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Predictions / MASONIC vs SAW Youngsters · match preview
MASONIC vs SAW Youngsters: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier
MASONIC
World #198 · 32-59
VS
2026-11-08 15:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
SAW Youngsters
World #112 · 18-22
CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
43%57%
48%
1.881.76Market · 1 books
52%The call
SAW Youngsters are favoured: our model gives them 57% against MASONIC. Bookmakers lean SAW Youngsters at 52%. Strength slightly favours SAW Youngsters, record slightly favours SAW Youngsters, firepower clearly favours SAW Youngsters.
Likely mapsNuke · Inferno · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
MASONICpullSAW Youngsters
Team strength1464
150459/41 SAW
Track record32–59
18–2261/39 SAW
Recent formWLLWL
LWLLW56/44 MAS
Roster rating1.03
1.0786/14 SAW
Bookmakers imply 48% for MASONIC (1.88 / 1.76); we land 5 points lower at 43%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (203 maps of MASONIC, 99 of SAW Youngsters).
Bottom line: SAW Youngsters to beat MASONIC, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsMASONIC · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
SAW Youngsters · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
MASONIC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Inner Circle Academy#921-20-2
MASONIC vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17LNuke13-7Ancient8-13Anubis13-16SAW Youngsters vs Inner Circle Academy
Sep 9LDust212-16Ancient4-13
Four Magic#1242-02-1
MASONIC vs Four Magic
Nov 7WAncient13-8Cache13-6SAW Youngsters vs Four Magic
Nov 6WMirage8-13Nuke13-8Anubis13-4
Enjoy#1832-11-2
MASONIC vs Enjoy
Sep 29WDust219-17Mirage13-16Cache25-22SAW Youngsters vs Enjoy
Jul 25LMirage9-13Inferno13-8Ancient6-13LFOLFO 10#1921-20-2
MASONIC vs LFO 10
Nov 6LMirage18-22Cache13-10Ancient7-13SAW Youngsters vs LFO 10
Nov 7LMirage6-13Inferno5-13
Honvéd#2182-02-4
MASONIC vs Honvéd
May 17WDust213-6Overpass13-10
los kogutos3-34-1
Rune Eaters2-10-2
MASONIC vs Rune Eaters
May 12WDust216-12Ancient7-13Inferno13-9SAW Youngsters vs Rune Eaters
Jul 27LMirage6-13Dust27-13Map lab
SAW Youngsters71%to win the Bo3 · most likely SAW Youngsters 2-1
If the veto goes
MASONIC 29%how the series ends71% SAW Youngsters
15%2-035%
14%2-135%
MASONIC48%18-30vsSAW Youngsters52%3-5
38%Win38%
46%CT59%
44%T37%
44%Pistol50%
83%Conv88%
MASONIC32%6-6vsSAW Youngsters68%16-7
50%Win70%
59%CT60%
42%T47%
58%Pistol61%
71%Conv79%
MASONIC28%6-8vsSAW Youngsters72%9-4
43%Win69%
38%CT60%
54%T53%
39%Pistol65%
91%Conv82%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MASONICNukeSAW Youngsters
46%CT side59%
44%T side37%
44%Pistol50%
83%After win88%
19%After loss25%
MASONICInfernoSAW Youngsters
59%CT side60%
42%T side47%
58%Pistol61%
71%After win79%
20%After loss22%
MASONICAnubisSAW Youngsters
38%CT side60%
54%T side53%
39%Pistol65%
91%After win82%
12%After loss22%
Pistol rounds45% · 60% · SAW Youngsters win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 23% · SAW Youngsters fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MASONIC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMASSAW
MirageMAS ban19%5-2132%7-15
CacheSAW ban43%3-4n/a0g
MASONIC on Cache
WFour Magic13–61d agoWLFO 1013–102d agoL
ex-Zero Tenacity9–131mo agoL
PCIFIC11–131mo agoWEnjoy25–221mo agoL
HYPERSPIRIT9–133mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity9–133mo agoSAW Youngsters on Cache
no recent maps
NukeMAS pick38%18-3038%3-5
InfernoSAW pick50%6-670%16-7
Dust2MAS ban44%8-1043%9-12
AncientSAW ban32%11-2350%6-6
Each team's usual first ban: MASONIC Dust2 · SAW Youngsters Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MASONIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/78 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 78 maps they won, 31 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs Rune EatersDust2from 8 downvs struggletonyNukefrom 8 downvs PhantomOverpassfrom 7 downvs los kogutosAncientfrom 6 downvs EnjoyDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i48/123 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 123 maps they lost, 48 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EnjoyMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs Drip Too HardAncientled 7 · lost 9-13vs illwillMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersDust2from 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EnjoyMirageled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 35Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 35 went to overtime.vs FORZE ReloadTrain16-13vs AcendMirage15-19vs SashiNuke12-16vs AaBOverpass12-16vs los kogutosAncient16-14
SAW Youngsters
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/50 (42%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 21 (42%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 42% of their wins were comebacks, not 42% of all games.vs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 downvs WBT AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs antidaunInfernofrom 6 downvs WBT AcademyDust2from 6 downvs EnjoyInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/49 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 49 maps they lost, 22 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LPNukeled 10 · lost 14-16vs GenOneInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs Endless JourneyMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs ButterflyNukeled 7 · lost 10-13vs Noir VerseMirageled 7 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LPNukeled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs MisaInferno16-14vs ButterflyInferno16-13vs QUAZARInferno17-19vs ex-RUSTECAnubis14-16vs ex-Sashi AcademyInferno16-14