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STATE vs GenOne: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 7

STATE
2026-08-27 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 7
GenOne
Our model gives STATE a 51% chance to beat GenOne at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7. Bookmakers price STATE at 2.53 and GenOne at 1.42 (implied 36% vs 64%).
STATE
2.53odds
GenOne
1.42odds
Our read51%
49%
Market36%
64%
median decimal odds · 1 bookBookmakerSTAGENSweatbet 2.531.42
FormatBO3Form32-30 · 73-53Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

STATE

CYBERSHOKE27d ago0-2FortressStompStomp13-229d ago2-0Lazer CatsOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2Fortress1mo ago2-0MASQ3mo ago2-1MASONIC3mo ago1-2WashedOvertimeOT3mo ago2-1Sashi AcademyPistolsPist2/23mo ago13-7100 Thieves3mo ago2-0Fortress3mo ago2-0100 Thieves3mo ago0-2InvictaPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-095 VikingsPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-13mo ago2-0UrsaOvertimeOT4mo ago0-2BRUTEPistolsPist3/44mo ago2-0

GenOne

Nordic PartnersOvertimeOT1d ago2-0LeoUpsetUpset3d ago1-2ex-RUSTEC4d ago2-1ex-Zero TenacityUpsetUpset5d ago0-2HAVU6d ago2-1UNiTYPistolsPist4/4OvertimeOT8d ago2-0BIGPistolsPist3/418d ago0-2EchoPistolsPist5/618d ago2-1Galactik rebelsPistolsPist4/419d ago2-0CYBERSHOKE20d ago0-2HOTU20d ago0-2lafoxPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-120d ago2-0Nordic PartnersPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-222d ago2-0Sashi22d ago1-2Nemiga23d ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Alliance#270-11-2
STATE vs Alliance
Jan 23LOverpass11-13
GenOne vs Alliance
Feb 21LAncient13-6Inferno5-13Overpass4-13
100 Thieves#312-20-2
STATE vs 100 Thieves
May 24WAncient13-11Mirage13-9May 24LAncient6-13Inferno6-13
GenOne vs 100 Thieves
Jun 20LInferno6-13Dust27-13
Nemesis#370-20-2
STATE vs Nemesis
Mar 31LInferno8-13Ancient4-13
GenOne vs Nemesis
Jan 24LDust213-16Ancient5-13
Acend#451-20-2
STATE vs Acend
Mar 11LAncient11-13Overpass13-8Inferno5-13
GenOne vs Acend
Apr 18LDust28-13Inferno8-13
Phantom#552-03-4
STATE vs Phantom
Feb 1WOverpass16-13Nuke13-9
GenOne vs Phantom
May 5LDust210-13Ancient13-10Nuke9-13Apr 29LDust27-13Ancient11-13Apr 16WDust213-7Nuke13-6
BRUTE#672-00-4
STATE vs BRUTE
Apr 28WInferno13-10Anubis13-8
GenOne vs BRUTE
Jul 13LInferno9-13Dust29-13Jul 9LNuke8-13Inferno11-13
CYBERSHOKE#850-22-2
STATE vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 31LNuke8-13Ancient8-13
GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 7LAncient10-13Dust23-13Aug 2WDust213-11Ancient13-0
ex-RUBY#862-43-5
STATE vs ex-RUBY
Apr 11LNuke13-9Mirage7-13Anubis14-16Apr 5LNuke13-7Mirage4-13Anubis10-13
GenOne vs ex-RUBY
Jul 29WDust213-10Cache9-13Ancient13-10May 23LDust213-11Nuke7-13Ancient6-13May 19LNuke6-13Anubis6-13

Firepower

roster ratings

STATE · avg 1.12 · top +0.05

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
sL1m3881.2176.971.6%33%1.17
Queenix81.0271.678.7%54%1.16
Zanto1421.0172.874.6%61%1.15
kwezz1421.0378.273.1%54%1.14
Patti1420.8368.770.9%56%0.99

GenOne · avg 1.12 · top +0.1

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Chucky3021.372.975.6%35%1.22
Brooxsy3000.9977.472.9%63%1.12
Djoko2930.9775.471.1%65%1.1
Keoz2390.9372.371.7%59%1.08
bL4SEZ2310.9867.573.2%61%1.08

