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Predictions / HOTU vs The Huns · match preview
HOTU vs The Huns: CS2 match prediction · GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026
HOTU
World #38 · 71-38
VS
2026-10-31 09:00 UTC
GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 · Best of 3
The Huns
World #134 · 43-41
GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 · Best of 3
75%25%
The call · high confidence
HOTU are favoured: our model gives them 75% against The Huns. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours HOTU, record slightly favours HOTU.
Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
HOTUpullThe Huns
Team strength1668
150880/20 HOT
Track record71–38
43–4160/40 HOT
Recent formLLWLW
LLWLL55/45 HOT
Roster rating1.15
1.0252/48 HOT
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 98% our own signal (264 maps of HOTU, 196 of The Huns).
Bottom line: HOTU to beat The Huns, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsHOTU · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
The Huns · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| controlez★ | 0.95 | 74.7 | 68.9% | 56% | 1.05 |
| Cozen | 0.9 | 69.9 | 72.7% | 54% | 1.03 |
| bexyz | 0.93 | 69.3 | 68.7% | 67% | 1.03 |
| Bart4k | 0.95 | 68.4 | 69.3% | 58% | 1 |
| DarkMeister | 0.99 | 72 | 66% | 56% | 0.99 |
Recent form
HOTU
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Aurora#52-60-2
HOTU vs Aurora
Jul 26LCache11-13Anubis13-9Mirage9-13Apr 13LMirage4-13Dust213-16Jan 13LMirage7-13Overpass5-13The Huns vs Aurora
May 10LNuke4-13Dust23-13
DEPO#1224-13-2
NOVAQ2-12-1
HOTU vs NOVAQ
Jan 3WMirage13-2Dust213-6Overpass13-16The Huns vs NOVAQ
Jun 25WDust27-13Ancient13-6Overpass16-14
CYBERSHOKE Prospects2-10-2
HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Aug 23WAnubis9-13Nuke13-8Dust213-9The Huns vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jun 26LDust21-13Nuke16-19Map lab
HOTU52%to win the Bo3 · most likely HOTU 2-0
If the veto goes
HOTU 52%how the series ends48% The Huns
30%2-019%
22%2-128%
HOTU63%45-25vsThe Huns37%22-21
64%Win51%
52%CT49%
55%T48%
52%Pistol47%
86%Conv83%
HOTU48%18-14vsThe Huns52%24-17
56%Win59%
57%CT58%
48%T48%
52%Pistol46%
79%Conv78%
HOTU44%22-22vsThe Huns56%22-17
50%Win56%
53%CT54%
46%T52%
56%Pistol55%
85%Conv93%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
HOTUDust2The Huns
52%CT side49%
55%T side48%
52%Pistol47%
86%After win83%
19%After loss20%
HOTUNukeThe Huns
57%CT side58%
48%T side48%
52%Pistol46%
79%After win78%
13%After loss20%
HOTUAncientThe Huns
53%CT side54%
46%T side52%
56%Pistol55%
85%After win93%
5%After loss17%
Pistol rounds53% · 49% · HOTU win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol14% · 19% · The Huns fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, HOTU vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
The Huns habitually bans Anubis, HOTU's strongest maps (Dust2, Mirage, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 82/85), not an opponent read, so expect HOTU to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapHOTTHE
InfernoHOT ban0%0-137%13-22
AnubisTHE ban72%21-8n/a0g
HOTU on Anubis
L
fnatic4–1312d agoL
STATE5–1315d agoL
Black Phoenix2–1323d agoWRefresher13–023d agoLBlack Phoenix9–1323d agoL
Virtus.pro6–131mo agoW
BBL16–131mo agoW
100 Thieves13–81mo agoThe Huns on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2HOT pick64%45-2551%22-21
NukeTHE pick56%18-1459%24-17
MirageHOT ban63%22-1338%10-16
CacheTHE ban63%17-1067%4-2
Ancientdecider50%22-2256%22-17
Each team's usual first ban: HOTU Inferno · The Huns Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
HOTU
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i51/157 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 157 maps they won, 51 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs Gentle MatesAnubisfrom 8 downvs NemigaCachefrom 8 downvs Black PhoenixDust2from 8 downvs WWDust2from 7 downvs EntropyDust2from 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/104 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 104 maps they lost, 42 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemigaCacheled 9 · lost 4-13vs fnaticAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs WWNukeled 7 · lost 8-13vs NOVAQOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesAnubisfrom 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemigaCacheled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs NOVAQOverpass13-16vs BetBoomAncient23-25vs SangalOverpass16-14vs Gentle MatesAnubis16-12vs ALTAYDust216-14
The Huns
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/99 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 99 maps they won, 29 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs XDMDust2from 7 downvs NEXVOIDNukefrom 7 downvs NOVAQAncientfrom 7 downvs Lynn VisionDust2from 6 downvs Chinggis WarriorsNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/97 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 97 maps they lost, 27 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NEXVOIDInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13vs NEXVOIDDust2led 8 · lost 12-16vs 1337Nukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs MorningstarInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs The QUBEMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs XDMDust2from 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NEXVOIDInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs NomadSInferno19-16vs NEXVOIDAncient13-16vs NEXVOIDInferno14-16vs Chinggis WarriorsInferno16-13vs Lynn VisionDust219-17