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Predictions / 6yuBoJlbl vs ex-6666 · match preview
6yuBoJlbl vs ex-6666: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 12
6yuBoJlbl
World #177 · 3-3
VS
2026-10-22 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
ex-6666
World #72 · 7-4
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
43%57%
54%
1.722Market · 9 books
46%The call
ex-6666 are favoured: our model gives them 57% against 6yuBoJlbl. Bookmakers lean 6yuBoJlbl at 54%. Strength slightly favours ex-6666, form slightly favours ex-6666, firepower clearly favours ex-6666.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
6yuBoJlblpullex-6666
Team strength1506
156663/37 EX-
Track record3–3
7–451/49 EX-
Recent formLLWLW
WWLLL65/35 EX-
Roster rating1.08
1.1888/12 EX-
Bookmakers imply 54% for 6yuBoJlbl (1.72 / 2); we land 11 points lower at 43%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 81% our own signal (17 maps of 6yuBoJlbl, 88 of ex-6666).
Bottom line: ex-6666 to beat 6yuBoJlbl, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings6yuBoJlbl · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.29iStar gap: the best player rates 0.29 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
ex-6666 · avg 1.18 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rendysky★ | 1.42 | 84.1 | 77.3% | 47% | 1.35 |
| amster | 1.24 | 82.9 | 77% | 50% | 1.31 |
| kL1o | 0.99 | 79.6 | 75% | 58% | 1.15 |
| skcH | 0.99 | 69 | 75.7% | 52% | 1.08 |
| stefienson | 0.83 | 67 | 74.6% | 55% | 1.02 |
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsLAVLavked#1352-01-2
6yuBoJlbl vs Lavked
Oct 3WMirage13-10Dust219-17ex-6666 vs Lavked
Oct 20LNuke13-8Dust210-13Anubis3-13Map lab
ex-666655%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-6666 2-1
If the veto goes
6yuBoJlbl 45%how the series ends55% ex-6666
20%2-024%
25%2-131%
6yuBoJlbl65%4-0vsex-666635%0-2
100%Win0%
71%CT50%
58%T26%
63%Pistol50%
60%Conv100%
6yuBoJlbl31%1-2vsex-666669%4-0
33%Win100%
32%CT68%
50%T55%
17%Pistol75%
100%Conv83%
6yuBoJlbl45%0-1vsex-666655%3-1
0%Win75%
33%CT66%
17%T44%
0%Pistol50%
–Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
6yuBoJlblMirageex-6666
71%CT side50%
58%T side26%
63%Pistol50%
60%After win100%
0%After loss0%
6yuBoJlblAncientex-6666
32%CT side68%
50%T side55%
17%Pistol75%
100%After win83%
20%After loss0%
6yuBoJlblNukeex-6666
33%CT side66%
17%T side44%
0%Pistol50%
–After win75%
0%After loss25%
Pistol rounds38% · 60% · ex-6666 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol67% · 83% · ex-6666 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol10% · 13% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, 6yuBoJlbl vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Map6YUEX-
Anubis6YU bann/a0g43%3-4
6yuBoJlbl on Anubis
no recent maps
CacheEX- ban33%1-2n/a0g
ex-6666 on Cache
no recent maps
Mirage6YU pick100%4-00%0-2
AncientEX- pick33%1-2100%4-0
Inferno6YU ban0%0-267%2-1
Dust2EX- ban75%3-167%4-2
Nukedecider0%0-175%3-1
6yuBoJlbl on Nuke
L
INOX Division5–1318d agoEach team's usual first ban: 6yuBoJlbl Anubis · ex-6666 Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
6yuBoJlbl
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/9 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 4 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 9 downvs NexusMiragefrom 3 downvs LavkedDust2from 3 downvs IllyriansMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/8 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 4 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs HYPERSPIRITDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs INOX DivisionInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13vs IllyriansCacheled 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs LavkedDust219-17vs INOX DivisionDust216-12vs IllyriansCache12-16
ex-6666
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/16 (63%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 10 (63%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 63% of their wins were comebacks, not 63% of all games.vs LavkedNukefrom 10 downvs Saint SinnersDust2from 8 downvs mellrenAncientfrom 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs G2 AresInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/10 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 4 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BRUTEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13vs LavkedDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs Fire FluxInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13vs EnjoyAnubisled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedNukefrom 10 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BRUTEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample