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Predictions / Rooster vs LFO 8 · match preview
Rooster vs LFO 8: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 3
Rooster
World #174 · 32-23
VS
2026-10-12 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 3 · Best of 3
LFO 8
World #181 · 6-7
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 3 · Best of 3
69%31%
The call · high confidence
Rooster are favoured: our model gives them 69% against LFO 8. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Rooster, record slightly favours Rooster, firepower slightly favours Rooster, head-to-head clearly favours Rooster.
Likely mapsDust2 · Cache · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
RoosterpullLFO 8
Team strength1553
148964/36 ROO
Track record32–23
6–759/41 ROO
Recent formLWLWL
LLWWL53/47 ROO
Roster rating1.11
0.9868/32 ROO
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 ROO
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 87% our own signal (122 maps of Rooster, 30 of LFO 8). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Rooster leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Rooster to beat LFO 8, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsRooster · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
LFO 8 · avg 0.98 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Rooster
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FlyQuest#750-20-2
Rooster vs FlyQuest
Sep 25LAnubis8-13Nuke3-13LFO 8 vs FlyQuest
Sep 23LCache3-13Dust24-13
Ground Zero#1397-190-2
Rooster vs Ground Zero
Sep 27LAnubis13-6Nuke11-13Aug 28LAnubis4-13Nuke15-19Jun 18WNuke2-13Anubis13-11Mirage13-11+8 earlier meetings
LFO 8 vs Ground Zero
Aug 26LAncient10-13Dust23-13
Finishers#1952-02-0
Rooster vs Finishers
Aug 3WDust213-4Anubis13-0LFO 8 vs Finishers
Sep 9WInferno16-14Cache16-12
Mindfreak#2137-74-1
Rooster vs Mindfreak
Sep 23WNuke13-9Cache13-1Aug 11LInferno9-13Anubis13-6Mirage10-13Jul 17LNuke9-13Inferno14-16+3 earlier meetings
MARMARKandLARRY6-12-4
Map lab
Rooster55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Rooster 2-0
If the veto goes
Rooster 55%how the series ends45% LFO 8
34%2-017%
21%2-127%
Rooster58%13-9vsLFO 842%3-3
59%Win50%
57%CT56%
53%T28%
50%Pistol17%
77%Conv100%
Rooster58%2-0vsLFO 842%3-3
100%Win50%
100%CT47%
58%T46%
100%Pistol58%
100%Conv86%
Rooster44%8-18vsLFO 856%2-4
31%Win33%
47%CT54%
39%T44%
33%Pistol42%
76%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
RoosterDust2LFO 8
57%CT side56%
53%T side28%
50%Pistol17%
77%After win100%
18%After loss20%
RoosterCacheLFO 8
100%CT side47%
58%T side46%
100%Pistol58%
100%After win86%
–After loss0%
RoosterNukeLFO 8
47%CT side54%
39%T side44%
33%Pistol42%
76%After win80%
24%After loss14%
Pistol rounds43% · 39% · Rooster win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 86% · LFO 8 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol21% · 14% · Rooster fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Rooster vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
LFO 8 habitually bans Mirage, Rooster's strongest maps (Overpass, Anubis, Mirage, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Mirage 11/13), not an opponent read, so expect Rooster to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapROOLFO
AncientROO bann/a0g50%2-2
Rooster on Ancient
no recent maps
MirageLFO ban60%9-60%0-1
Dust2ROO pick59%13-950%3-3
CacheLFO pick100%2-050%3-3
InfernoROO ban50%10-1067%4-2
AnubisLFO ban65%13-70%0-1
Each team's usual first ban: Rooster Ancient · LFO 8 Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Rooster
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/68 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 68 maps they won, 20 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakAnubisfrom 6 downvs AbyssalMiragefrom 6 downvs FURYCachefrom 6 downvs WYDOInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/54 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 54 maps they lost, 18 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs FlyQuestAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs ArcadeNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ground ZeroDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs AbyssalOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroNuke14-16vs ArcadeNuke16-14vs ArcadeOverpass16-13vs ArcadeOverpass16-12vs MindfreakAnubis22-20
LFO 8
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/14 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 7 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs MindfreakDust2from 9 downvs madlikewizardsCachefrom 4 downvs FinishersInfernofrom 4 downvs FinishersCachefrom 4 downvs MARKandLARRYCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/16 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 16 maps they lost, 4 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs Ground ZeroAncientled 8 · lost 10-13vs RoosterInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs MARKandLARRYNukeled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MindfreakDust2from 9 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakNukeled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs FinishersInferno16-14vs FinishersCache16-12vs MindfreakDust219-17