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Predictions / Sashi vs 9INE · match preview
Sashi vs 9INE: CS2 match prediction · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier
Sashi
World #58 · 45-36
VS
2026-09-25 17:30 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
9INE
World #67 · 31-31
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
57%43%
46%
21.73Market · 23 books
54%The call
Sashi are favoured: our model gives them 57% against 9INE. Bookmakers lean 9INE at 54%. Form clearly favours 9INE, firepower slightly favours 9INE.
Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Sashipull9INE
Team strength1575
155554/46 SAS
Track record45–36
31–3152/48 SAS
Recent formLLLWW
WLWWW72/28 9IN
Roster rating1.1
1.1358/42 9IN
Head-to-head2 maps2 maps50/50
Bookmakers imply 46% for Sashi (2 / 1.73); we land 11 points higher at 57%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (172 maps of Sashi, 136 of 9INE). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: split 1–1.
Bottom line: Sashi to beat 9INE, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsSashi · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
9INE · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Sashi
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents3mo ago
Sashi2 : 1
9INE!7mo ago Sashi8 : 13 9INE!
Sashi2 : 1 9INE!⚠ Different lineup
Sashi
outBeccie
inAnlelele
9INE
outSt0m4k, cej0t
inkraghen, rim3
Sashi8 : 13 9INE!⚠ Different lineup
Sashi
outBeccie
inAnlelele
9INE
outbnox, cej0t, shield
inb1elany, flayy, rim3
GamerLegion#200-22-2
Sashi vs GamerLegion
Feb 23LOverpass1-13Mirage10-13
Inner Circle#221-21-3
Sashi vs Inner Circle
Jun 26LOverpass16-14Dust212-16Nuke14-16
Liquid#272-00-2
Sashi vs Liquid
Mar 31WNuke13-10Anubis13-109INE vs Liquid
Aug 4LCache4-13Anubis6-13
HOTU#320-20-6
K27#390-22-1
Sashi vs K27
Mar 9LNuke5-13Mirage9-139INE vs K27
Jan 21WAncient12-16Overpass13-0Dust213-6
fnatic#423-12-0
9INE vs fnatic
Mar 7WAnubis13-7Ancient13-6
EYEBALLERS#431-21-2
Sashi vs EYEBALLERS
May 22LAncient13-3Overpass0-13Anubis9-139INE vs EYEBALLERS
Feb 27LDust213-9Ancient9-13Nuke8-13
FOKUS#452-52-0
Map lab
9INE59%to win the Bo3 · most likely 9INE 2-0
If the veto goes
Sashi 41%how the series ends59% 9INE
18%2-033%
23%2-126%
Sashi47%23-19vs9INE53%14-10
55%Win58%
59%CT57%
47%T51%
55%Pistol42%
70%Conv95%
Sashi38%13-14vs9INE62%19-12
48%Win61%
51%CT60%
49%T50%
44%Pistol65%
88%Conv85%
Sashi47%8-5vs9INE53%4-2
62%Win67%
54%CT56%
53%T55%
65%Pistol50%
82%Conv83%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
SashiNuke9INE
59%CT side57%
47%T side51%
55%Pistol42%
70%After win95%
21%After loss25%
SashiAncient9INE
51%CT side60%
49%T side50%
44%Pistol65%
88%After win85%
23%After loss14%
SashiCache9INE
54%CT side56%
53%T side55%
65%Pistol50%
82%After win83%
44%After loss17%
Pistol rounds53% · 54% · level, no edge
After a won pistol77% · 88% · 9INE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol25% · 20% · Sashi fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Sashi vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSAS9IN
MirageSAS ban29%4-1060%3-2
Inferno9IN ban71%15-627%4-11
NukeSAS pick55%23-1958%14-10
Ancient9IN pick48%13-1461%19-12
Dust2SAS ban38%10-1646%11-13
Anubis9IN ban60%6-436%5-9
Each team's usual first ban: Sashi Mirage · 9INE Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Sashi
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/88 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 88 maps they won, 28 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 downvs KOLESIEAncientfrom 6 downvs ECSTATICNukefrom 5 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 5 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/82 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 82 maps they lost, 21 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs WalczakiInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Nuclear TigeRESNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs OmegaMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs PhantomMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs MASONICNuke16-12vs ECSTATICMirage13-16vs OmegaAncient19-16vs Lazer CatsNuke13-16vs fnaticAncient14-16
9INE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/69 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 69 maps they won, 23 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs AllianceAnubisfrom 8 downvs STATECachefrom 8 downvs G2 AresMiragefrom 8 downvs TrickedNukefrom 7 downvs TrickedAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/65 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 65 maps they lost, 23 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 8 · lost 23-25vs MonteInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs HOTUNukeled 7 · lost 13-16vs ex-RUBYAncientled 6 · lost 7-13vs OGInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AllianceAnubisfrom 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 8 · lost 23-25
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs K27Ancient12-16vs BIG AcademyNuke12-16vs BIG AcademyDust228-24vs Gentle MatesAncient14-16vs NRGDust223-25