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, STATE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSTAGEN
Dust2STA ban n/a0g 67%62-30
STATE on Dust2
no recent maps
GenOne on Dust2
WNordic Partners13–91d agoWLeo13–93d agoLex-RUSTEC7–134d agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–135d agoWHAVU13–66d agoLBIG11–1318d agoLCYBERSHOKE3–1320d agoLHOTU4–1320d ago
MirageGEN ban 45%10-12 n/a0g
STATE on Mirage
WMASQ13–43mo agoWWashed13–53mo agoW100 Thieves13–93mo agoWInvicta13–33mo agoLUrsa4–134mo agoWLilmix16–124mo agoLex-RUBY7–135mo agoLENCE Academy7–135mo ago
GenOne on Mirage
no recent maps
NukeSTA pick 67%20-10 55%29-24
STATE on Nuke
LCYBERSHOKE8–1327d agoWFortress13–1029d agoWFortress13–51mo agoLMASQ10–133mo agoWMASONIC13–113mo agoWWashed13–33mo agoWFortress13–73mo agoWInvicta13–113mo ago
GenOne on Nuke
LLeo3–133d agoLHAVU10–136d agoWUNiTY13–58d agoLEcho10–1318d agoLSashi4–1322d agoWUNiTY13–1124d agoWLazer Cats13–1125d agoLNEW VISION5–131mo ago
AncientGEN pick 37%10-17 52%33-31
STATE on Ancient
LCYBERSHOKE8–1327d agoWFortress13–229d agoLLazer Cats9–131mo agoLMASONIC10–133mo agoWSashi Academy13–73mo agoW100 Thieves13–113mo agoL100 Thieves6–133mo agoW95 Vikings13–13mo ago
GenOne on Ancient
LLeo6–133d agoWHAVU13–96d agoWUNiTY19–178d agoWEcho13–618d agoWGalactik rebels13–319d agoLCYBERSHOKE10–1320d agoWNordic Partners13–222d agoWNemiga13–823d ago
AnubisSTA ban 25%2-6 64%16-9
STATE on Anubis
LWashed13–163mo agoW95 Vikings13–43mo agoWBRUTE13–84mo agoLex-RUBY14–165mo agoLex-RUBY10–135mo agoLBIG Academy7–135mo agoLRune Eaters8–136mo agoLAaB13–167mo ago
GenOne on Anubis
WNordic Partners16–121d agoWex-RUSTEC13–84d agoWEcho13–1118d agoWlafox13–320d agoWNordic Partners13–1122d agoWSashi13–1122d agoWex-RUSTEC13–328d agoLVirtus.pro7–133mo ago
CacheGEN ban 100%1-0 40%2-3
STATE on Cache
WFortress13–71mo ago
GenOne on Cache
LHOTU6–1320d agoWEnjoy16–1227d agoLex-RUBY9–1329d agoL1win9–131mo agoWEntropy13–62mo ago
Infernodecider 43%12-16 44%15-19
STATE on Inferno
LLazer Cats19–221mo agoWMASQ13–83mo agoWFortress13–63mo agoL100 Thieves6–133mo agoWBRUTE13–104mo agoLSashi Academy10–134mo agoWESC13–45mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity8–135mo ago
GenOne on Inferno
Wex-RUSTEC13–54d agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–135d agoLBIG4–1318d agoWGalactik rebels13–519d agoLSashi8–1322d agoWJiJieHao13–926d agoWBET-M13–111mo agoLAtreides20–221mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: STATE Dust2 · GenOne Mirage.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

GenOne52%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: STATE 61% · Ancient: GenOne 63% · Inferno: GenOne 51% toss-upWhyGenOne hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSTATE 48%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 22%  ·  GenOne 52%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
STATE 48%It’s nearly a coin-flip. GenOne only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.52% GenOne
Nuke
STATE61%
GenOne39%
20-10record29-24
67%win55%
54%CT win54%
56%T win48%
55%pistol58%
91%convert89%
Ancient
STATE37%
GenOne63%
10-17record33-31
37%win52%
44%CT win56%
50%T win47%
50%pistol54%
85%convert85%
Inferno
STATE49%
GenOne51%
12-16record15-19
43%win44%
55%CT win51%
49%T win47%
54%pistol47%
80%convert78%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
STAct
STAt
GENct
GENt
STApistol
STAconv
STAeco
GENpistol
GENconv
GENeco
Nukepool
54%167/311
56%184/331
54%308/572
48%263/546
55%33/60
91%30/33
15%4/27
58%62/106
89%55/62
20%9/44
Ancientpool
44%132/300
50%117/232
56%394/709
47%267/574
50%27/54
85%23/27
11%3/27
54%69/128
85%57/67
14%8/59
Infernopool
55%154/280
49%147/300
51%186/365
47%148/317
54%30/56
80%24/30
27%7/26
47%32/68
78%25/32
17%6/35
Dust2ban
n/a
n/a
54%426/794
57%613/1075
n/a
n/a
n/a
51%94/184
89%82/92
23%21/90
Mirageban
56%145/258
41%79/193
n/a
n/a
57%25/44
92%23/25
32%6/19
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
37%30/81
61%57/93
54%120/224
54%156/287
44%7/16
100%7/7
11%1/9
72%36/50
89%32/36
14%2/14
Cacheban
83%10/12
38%3/8
43%23/53
49%26/53
0%0/2
n/a
100%2/2
70%7/10
100%7/7
0%0/3
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (STATE 53%, GenOne 54%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (18% vs 17%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

STATE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/70 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 70 maps they won, 27 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs Johnny SpeedsTrainfrom 7 downvs ex-Zero TenacityOverpassfrom 6 downvs TNCOverpassfrom 5 downvs ex-Zero TenacityOverpassfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/72 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 30 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUBYAnubisled 7 · lost 10-13vs AcendAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs QWENTRYNukeled 6 · lost 13-16vs G2 AresMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Johnny SpeedsTrainfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs FORZE ReloadNuke12-16vs PhantomOverpass16-13vs AaBAnubis13-16vs Johnny SpeedsTrain16-14vs megoshortTrain17-19

GenOne

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i51/167 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 167 maps they won, 51 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs Galactik rebelsAncientfrom 10 downvs Galactik rebelsInfernofrom 8 downvs AaBNukefrom 7 downvs BET-MInfernofrom 6 downvs UrsaDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i50/135 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 135 maps they lost, 50 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs KOLESIEAncientled 9 · lost 12-16vs BIG AcademyOverpassled 9 · lost 11-13vs SPARTADust2led 7 · lost 9-13vs BetBoomNukeled 6 · lost 19-22vs NemesisDust2led 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Galactik rebelsAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs KOLESIEAncientled 9 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs BetBoomNuke19-22vs fnaticDust216-14vs 1winInferno20-22vs NemesisDust213-16vs BetclicNuke17-19

STATE vs GenOne FAQ

Who is favored to win STATE vs GenOne?

STATE are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for STATE vs GenOne?

Bookmakers price STATE at 2.53 and GenOne at 1.42 (implied 36% vs 64%).

When do STATE and GenOne play?

STATE vs GenOne is scheduled for 2026-08-27 08:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7.

STATE vs GenOne Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER