Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Peladona vs your end · match preview
Peladona vs your end: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 6
PELYOU
Peladona
World #– · 4-1
VS
2026-09-23 19:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
your end
World #– · 2-1
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
60%40%
The call
Peladona are favoured: our model gives them 60% against your end. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Peladona, record slightly favours Peladona, firepower clearly favours Peladona.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Peladonapullyour end
Team strength1544
150957/43 PEL
Track record4–1
2–163/37 PEL
Recent formLWWWW
WWL52/48 PEL
Roster rating1.15
1.0783/17 PEL
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 70% our own signal (13 maps of Peladona, 9 of your end).
Bottom line: Peladona to beat your end, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsPeladona · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
your end · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Peladona58%to win the Bo3 · most likely Peladona 2-0
If the veto goes
Peladona 58%how the series ends42% your end
34%2-014%
24%2-128%
Peladona73%5-0vsyour end27%0-3
100%Win0%
76%CT42%
56%T34%
70%Pistol33%
86%Conv100%
Peladona47%3-1vsyour end53%2-0
75%Win100%
43%CT56%
63%T67%
75%Pistol75%
100%Conv67%
Peladona46%0-1vsyour end54%2-1
0%Win67%
25%CT58%
67%T38%
50%Pistol33%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
PeladonaDust2your end
76%CT side42%
56%T side34%
70%Pistol33%
86%After win100%
33%After loss25%
PeladonaInfernoyour end
43%CT side56%
63%T side67%
75%Pistol75%
100%After win67%
0%After loss0%
PeladonaAncientyour end
25%CT side58%
67%T side38%
50%Pistol33%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds70% · 44% · Peladona win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol93% · 86% · Peladona keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol17% · 11% · Peladona fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Peladona vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPELYOU
AnubisPEL bann/a0g100%1-0
Peladona on Anubis
no recent maps
your end on Anubis
W
Turma do Pagode13–815d agoCacheYOU ban0%0-1n/a0g
Peladona on Cache
L
Imperial8–1315d agoyour end on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2PEL pick100%5-00%0-3
InfernoYOU pick75%3-1100%2-0
NukePEL bann/a0gn/a0g
Peladona on Nuke
no recent maps
your end on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageYOU ban50%1-1n/a0g
your end on Mirage
no recent maps
Ancientdecider0%0-167%2-1
Peladona on Ancient
L
Isurus11–1316d agoEach team's usual first ban: Peladona Anubis · your end Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Peladona
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/9 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 4 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs IsurusInfernofrom 6 downvs paiN AcademyMiragefrom 4 downvs ProcyonInfernofrom 4 downvs BORRACHEIROSDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/4 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 1 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs IsurusAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs IsurusInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs IsurusAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi46% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT46% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs paiN AcademyMirage16-14vs ImperialDust216-13
your end
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/5 (80%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 4 (80%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 80% of their wins were comebacks, not 80% of all games.vs RUSHInfernofrom 9 downvs UnderworldAncientfrom 6 downvs RUSHAncientfrom 5 downvs UnderworldInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/4 (75%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 3 (75%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UnderworldDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs RUSHDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs Turma do PagodeDust2led 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSHInfernofrom 9 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UnderworldDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample