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Predictions / METANOIA Wolves vs Procyon · match preview
METANOIA Wolves vs Procyon: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 6
METANOIA Wolves
World #225 · 13-30
VS
2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
Procyon
World #182 · 22-38
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
35%65%
The call
Procyon are favoured: our model gives them 65% against METANOIA Wolves. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Procyon, form clearly favours Procyon, firepower clearly favours Procyon, head-to-head slightly favours METANOIA Wolves.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
METANOIA WolvespullProcyon
Team strength1363
146972/28 PRO
Track record13–30
22–3856/44 PRO
Recent formLLLWL
LWWWL73/27 PRO
Roster rating0.93
1.0796/4 PRO
Head-to-head4 maps
2 maps63/37 MET
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 96% our own signal (98 maps of METANOIA Wolves, 136 of Procyon). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: METANOIA Wolves leads 2–0.
Bottom line: Procyon to beat METANOIA Wolves, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsMETANOIA Wolves · avg 0.93 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALENNNCAR★ | 1.02 | 72.1 | 69% | 35% | 1.08 |
| vzn | 0.84 | 69.9 | 66.9% | 47% | 0.95 |
| khowy | 0.79 | 60 | 69.1% | 65% | 0.93 |
| Tineu | 0.75 | 60.4 | 63.6% | 44% | 0.87 |
| kepeer | 0.53 | 57 | 78.7% | 44% | 0.81 |
Procyon · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
METANOIA Wolves
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents2mo ago
METANOIA Wolves2 : 1
Procyon!6mo ago METANOIA Wolves2 : 1 Procyon!
METANOIA Wolves2 : 1 Procyon!⚠ Different lineup
METANOIA Wolves
outspinnie
inkepeer
METANOIA Wolves2 : 1 Procyon!⚠ Different lineup
METANOIA Wolves
outLcs, Thuister, sakamoto, spinnie
inALENNNCAR, Tineu, kepeer, khowy
Procyon
outAGL
inlaser
Imperial#620-10-2
METANOIA Wolves vs Imperial
Apr 24LNuke6-13Procyon vs Imperial
Aug 3LMirage9-13Nuke3-13
LP#1010-30-2
Procyon vs LP
Feb 6LDust26-13Overpass6-13
ODDIK#1130-20-2
METANOIA Wolves vs ODDIK
Sep 4LMirage5-13Ancient11-13Procyon vs ODDIK
Jul 17LDust25-13Anubis11-13
ALKA#1232-00-4
METANOIA Wolves vs ALKA
Apr 23WNuke13-9Dust213-7
Bounty Hunters#1384-21-2
METANOIA Wolves vs Bounty Hunters
May 4LAnubis4-13Ancient7-13Mar 25WDust213-6Mirage13-11Mar 21WDust213-10Nuke19-17Procyon vs Bounty Hunters
Apr 27LDust22-13Mirage13-3Nuke9-13
Keyd Stars#1643-42-0
METANOIA Wolves vs Keyd Stars
May 22LDust29-13Ancient2-13May 16LAncient13-1Dust211-13Nuke11-13Apr 24WNuke13-9Anubis13-8Procyon vs Keyd Stars
Sep 4WAncient13-11Inferno16-14
Yawara#1760-20-2
METANOIA Wolves vs Yawara
Jul 8LInferno7-13Anubis8-13Procyon vs Yawara
May 7LMirage6-13Dust25-13
BESTIA Academy#1802-01-6
METANOIA Wolves vs BESTIA Academy
May 13WDust213-6Ancient13-4Procyon vs BESTIA Academy
May 17LNuke5-13Mirage4-13Apr 5LNuke7-13Inferno11-13Feb 10LNuke13-11Mirage4-13Dust212-16Map lab
Procyon53%to win the Bo3 · most likely METANOIA Wolves 2-1
If the veto goes
METANOIA Wolves 47%how the series ends53% Procyon
21%2-026%
26%2-126%
METANOIA Wolves60%16-16vsProcyon40%16-24
50%Win40%
54%CT51%
51%T47%
55%Pistol50%
83%Conv83%
METANOIA Wolves35%5-11vsProcyon65%15-16
31%Win48%
43%CT44%
45%T54%
44%Pistol48%
50%Conv73%
METANOIA Wolves50%0-3thinProcyon50%0-0
0%Win–
50%CT–
39%T–
83%Pistol–
80%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
METANOIA WolvesDust2Procyon
54%CT side51%
51%T side47%
55%Pistol50%
83%After win83%
10%After loss20%
METANOIA WolvesInfernoProcyon
43%CT side44%
45%T side54%
44%Pistol48%
50%After win73%
28%After loss22%
METANOIA WolvesCacheProcyon
50%CT side–
39%T side–
83%Pistol–
80%After win–
0%After loss–
Pistol rounds53% · 49% · METANOIA Wolves win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol74% · 79% · Procyon keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol17% · 21% · Procyon fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, METANOIA Wolves vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMETPRO
MirageMET ban9%1-1036%8-14
AncientPRO ban41%7-1057%4-3
Dust2MET pick50%16-1640%16-24
InfernoPRO pick31%5-1148%15-16
AnubisMET ban20%1-457%4-3
NukePRO ban38%5-838%8-13
Cachedecider0%0-3n/a0g
Procyon on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: METANOIA Wolves Mirage · Procyon Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
METANOIA Wolves
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/35 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 8 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs GUARADust2from 10 downvs GUARANukefrom 5 downvs MAGICOSInfernofrom 4 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/63 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 16 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs LPAncientled 5 · lost 7-13vs Keyd StarsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs ImperialNukeled 4 · lost 6-13vs LPNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GUARADust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs Bounty HuntersNuke19-17vs VascoAncient13-16vs Turma do PagodeDust219-16vs GUARANuke16-13vs MAGICOSDust219-22
Procyon
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/57 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 12 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 downvs LUNADust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEOverpassfrom 6 downvs ShindeNDust2from 5 downvs GUARAMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/79 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 22 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs IsurusInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs MAGICOSAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs GameHuntersNukeled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs BESTIA AcademyDust212-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs ShindeNDust214-16vs UNO MILLEDust217-19vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16