Nordic Partners are favoured: our model gives them 61% against REVENIX. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Nordic Partners, record slightly favours Nordic Partners, firepower slightly favours Nordic Partners.
Likely mapsAnubis · Nuke · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Nordic PartnerspullREVENIX
Team strength1476
142461/39 NOR
Track record2–8
1–669/31 NOR
Recent formLWLLW
LWLLL54/46 NOR
Roster rating0.99
0.9567/33 NOR
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 78% our own signal (23 maps of Nordic Partners, 15 of REVENIX).
Bottom line: Nordic Partners to beat REVENIX, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings
Nordic Partners · avg 0.99 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
REVENIX · avg 0.95 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Nordic Partners50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nordic Partners 2-0
If the veto goes
Nordic Partners 50%how the series ends50% REVENIX
25%2-025%
25%2-125%
Map 1AnubisNordic Partne… pick
Nordic Partners50%3-5vsREVENIX50%1-2
38%Win33%
46%CT45%
54%T39%
38%Pistol33%
83%Conv50%
Map 2NukeREVENIX pick
Nordic Partners50%1-1vsREVENIX50%1-1
50%Win50%
67%CT38%
30%T52%
75%Pistol100%
100%Conv100%
Map 3Cachedecider
Nordic Partners50%1-3thinREVENIX50%0-0
25%Win–
37%CT–
39%T–
38%Pistol–
33%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns
CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Nordic PartnersAnubisREVENIX
46%CT side45%
54%T side39%
38%Pistol33%
83%After win50%
30%After loss50%
Nordic PartnersNukeREVENIX
67%CT side38%
30%T side52%
75%Pistol100%
100%After win100%
0%After loss–
Nordic PartnersCacheREVENIX
37%CT side–
39%T side–
38%Pistol–
33%After win–
40%After loss–
Pistol rounds43% · 60% · REVENIX win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol75% · 83% · REVENIX keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol31% · 50% · REVENIX fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nordic Partners vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Each team's usual first ban: Nordic Partners Ancient · REVENIX Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Nordic Partners
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/7 (14%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 1 (14%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 14% of their wins were comebacks, not 14% of all games.vs BET-MAnubisfrom 3 down
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GenOneAnubis12-16
REVENIX
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/2 (100%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 2 (100%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 100% of their wins were comebacks, not 100% of all games.vs Giant PandasNukefrom 4 downvs Giant PandasAnubisfrom 4 down