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Predictions / Haunted House vs Vitalem Aerem · match preview
Haunted House vs Vitalem Aerem: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2
Haunted House
World #234 · 5-8
VS
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
Vitalem Aerem
World #174 · 3-4
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
47%53%
The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 47–53. No odds yet. Record slightly favours Vitalem Aerem, form slightly favours Vitalem Aerem, firepower clearly favours Vitalem Aerem.
Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Haunted HousepullVitalem Aerem
Team strength1489
150654/46 VIT
Track record5–8
3–457/43 VIT
Recent formLLLWL
LWLWL67/33 VIT
Roster rating0.89
1.0788/12 VIT
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 80% our own signal (33 maps of Haunted House, 16 of Vitalem Aerem).
Bottom line: Vitalem Aerem to beat Haunted House, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsHaunted House · avg 0.89 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fr0k★ | 0.84 | 70.9 | 65.1% | 69% | 1.01 |
| Schwarzkopf | 0.96 | 70.7 | 65.3% | 38% | 0.95 |
| icyvl0ne | 0.86 | 71.1 | 66.7% | 68% | 0.95 |
| chrizm | 0.68 | 69.4 | 58.8% | 43% | 0.81 |
| shoma | 0.6 | 50.2 | 63% | 61% | 0.71 |
Vitalem Aerem · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roninbaby★ | 1 | 85 | 71.5% | 60% | 1.18 |
| lan | 1.35 | 83.5 | 72.5% | 35% | 1.15 |
| BZA | 1.13 | 73.9 | 75.2% | 60% | 1.07 |
| B1NGO | 0.92 | 62 | 72.1% | 53% | 1 |
| rain | 0.92 | 61.1 | 72.5% | 58% | 0.96 |
Recent form
Haunted House
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
5star#330-22-0
Haunted House vs 5star
Aug 26LMirage6-13Nuke8-13Vitalem Aerem vs 5star
Aug 27WAncient13-10Nuke13-9
Chinggis Warriors#1631-22-0
Haunted House vs Chinggis Warriors
Aug 25LMirage13-11Nuke4-13Dust28-13Vitalem Aerem vs Chinggis Warriors
Aug 22WDust213-6Inferno13-8
Just Swing#1721-20-2
Haunted House vs Just Swing
Mar 20LDust29-13Ancient13-11Nuke0-13Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing
Aug 28LNuke10-13Dust213-16Map lab
Vitalem Aerem58%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitalem Aerem 2-1
If the veto goes
Haunted House 42%how the series ends58% Vitalem Aerem
23%2-027%
19%2-131%
Haunted House47%6-5vsVitalem Aerem53%3-2
55%Win60%
49%CT65%
44%T45%
55%Pistol50%
92%Conv80%
Haunted House49%2-1vsVitalem Aerem51%1-0
67%Win100%
55%CT83%
39%T67%
33%Pistol50%
50%Conv100%
Haunted House39%1-7vsVitalem Aerem61%1-3
13%Win25%
36%CT50%
25%T27%
50%Pistol38%
50%Conv67%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Haunted HouseDust2Vitalem Aerem
49%CT side65%
44%T side45%
55%Pistol50%
92%After win80%
10%After loss0%
Haunted HouseAnubisVitalem Aerem
55%CT side83%
39%T side67%
33%Pistol50%
50%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Haunted HouseNukeVitalem Aerem
36%CT side50%
25%T side27%
50%Pistol38%
50%After win67%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds50% · 45% · Haunted House win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol73% · 78% · Vitalem Aerem keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol5% · 0% · Haunted House fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Haunted House vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapHAUVIT
InfernoHAU ban100%1-033%1-2
Haunted House on Inferno
W
Change The Game13–64mo agoCacheVIT bann/a0gn/a0g
Haunted House on Cache
no recent maps
Vitalem Aerem on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2HAU pick55%6-560%3-2
AnubisVIT pick67%2-1100%1-0
Haunted House on Anubis
L
THUNDER dOWNUNDER5–134mo agoW
Lynn Vision16–144mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–104mo agoVitalem Aerem on Anubis
WBanzai13–525d agoAncientHAU ban50%2-267%2-1
Haunted House on Ancient
L
BORING PLAYERS10–135mo agoWTHE UNIT19–166mo agoL
NSN4–136mo agoWJust Swing13–116mo agoMirageVIT ban33%2-4n/a0g
Haunted House on Mirage
L5star6–1324d agoWChinggis Warriors13–1125d agoL
DEPO5–136mo agoL
Legion7–136mo agoLTHE UNIT8–136mo agoWNSN13–96mo agoVitalem Aerem on Mirage
no recent maps
Nukedecider13%1-725%1-3
Haunted House on Nuke
L5star8–1324d agoLChinggis Warriors4–1325d agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER6–134mo agoLLynn Vision11–134mo agoLBORING PLAYERS4–135mo agoWLegion16–136mo agoL
Alter Ego2–136mo agoLJust Swing0–136mo agoVitalem Aerem on Nuke
LJust Swing10–1322d agoW5star13–923d agoL
The Huns6–1324d agoLThe Huns4–1326d agoEach team's usual first ban: Haunted House Overpass · Vitalem Aerem Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Haunted House
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/14 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 3 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs THE UNITAncientfrom 5 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust2from 5 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/19 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 4 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LegionMirageled 5 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 5 · lost 6-13vs Chinggis WarriorsDust2led 5 · lost 8-13vs Lynn VisionNukeled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs THE UNITAncientfrom 5 down · won 19-16
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LegionMirageled 5 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs THE UNITAncient19-16vs LegionNuke16-13vs LegionDust216-14vs Lynn VisionAnubis16-14vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust219-17
Vitalem Aerem
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/8 (13%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 1 (13%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 13% of their wins were comebacks, not 13% of all games.vs BanzaiAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/8 (13%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 1 (13%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The HunsInfernoled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BanzaiAnubisfrom 4 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The HunsInfernoled 3 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs Just SwingDust213-16