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Predictions / NEXVOID vs Legion · match preview
NEXVOID vs Legion: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2
NEXVOID
World #135 · 34-22
VS
2026-09-25 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
Legion
World #217 · 12-15
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
70%30%
The call · high confidence
NEXVOID are favoured: our model gives them 70% against Legion. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours NEXVOID, record slightly favours NEXVOID.
Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
NEXVOIDpullLegion
Team strength1585
145576/24 NEX
Track record34–22
12–1562/38 NEX
Recent formWWLLW
WWLLL52/48 NEX
Roster rating1.03
1.0453/47 NEX
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 93% our own signal (132 maps of NEXVOID, 60 of Legion).
Bottom line: NEXVOID to beat Legion, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsNEXVOID · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zesta★ | 1.05 | 76.3 | 72% | 61% | 1.15 |
| erkaSt | 0.99 | 76.5 | 71.1% | 50% | 1.09 |
| xerolte | 1 | 76 | 71% | 53% | 1.07 |
| AccuracyTG | 1 | 68.1 | 70.2% | 44% | 1.04 |
| Diesen | 0.69 | 56.9 | 64.2% | 53% | 0.81 |
Legion · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
NEXVOID
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
DEPO#911-02-3
NEXVOID vs DEPO
Mar 9WNuke13-5
Rare Atom#1024-12-5
The Huns#15615-80-2
NEXVOID vs The Huns
Jul 25WInferno13-10Nuke13-9Jul 24WInferno16-12Nuke6-13Ancient13-10Apr 29WDust213-7Nuke13-4+6 earlier meetings
Legion vs The Huns
Mar 1LDust25-13Nuke11-13
Chinggis Warriors#16010-120-2
NEXVOID vs Chinggis Warriors
Sep 3LNuke11-13Ancient10-13Aug 28WNuke13-16Anubis13-8Ancient13-9Aug 24WInferno13-4Ancient13-3+6 earlier meetings
Legion vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 26LOverpass8-13Nuke11-13
Kaleido#1625-32-1
Just Swing#1794-22-0
Legion vs Just Swing
Feb 19WDust213-11Inferno13-5
The QUBE2-12-0
NEXVOID vs The QUBE
Mar 19WInferno5-13Dust213-7Nuke13-4Legion vs The QUBE
Feb 17WDust213-11Mirage13-7
BORING PLAYERS2-00-2
NEXVOID vs BORING PLAYERS
Apr 26WAncient13-0Inferno13-7Legion vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 20LAnubis11-13Mirage10-13Map lab
NEXVOID68%to win the Bo3 · most likely NEXVOID 2-0
If the veto goes
NEXVOID 68%how the series ends32% Legion
36%2-016%
32%2-116%
NEXVOID63%21-12vsLegion37%3-3
64%Win50%
51%CT44%
54%T56%
62%Pistol50%
83%Conv100%
NEXVOID57%12-9vsLegion43%8-8
57%Win50%
46%CT41%
51%T54%
43%Pistol44%
89%Conv86%
NEXVOID67%12-12vsLegion33%2-5
50%Win29%
56%CT52%
47%T43%
52%Pistol64%
88%Conv89%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
NEXVOIDInfernoLegion
51%CT side44%
54%T side56%
62%Pistol50%
83%After win100%
28%After loss17%
NEXVOIDDust2Legion
46%CT side41%
51%T side54%
43%Pistol44%
89%After win86%
13%After loss17%
NEXVOIDNukeLegion
56%CT side52%
47%T side43%
52%Pistol64%
88%After win89%
17%After loss0%
Pistol rounds54% · 50% · NEXVOID win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 90% · Legion keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 14% · NEXVOID fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, NEXVOID vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Legion habitually bans Ancient, NEXVOID's strongest maps (Ancient, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 26/29), not an opponent read, so expect NEXVOID to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapNEXLEG
MirageNEX bann/a0g70%7-3
NEXVOID on Mirage
no recent maps
AncientLEG ban68%17-80%0-1
InfernoNEX pick64%21-1250%3-3
Dust2LEG pick57%12-950%8-8
CacheNEX ban0%0-50%0-2
AnubisLEG ban33%3-640%2-3
Each team's usual first ban: NEXVOID Mirage · Legion Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
NEXVOID
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/72 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 22 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs The HunsDust2from 8 downvs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassfrom 7 downvs 5starNukefrom 6 downvs KaleidoAncientfrom 6 downvs Rare AtomInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/58 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 58 maps they lost, 25 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 8 · lost 14-16vs The HunsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs Alter EgoInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs TYLOOCacheled 6 · lost 10-13vs Just SwingCacheled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The HunsDust2from 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs The HunsAncient16-13vs The HunsInferno16-14vs fullwInferno16-12vs The HunsDust216-12vs BMZAncient17-19
Legion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/26 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 26 maps they won, 7 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs KaleidoMiragefrom 8 downvs Just SwingDust2from 6 downvs OxinGameNukefrom 6 downvs Haunted HouseMiragefrom 5 downvs AriseOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/30 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 8 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs ScarXDust2led 4 · lost 8-13vs NasNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs MorningstarInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13vs Change The GameOverpassled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs KaleidoMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs AriseDust216-14vs ScarXMirage19-17vs DEPODust216-14vs Haunted HouseNuke13-16vs Haunted HouseDust214-16