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Predictions / BORRACHEIROS vs DAMAJUANA · match preview
BORRACHEIROS vs DAMAJUANA: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 6
BOR
BORRACHEIROS
World #178 · 6-9
VS
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
DAMAJUANA
World #220 · 2-9
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
68%32%
The call · high confidence
BORRACHEIROS are favoured: our model gives them 68% against DAMAJUANA. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours BORRACHEIROS, record slightly favours BORRACHEIROS, firepower clearly favours BORRACHEIROS, head-to-head slightly favours BORRACHEIROS.
Likely mapsAncient · Nuke · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BORRACHEIROSpullDAMAJUANA
Team strength1471
141462/38 BOR
Track record6–9
2–967/33 BOR
Recent formLLWLL
LWLLL54/46 DAM
Roster rating1.11
0.8987/13 BOR
Head-to-head2 maps
1 maps60/40 BOR
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 86% our own signal (39 maps of BORRACHEIROS, 25 of DAMAJUANA). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: BORRACHEIROS leads 1–0.
Bottom line: BORRACHEIROS to beat DAMAJUANA, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsBORRACHEIROS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
DAMAJUANA · avg 0.89 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
BORRACHEIROS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
BESTIA Academy#1804-10-4
Map lab
BORRACHEIROS56%to win the Bo3 · most likely BORRACHEIROS 2-0
If the veto goes
BORRACHEIROS 56%how the series ends44% DAMAJUANA
29%2-016%
28%2-128%
BORRACHEIROS74%5-4vsDAMAJUANA26%0-4
56%Win0%
64%CT44%
38%T26%
50%Pistol38%
67%Conv100%
BORRACHEIROS39%0-4vsDAMAJUANA61%1-1
0%Win50%
53%CT35%
43%T46%
75%Pistol25%
83%Conv0%
BORRACHEIROS50%2-2vsDAMAJUANA50%2-2
50%Win50%
53%CT43%
56%T50%
63%Pistol25%
60%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BORRACHEIROSAncientDAMAJUANA
64%CT side44%
38%T side26%
50%Pistol38%
67%After win100%
22%After loss0%
BORRACHEIROSNukeDAMAJUANA
53%CT side35%
43%T side46%
75%Pistol25%
83%After win0%
0%After loss0%
BORRACHEIROSAnubisDAMAJUANA
53%CT side43%
56%T side50%
63%Pistol25%
60%After win100%
67%After loss0%
Pistol rounds59% · 30% · BORRACHEIROS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol70% · 83% · DAMAJUANA keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 0% · BORRACHEIROS fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BORRACHEIROS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBORDAM
CacheBOR bann/a0g50%1-1
BORRACHEIROS on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2DAM ban50%3-30%0-1
BORRACHEIROS on Dust2
L
ALKA4–1319d agoLPeladona10–1321d agoL
Galorys1–131mo agoWUNO MILLE13–51mo agoW
ODDIK13–102mo agoWBESTIA Academy13–72mo agoDAMAJUANA on Dust2
L
LP3–137mo agoAncientBOR pick56%5-40%0-4
NukeDAM pick0%0-450%1-1
BORRACHEIROS on Nuke
LBESTIA Academy20–2222d agoLGalorys2–1325d agoLALKA13–161mo agoLALKA10–132mo agoInfernoBOR ban29%2-514%1-6
MirageDAM ban44%4-520%1-4
Anubisdecider50%2-250%2-2
Each team's usual first ban: BORRACHEIROS Cache · DAMAJUANA Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BORRACHEIROS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/16 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 3 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs Keyd StarsAncientfrom 6 downvs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 6 downvs Keyd StarsAnubisfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/23 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 23 maps they lost, 8 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13vs ALKANukeled 7 · lost 13-16vs PeladonaDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs MEIA NOITEAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs ALKANukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Keyd StarsAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs Keyd StarsAncient16-14vs ALKANuke13-16vs MEIA NOITEAncient16-13vs BESTIA AcademyNuke20-22vs GalorysAncient19-15
DAMAJUANA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/6 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 2 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs ELITESInfernofrom 3 downvs ZettaAnubisfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/19 (16%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 3 (16%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ELITESAncientled 4 · lost 7-13vs VascoMirageled 3 · lost 18-22vs PlayersInfernoled 3 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ELITESInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ELITESAncientled 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini6.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs PlayersInferno16-19vs VascoMirage18-22vs PlayersInferno17-19