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Predictions / Entropy vs eternal premium · match preview
Entropy vs eternal premium: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier
Entropy
World #158 · 32-31
VS
2026-09-24 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
eternal premium
World #203 · 11-17
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
49%51%
The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Entropy, firepower clearly favours eternal premium, head-to-head clearly favours eternal premium.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Entropypulleternal premium
Team strength1510
147158/42 ENT
Track record32–31
11–1756/44 ENT
Recent formWLLLLLLWWL50/50
Roster rating1.04
1.0577/23 ETE
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 ETE
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 94% our own signal (152 maps of Entropy, 67 of eternal premium). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: eternal premium leads 1–0.
Bottom line: eternal premium to beat Entropy, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsEntropy · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
eternal premium · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoob★ | 1.09 | 81.5 | 72.2% | 71% | 1.13 |
| P1kan0 | 1 | 71.1 | 72% | 60% | 1.09 |
| dazzy | 1.1 | 68.2 | 70.3% | 30% | 1.07 |
| skept1K | 0.87 | 66 | 70% | 58% | 0.99 |
| Innerpeace | 0.8 | 63.2 | 73.6% | 59% | 0.97 |
Recent form
Entropy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Misa#1105-32-0
Entropy vs Misa
Aug 30WDust28-13Mirage13-8Anubis13-6Jul 18WDust213-9Cache13-11Jul 16LDust28-13Cache13-8Mirage2-13eternal premium vs Misa
Jun 8WNuke16-14Inferno13-11
ENCE#1203-30-2
eternal premium vs ENCE
Jul 12LAnubis5-13
Sashi Academy2-13-3
Entropy vs Sashi Academy
Apr 12WAncient8-13Inferno16-14Dust213-1eternal premium vs Sashi Academy
Jul 3WInferno8-13Nuke13-7Ancient16-12Jun 26LMirage1-13Inferno13-10Ancient16-19
CYBERSHOKE Prospects2-02-4
Entropy vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 27WMirage13-9Nuke19-15eternal premium vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7LMirage5-13Inferno16-14Ancient2-13Apr 2LMirage13-2Ancient11-13Dust26-13MAIMai Tai4-01-2
eternal premium vs Mai Tai
Jul 21LMirage16-13Dust211-13
Project 912-12-1
Entropy vs Project 91
Jun 1WMirage11-13Ancient13-10Anubis13-4eternal premium vs Project 91
Jun 5WAnubis14-16Nuke13-5Ancient13-7
Atreides2-00-2
Entropy vs Atreides
Jul 12WCache13-11Mirage13-11eternal premium vs Atreides
Jul 8LMirage8-13Inferno11-13Map lab
Entropy63%to win the Bo3 · most likely Entropy 2-0
If the veto goes
Entropy 63%how the series ends37% eternal premium
39%2-013%
24%2-124%
Entropy68%22-19vseternal premium32%6-12
54%Win33%
58%CT51%
43%T45%
50%Pistol42%
88%Conv93%
Entropy58%14-10vseternal premium42%6-6
58%Win50%
57%CT51%
48%T48%
38%Pistol42%
78%Conv90%
Entropy50%10-7thineternal premium50%0-0
59%Win–
54%CT–
50%T–
32%Pistol–
91%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
EntropyMirageeternal premium
58%CT side51%
43%T side45%
50%Pistol42%
88%After win93%
17%After loss14%
EntropyAncienteternal premium
57%CT side51%
48%T side48%
38%Pistol42%
78%After win90%
27%After loss0%
EntropyCacheeternal premium
54%CT side–
50%T side–
32%Pistol–
91%After win–
13%After loss–
Pistol rounds43% · 42% · level, no edge
After a won pistol86% · 92% · eternal premium keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 9% · Entropy fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Entropy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapENTETE
NukeENT ban60%3-250%6-6
Dust2ETE ban29%5-120%0-5
MirageENT pick54%22-1933%6-12
AncientETE pick58%14-1050%6-6
InfernoENT ban46%6-760%3-2
AnubisETE ban43%9-1225%2-6
Cachedecider59%10-7n/a0g
Entropy on Cache
WENCE13–811d agoL
MOUZ NXT9–1319d agoL
JiJieHao8–132mo agoW
UNiTY13–82mo agoL
ex-RUSTEC3–132mo agoL
Enjoy14–162mo agoW
los kogutos13–72mo agoL
EAC7–132mo agoeternal premium on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Entropy Nuke · eternal premium Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Entropy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/71 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 22 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 downvs MisaCachefrom 9 downvs MisaCachefrom 8 downvs WAZABIAncientfrom 6 downvs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/73 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 22 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Sashi AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs OramondMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Project 91Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Sashi AcademyInferno16-14vs WAZABIAncient16-14vs ENCEInferno13-16vs ENCEMirage16-12vs ENCEAncient14-16
eternal premium
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/27 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 13 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs Julie&CieAncientfrom 7 downvs CSDIILITNukefrom 6 downvs Aurora Young BludOverpassfrom 6 downvs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsInfernofrom 6 downvs MisaInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/38 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 38 maps they lost, 14 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MUERTAAncientled 7 · lost 18-22vs WeClearMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs Sashi AcademyAncientled 7 · lost 16-19vs AtreidesInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs TDKOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Julie&CieAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MUERTAAncientled 7 · lost 18-22
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs MUERTAAncient18-22vs TNTNuke18-22vs CSDIILITNuke16-13vs Aurora Young BludOverpass16-14vs TDKMirage14-16