Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Isurus vs Hacha · match preview
Isurus vs Hacha: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 7
Isurus
World #215 · 40-36
VS
2026-10-23 22:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
Hacha
World #229 · 3-3
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
59%41%
83%
1.095.5Market · 1 books
17%The call
Isurus are favoured: our model gives them 59% against Hacha. Bookmakers lean Isurus at 83%. Form clearly favours Hacha, firepower clearly favours Hacha.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
IsuruspullHacha
Team strength1476
148853/47 HAC
Track record40–36
3–354/46 ISU
Recent formLLLLL
WWWLL87/13 HAC
Roster rating1.06
1.1373/27 HAC
Bookmakers imply 83% for Isurus (1.09 / 5.5); we land 24 points lower at 59%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 76% our own signal (184 maps of Isurus, 13 of Hacha).
Bottom line: Isurus to beat Hacha, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsIsurus · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Hacha · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.34iStar gap: the best player rates 0.34 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Isurus
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Procyon#1125-100-3
Isurus vs Procyon
Oct 9LInferno6-13Dust23-13Oct 2LInferno14-16Ancient10-13May 21WMirage13-8Dust213-7+5 earlier meetings
LUNLUNA1-00-2
Isurus vs LUNA
Mar 10WInferno13-8Hacha vs LUNA
Mar 11LDust27-13Overpass8-13Map lab
Hacha53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Hacha 2-1
If the veto goes
Isurus 47%how the series ends53% Hacha
24%2-025%
24%2-128%
Isurus58%30-22vsHacha42%1-2
58%Win33%
54%CT47%
51%T44%
45%Pistol67%
74%Conv50%
Isurus40%9-14vsHacha60%2-1
39%Win67%
50%CT52%
42%T49%
39%Pistol67%
89%Conv75%
Isurus46%10-18vsHacha54%1-1
36%Win50%
48%CT42%
47%T53%
52%Pistol25%
97%Conv0%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
IsurusDust2Hacha
54%CT side47%
51%T side44%
45%Pistol67%
74%After win50%
25%After loss0%
IsurusAncientHacha
50%CT side52%
42%T side49%
39%Pistol67%
89%After win75%
21%After loss0%
IsurusNukeHacha
48%CT side42%
47%T side53%
52%Pistol25%
97%After win0%
26%After loss0%
Pistol rounds46% · 56% · Hacha win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 56% · Isurus keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 0% · Isurus fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Isurus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapISUHAC
AnubisISU ban0%0-10%0-1
Isurus on Anubis
L
FURIA fe4–138mo agoHacha on Anubis
LProcyon2–139d agoInfernoHAC ban54%22-190%0-1
Dust2ISU pick58%30-2233%1-2
AncientHAC pick39%9-1467%2-1
MirageISU ban52%13-12100%2-0
CacheHAC ban75%6-2n/a0g
Nukedecider36%10-1850%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: Isurus Anubis · Hacha Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Isurus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/93 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 93 maps they won, 35 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELAInfernofrom 6 downvs CrashersDust2from 6 downvs R2Overpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/91 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 91 maps they lost, 24 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs ShindeNNukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs YawaraInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs PeladonaInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs FURIA feMirage16-13vs UNO MILLENuke12-16vs R2Overpass19-15vs RED Canids AcademyDust214-16vs ProcyonInferno16-13
Hacha
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/6 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 3 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs DAMAJUANANukefrom 5 downvs MartiansMiragefrom 4 downvs A NATAAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs DAMAJUANAInfernoled 7 · lost 10-13vs LUNAOverpassled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs DAMAJUANANukefrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs DAMAJUANAInfernoled 7 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi15% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT15% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs MartiansMirage16-12