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsSaint Sinners · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodos1k★ | 1.01 | 82.8 | 75.5% | 68% | 1.26 |
| halfjix | 1.01 | 75.2 | 65.9% | 49% | 1.08 |
| pavlysha666 | 0.88 | 76 | 71.8% | 52% | 1.08 |
| Caleyy | 1 | 77.8 | 67% | 65% | 1.04 |
| deb0 | 0.87 | 68.3 | 67.3% | 63% | 0.97 |
KUUSAMO · avg 0.98 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keksimage★ | 0.99 | 79.5 | 70% | 60% | 1.12 |
| Matz | 0.89 | 73.7 | 66.4% | 57% | 1.01 |
| osku | 0.97 | 66.7 | 70.9% | 55% | 1 |
| rbm | 0.94 | 67 | 67.3% | 49% | 0.93 |
| epik | 0.78 | 60.7 | 63.9% | 55% | 0.85 |
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Saint Sinners60%to win the Bo3 · most likely Saint Sinners 2-0
If the veto goes
Saint Sinners 60%how the series ends40% KUUSAMO
36%2-016%
24%2-124%
Saint Sinners60%1-1vsKUUSAMO40%0-3
50%Win0%
59%CT33%
46%T25%
25%Pistol50%
100%Conv67%
Saint Sinners60%2-1vsKUUSAMO40%3-5
67%Win38%
56%CT47%
52%T45%
50%Pistol56%
100%Conv89%
Saint Sinners50%0-1vsKUUSAMO50%1-3
0%Win25%
42%CT38%
45%T40%
50%Pistol63%
100%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Saint SinnersDust2KUUSAMO
59%CT side33%
46%T side25%
25%Pistol50%
100%After win67%
0%After loss0%
Saint SinnersNukeKUUSAMO
56%CT side47%
52%T side45%
50%Pistol56%
100%After win89%
0%After loss0%
Saint SinnersInfernoKUUSAMO
42%CT side38%
45%T side40%
50%Pistol63%
100%After win80%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds42% · 57% · KUUSAMO win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 82% · Saint Sinners keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 0% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Saint Sinners vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSAIKUU
CacheSAI ban0%0-167%2-1
Saint Sinners on Cache
L
Spirit Academy4–139d agoAnubisKUU ban100%1-0n/a0g
Saint Sinners on Anubis
WLavked13–72d agoKUUSAMO on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2SAI pick50%1-10%0-3
NukeKUU pick67%2-138%3-5
MirageSAI ban0%0-243%3-4
AncientKUU ban50%1-10%0-4
Infernodecider0%0-125%1-3
Saint Sinners on Inferno
L
mellren10–136d agoEach team's usual first ban: Saint Sinners Cache · KUUSAMO Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Saint Sinners
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/5 (60%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 3 (60%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 60% of their wins were comebacks, not 60% of all games.vs LavkedAnubisfrom 6 downvs PermittaNukefrom 5 downvs PermittaDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/7 (71%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 5 (71%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Spirit AcademyNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Spirit AcademyMirageled 5 · lost 7-13vs Spirit AcademyCacheled 3 · lost 4-13vs mellrenInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Spirit AcademyNuke14-16vs mellrenNuke22-20
KUUSAMO
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/9 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 4 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs LPHCachefrom 10 downvs MisaNukefrom 4 downvs MisaCachefrom 4 downvs BOJONGMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/20 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 20 maps they lost, 7 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZ NXTAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs CSDIILITNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs PCIFICDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs PCIFICCacheled 5 · lost 9-13vs PhantomNukeled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LPHCachefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZ NXTAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi21% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT21% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs SINQUNuke13-16vs MisaNuke22-18vs MisaCache16-14