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Predictions / Isurus vs Underworld · match preview
Isurus vs Underworld: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 8
Isurus
World #236 · 42-39
VS
2026-11-04 22:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
Underworld
World #– · 0-1
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
64%36%
78%
1.164.18Market · 1 books
22%The call
Isurus are favoured: our model gives them 64% against Underworld. Bookmakers lean Isurus at 78%. Record slightly favours Isurus, form clearly favours Isurus, firepower slightly favours Underworld.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Inferno
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
IsuruspullUnderworld
Team strength1471
149254/46 UND
Track record42–39
0–160/40 ISU
Recent formLWWLL
L82/18 ISU
Roster rating1
0.9859/41 UND
Bookmakers imply 78% for Isurus (1.16 / 4.18); we land 14 points lower at 64%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 50% our own signal (194 maps of Isurus, 3 of Underworld; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: Isurus to beat Underworld, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsIsurus · avg 1 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Underworld · avg 0.98 · star gap +0.24iStar gap: the best player rates 0.24 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| neskk★ | 1.02 | 92.7 | 68.3% | 50% | 1.22 |
| extazzy | 0.95 | 61 | 70.5% | 59% | 1.03 |
| Jhones Macarones | 1.05 | 61.7 | 70.5% | 36% | 0.96 |
| tgS | 0.86 | 69.8 | 65.8% | 57% | 0.95 |
| space | 0.67 | 62.2 | 65.8% | 64% | 0.72 |
Recent form
Isurus
Underworld
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Isurus51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Isurus 2-1
If the veto goes
Isurus 51%how the series ends49% Underworld
24%2-026%
27%2-123%
Isurus48%30-23vsUnderworld52%1-0
57%Win100%
54%CT67%
51%T42%
45%Pistol50%
75%Conv100%
Isurus50%13-12thinUnderworld50%0-0
52%Win–
56%CT–
43%T–
68%Pistol–
88%Conv–
Isurus53%23-20vsUnderworld47%0-1
53%Win0%
48%CT50%
55%T13%
50%Pistol50%
86%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
IsurusDust2Underworld
54%CT side67%
51%T side42%
45%Pistol50%
75%After win100%
26%After loss0%
IsurusMirageUnderworld
56%CT side–
43%T side–
68%Pistol–
88%After win–
6%After loss–
IsurusInfernoUnderworld
48%CT side50%
55%T side13%
50%Pistol50%
86%After win100%
42%After loss0%
Pistol rounds52% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol82% · 100% · Underworld keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 0% · Isurus fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Isurus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapISUUND
AnubisISU ban0%0-1n/a0g
Isurus on Anubis
L
FURIA fe4–138mo agoUnderworld on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeUND ban37%11-19n/a0g
Isurus on Nuke
L
100 Thieves1–131d agoW
ShindeN13–102d agoL
METANOIA Wolves8–131mo agoLShindeN17–192mo agoL
BESTIA9–133mo agoL
ODDIK14–163mo agoW
Fluxo13–43mo agoL
Imperial5–134mo agoUnderworld on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2ISU pick57%30-23100%1-0
MirageUND pick52%13-12n/a0g
Isurus on Mirage
L
paiN Academy6–132mo agoL
Yawara7–133mo agoWODDIK13–53mo agoWImperial13–114mo agoWFake do Biru13–64mo agoLImperial8–134mo agoWYawara13–74mo agoL
MIBR Academy5–134mo agoUnderworld on Mirage
no recent maps
AncientISU ban40%10-150%0-1
CacheUND ban55%6-5n/a0g
Isurus on Cache
LShindeN5–132d agoLShindeN3–133d agoL
RED Canids Academy16–199d agoW
Grêmio13–71mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–101mo agoWpaiN Academy13–102mo agoLODDIK11–132mo agoLImperial1–133mo agoUnderworld on Cache
no recent maps
Infernodecider53%23-200%0-1
Each team's usual first ban: Isurus Anubis · Underworld Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Isurus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/96 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 96 maps they won, 36 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELAInfernofrom 6 downvs CrashersDust2from 6 downvs R2Overpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i28/98 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 98 maps they lost, 28 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs ShindeNCacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs ShindeNNukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs YawaraInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs FURIA feMirage16-13vs UNO MILLENuke12-16vs R2Overpass19-15vs RED Canids AcademyDust214-16vs ProcyonInferno16-13
Underworld
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/1 (100%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 1 maps they won, 1 (100%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 100% of their wins were comebacks, not 100% of all games.vs your endDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/2 (100%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 2 (100%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs your endAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs your endInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs your endDust2from 4 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs your endAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini3.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi67% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT67% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample