Imperial vs ShindeN: CS2 match prediction · Circuit X Curitiba Season 4

One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.

Bookmakers imply 63% for Imperial (1.48 / 2.5); we land 9 points higher at 72%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (238 maps of Imperial, 198 of ShindeN). Head-to-head they've met 7 times: ShindeN leads 4–3.

Bottom line: Imperial to beat ShindeN, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.