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Predictions / ODDIK vs Procyon · match preview
ODDIK vs Procyon: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2
ODDIK
World #140 · 39-22
VS
2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Procyon
World #173 · 23-38
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
81%19%
74%
1.263.54Market · 6 books
26%The call · high confidence
ODDIK are favoured: our model gives them 81% against Procyon. Bookmakers lean ODDIK at 74%. Strength clearly favours ODDIK, record slightly favours ODDIK, firepower slightly favours ODDIK, head-to-head clearly favours ODDIK.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ODDIKpullProcyon
Team strength1635
148180/20 ODD
Track record39–22
23–3867/33 ODD
Recent formLWWLW
WLWWW56/44 PRO
Roster rating1.14
1.0869/31 ODD
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 ODD
Bookmakers imply 74% for ODDIK (1.26 / 3.54); we land 7 points higher at 81%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (142 maps of ODDIK, 139 of Procyon). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: ODDIK leads 1–0.
Bottom line: ODDIK to beat Procyon, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsODDIK · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Procyon · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
ODDIK
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Imperial#623-50-2
ODDIK vs Imperial
Aug 27LDust25-13Mirage13-9Cache3-13Jan 29WAnubis14-16Overpass13-5Dust213-10Jan 22LAnubis9-13Overpass5-13Procyon vs Imperial
Aug 3LMirage9-13Nuke3-13
Galorys#886-40-3
ODDIK vs Galorys
Sep 6LAncient14-16Dust29-13Mar 21WNuke16-14Dust213-9Feb 26WOverpass9-13Dust213-4Ancient13-7+1 earlier meeting
Marsborne#942-20-4
Bounty Hunters#958-21-2
ODDIK vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 24WDust213-8Cache8-13Mirage13-1Mar 21WNuke13-11Dust213-5Jan 31WAncient11-13Anubis13-11Overpass13-4+1 earlier meeting
Procyon vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 27LDust22-13Mirage13-3Nuke9-13
LP#996-30-2
ALKA#1222-02-5
Isurus#1583-26-5
Procyon vs Isurus
May 21LMirage8-13Dust27-13Apr 4LDust28-13Inferno13-16Mar 11LDust24-13+3 earlier meetings
Yawara#1685-20-2
ODDIK vs Yawara
Aug 27WAnubis13-4Mirage13-7Mar 6LAncient6-13Anubis13-9Nuke5-13Mar 5WDust213-2Overpass13-3Procyon vs Yawara
May 7LMirage6-13Dust25-13Map lab
ODDIK64%to win the Bo3 · most likely ODDIK 2-0
If the veto goes
ODDIK 64%how the series ends36% Procyon
41%2-011%
23%2-126%
ODDIK77%21-9vsProcyon23%16-25
70%Win39%
62%CT51%
56%T46%
53%Pistol49%
81%Conv83%
ODDIK53%7-6vsProcyon47%16-16
54%Win50%
51%CT45%
49%T54%
50%Pistol48%
85%Conv74%
ODDIK47%9-8vsProcyon53%4-3
53%Win57%
52%CT60%
48%T49%
56%Pistol64%
89%Conv89%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ODDIKDust2Procyon
62%CT side51%
56%T side46%
53%Pistol49%
81%After win83%
39%After loss21%
ODDIKInfernoProcyon
51%CT side45%
49%T side54%
50%Pistol48%
85%After win74%
15%After loss21%
ODDIKAnubisProcyon
52%CT side60%
48%T side49%
56%Pistol64%
89%After win89%
7%After loss80%
Pistol rounds53% · 50% · ODDIK win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 80% · ODDIK keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol25% · 25% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ODDIK vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapODDPRO
MirageODD ban80%8-236%8-14
AncientPRO ban52%15-1457%4-3
Dust2ODD pick70%21-939%16-25
InfernoPRO pick54%7-650%16-16
NukeODD ban52%11-1041%9-13
CachePRO ban67%4-2n/a0g
ODDIK on Cache
W
Grêmio13–324d agoWALKA13–126d agoLImperial3–1327d agoWIsurus13–1129d agoLBounty Hunters8–132mo agoW
paiN Academy13–112mo agoProcyon on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: ODDIK Mirage · Procyon Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ODDIK
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/83 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 83 maps they won, 19 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 7 downvs MEIA NOITEMiragefrom 6 downvs GameHuntersNukefrom 5 downvs ImperialDust2from 5 downvs GalorysOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ImperialAnubisled 8 · lost 14-16vs Patins da FerrariDust2led 6 · lost 14-16vs FluxoDust2led 5 · lost 18-22vs MarsborneInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13vs Keyd StarsNukeled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ImperialAnubisled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs FluxoAncient22-18vs GameHuntersNuke16-14vs ImperialAnubis14-16vs FluxoDust218-22vs LPAncient13-16
Procyon
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/59 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 13 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 downvs ALKAInfernofrom 8 downvs LUNADust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEOverpassfrom 6 downvs ShindeNDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/80 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 80 maps they lost, 23 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs IsurusInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs MAGICOSAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs GameHuntersNukeled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs BESTIA AcademyDust212-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs ShindeNDust214-16vs UNO MILLEDust217-19vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16