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Predictions / Metizport vs BAKS · match preview
Metizport vs BAKS: CS2 match prediction · NODWIN Clutch Series 13
Metizport
World #59 · 50-40
VS
2026-10-25 12:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · Best of 3
BAKS
World #99 · 22-19
NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · Best of 3
70%30%
The call · high confidence
Metizport are favoured: our model gives them 70% against BAKS. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Metizport, firepower slightly favours Metizport.
Likely mapsNuke · Cache · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
MetizportpullBAKS
Team strength1636
153870/30 MET
Track record50–40
22–1954/46 MET
Recent formLWWLL
WLWLL53/47 BAK
Roster rating1.11
1.0868/32 MET
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 96% our own signal (199 maps of Metizport, 102 of BAKS).
Bottom line: Metizport to beat BAKS, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsMetizport · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BAKS · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Metizport
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
K27#462-40-2
BAKS vs K27
Sep 30LCache17-19Nuke10-13
ex-RUSTEC#702-02-1
Metizport vs ex-RUSTEC
Oct 20WAnubis13-7Nuke13-9BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 18WDust27-13Cache13-10Nuke13-8
FORZE Reload#801-22-2
Metizport vs FORZE Reload
Jan 29LNuke5-13Overpass13-9Ancient9-13
Leo#882-00-2
Metizport vs Leo
Mar 3WDust213-10Nuke13-11BAKS vs Leo
Sep 26LCache9-13Nuke10-13
Fire Flux#962-02-1
Metizport vs Fire Flux
Aug 19WAnubis13-7Ancient13-6BAKS vs Fire Flux
Aug 14WDust213-6Inferno7-13Cache13-8
Bushido Wildcats#1130-22-1
Metizport vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 28LMirage9-13Nuke4-13BAKS vs Bushido Wildcats
Oct 14WCache16-14Dust29-13Mirage13-2
OG#1262-32-0
EX-ex-RUBY2-32-1
BAKS vs ex-RUBY
Sep 13WCache13-6Mirage5-13Ancient13-5Map lab
BAKS55%to win the Bo3 · most likely BAKS 2-1
If the veto goes
Metizport 45%how the series ends55% BAKS
26%2-022%
19%2-133%
Metizport62%30-20vsBAKS38%8-9
60%Win47%
53%CT58%
51%T38%
45%Pistol56%
89%Conv79%
Metizport42%5-4vsBAKS58%19-11
56%Win63%
57%CT56%
41%T53%
50%Pistol48%
100%Conv93%
Metizport37%14-10vsBAKS63%6-2
58%Win75%
53%CT52%
51%T55%
56%Pistol44%
81%Conv71%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MetizportNukeBAKS
53%CT side58%
51%T side38%
45%Pistol56%
89%After win79%
29%After loss13%
MetizportCacheBAKS
57%CT side56%
41%T side53%
50%Pistol48%
100%After win93%
33%After loss23%
MetizportAncientBAKS
53%CT side52%
51%T side55%
56%Pistol44%
81%After win71%
24%After loss11%
Pistol rounds49% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol88% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol28% · 19% · Metizport fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Metizport vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
BAKS habitually bans Anubis, Metizport's strongest maps (Nuke, Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 40/42), not an opponent read, so expect Metizport to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapMETBAK
Dust2MET ban36%5-936%8-14
AnubisBAK ban64%7-4n/a0g
Metizport on Anubis
Wex-RUSTEC13–72d agoL
Younglings6–139d agoW
Inner Circle Academy13–925d agoL
M809–131mo agoW
Walczaki13–92mo agoW
PCIFIC13–72mo agoL
ASTRAL10–132mo agoWFire Flux13–72mo agoBAKS on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeMET pick60%30-2047%8-9
CacheBAK pick56%5-463%19-11
MirageMET ban54%15-1375%9-3
InfernoBAK ban61%22-1433%4-8
Ancientdecider58%14-1075%6-2
Each team's usual first ban: Metizport Dust2 · BAKS Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Metizport
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/112 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 112 maps they won, 38 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 downvs OGInfernofrom 9 downvs SIXSEVENDust2from 7 downvs ALGOMiragefrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyOverpassfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/86 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 86 maps they lost, 27 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs K27Mirageled 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs FAVBETNukeled 5 · lost 17-19vs LuminosityMirageled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs BebopMirage20-22vs SIXSEVENDust216-14vs AllianceNuke17-19vs Lazer CatsInferno16-13vs AaBOverpass16-13
BAKS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/54 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 54 maps they won, 17 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 downvs CRUISER AURORAMiragefrom 10 downvs G2 AresCachefrom 10 downvs K28Dust2from 9 downvs SPARTAAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/48 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 16 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs K27Cacheled 7 · lost 17-19vs G2 AresInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LFO 10Cacheled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs G2 AresAncient22-20