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Predictions / Acend vs Ryvex · match preview
Acend vs Ryvex: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11
Acend
World #114 · 62-52
VS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11 · Best of 3
Ryvex
World #178 · 10-13
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 11 · Best of 3
82%18%
82%
1.125Market · 4 books
18%The call · high confidence
Acend are favoured: our model gives them 82% against Ryvex. Bookmakers lean Acend at 82%. Strength clearly favours Acend, record slightly favours Acend, firepower clearly favours Acend, head-to-head clearly favours Acend.
Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
AcendpullRyvex
Team strength1575
144276/24 ACE
Track record62–52
10–1360/40 ACE
Recent formLWLWLWLLLW50/50
Roster rating1.08
1.0290/10 ACE
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 ACE
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 82% for Acend (1.12 / 5) and we land at 82%, the same read. This read is 93% our own signal (264 maps of Acend, 60 of Ryvex). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Acend leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Acend to beat Ryvex, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsAcend · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Ryvex · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Acend
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
PCIFIC#1500-20-2
Acend vs PCIFIC
Nov 4LAnubis11-13Inferno7-13Ryvex vs PCIFIC
Oct 14LDust28-13Cache9-13Map lab
Ryvex51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Ryvex 2-0
If the veto goes
Acend 49%how the series ends51% Ryvex
23%2-027%
26%2-124%
Acend54%31-15vsRyvex46%2-1
67%Win67%
54%CT47%
53%T63%
53%Pistol50%
69%Conv100%
Acend43%27-21vsRyvex57%11-6
56%Win65%
58%CT55%
46%T45%
57%Pistol53%
85%Conv61%
Acend52%2-10vsRyvex48%1-7
17%Win13%
43%CT38%
40%T43%
42%Pistol50%
78%Conv88%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
AcendInfernoRyvex
54%CT side47%
53%T side63%
53%Pistol50%
69%After win100%
30%After loss0%
AcendAncientRyvex
58%CT side55%
46%T side45%
57%Pistol53%
85%After win61%
12%After loss19%
AcendCacheRyvex
43%CT side38%
40%T side43%
42%Pistol50%
78%After win88%
29%After loss13%
Pistol rounds54% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 72% · Acend keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol22% · 15% · Acend fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Acend vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Ryvex habitually bans Anubis, Acend's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 18/20), not an opponent read, so expect Acend to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapACERYV
NukeACE ban25%1-330%3-7
AnubisRYV ban64%9-5n/a0g
Acend on Anubis
LPCIFIC11–134d agoL
GenOne8–132mo agoL
Nemiga5–133mo agoL
1win6–133mo agoW
BRUTE13–83mo agoW
Sharks13–95mo agoL
Betclic8–136mo agoW
FAVBET13–117mo agoRyvex on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoACE pick67%31-1567%2-1
AncientRYV pick56%27-2165%11-6
Dust2ACE ban44%25-3231%4-9
MirageRYV ban54%27-2344%4-5
Each team's usual first ban: Acend Nuke · Ryvex Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Acend
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/133 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 133 maps they won, 41 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTAnubisfrom 8 downvs FORZE ReloadAncientfrom 7 downvs FOKUSDust2from 7 downvs 777Overpassfrom 6 downvs STATEAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/128 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 128 maps they lost, 42 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BASEMENT BOYSAncientled 8 · lost 14-16vs SharksMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs ButterflyInfernoled 8 · lost 6-13vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 7 · lost 6-13vs QWENTRYDust2led 6 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BASEMENT BOYSAncientled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs Eternal FireOverpass14-16vs MASONICMirage19-15vs 777Overpass16-13vs BebopOverpass16-12vs BebopMirage14-16
Ryvex
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/25 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 25 maps they won, 12 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs QuintessenceNukefrom 8 downvs The Last ResortInfernofrom 5 downvs The PigsDust2from 5 downvs PrivateerDust2from 4 downvs KUUSAMOAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/35 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 35 maps they lost, 15 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs benched godsCacheled 12 · lost 1-13vs LeoNukeled 11 · lost 2-13vs MAYBEAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs PCIFICDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs mellrenAncientled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs QuintessenceNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs benched godsCacheled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs PrivateerDust225-22vs The Last ResortAncient19-17vs Noir VerseCache12-16vs KUUSAMONuke15-19vs The PigsDust219-16