Matches / Upcoming / MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal
MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 South America Series 5
High confidence
Our model gives MEIA NOITE a 60% chance to beat Sementes do Mal at CCT 2026 South America Series 5. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market.
Our read thin60%40%
FormatBO3Form2-6 · 0-1PistolsMEIA NOITE 50%Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
MEIA NOITE
Sementes do Mal
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsMEIA NOITE · avg 1.01 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nyezin | 20 | 1.1 | 85.8 | 71.1% | 48% | 1.14 |
| abr | 20 | 0.98 | 75.4 | 71.3% | 57% | 1.06 |
| Jerr1 | 6 | 0.98 | 66.8 | 72% | 40% | 1.04 |
| bsd | 20 | 1.02 | 69.6 | 68.4% | 30% | 1 |
| CutzMeretz | 6 | 0.71 | 64.7 | 66.5% | 45% | 0.8 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MEIA NOITE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMEISEM
AnubisMEI ban n/a0g n/a0g
MEIA NOITE on Anubis
no recent maps
Sementes do Mal on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2SEM ban 50%2-2 n/a0g
MEIA NOITE on Dust2
L
ODDIK2–131d agoL
METANOIA Wolves7–1312d agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–1118d agoW
Galorys13–1123d agoSementes do Mal on Dust2
no recent maps
MirageMEI pick 43%3-4 0%0-1
NukeSEM pick 0%0-1 n/a0g
MEIA NOITE on Nuke
LGalorys5–1323d agoSementes do Mal on Nuke
no recent maps
CacheMEI ban 0%0-2 n/a0g
Sementes do Mal on Cache
no recent maps
InfernoSEM ban 100%2-0 0%0-1
Sementes do Mal on Inferno
L
Grêmio6–131d agoAncientdecider 25%1-3 n/a0g
MEIA NOITE on Ancient
WBORRACHEIROS13–111d agoLMETANOIA Wolves12–1612d agoLBORRACHEIROS13–1617d agoLGalorys3–1323d agoSementes do Mal on Ancient
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: MEIA NOITE Anubis · Sementes do Mal Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
MEIA NOITE51%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: MEIA NOITE 52% toss-up · Nuke: MEIA NOITE 50% toss-up · Ancient: MEIA NOITE 50% toss-upWhyMEIA NOITE hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMEIA NOITE 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25% · Sementes do Mal 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MEIA NOITE 51%It’s nearly a coin-flip. MEIA NOITE only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.49% Sementes do Mal
Mirage
MEIA NOITE52%Sementes do Mal48%
3-4record0-1
43%win0%
48%CT win0%
44%T win17%
50%pistol0%
86%convert–
Nuke
MEIA NOITE50%Sementes do Mal50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-1record0-0
0%win–
17%CT win–
33%T win–
50%pistol–
100%convert–
Ancient
MEIA NOITE50%Sementes do Mal50%
thin sample, read with caution
1-3record0-0
25%win–
50%CT win–
40%T win–
50%pistol–
75%convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MEIct
MEIt
SEMct
SEMt
MEIpistol
MEIconv
MEIeco
SEMpistol
SEMconv
SEMeco
Miragepool
48%32/67
44%34/77
0%0/3
17%2/12
50%7/14
86%6/7
29%2/7
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Nukepool
17%1/6
33%4/12
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientpool
50%24/48
40%16/40
n/a
n/a
50%4/8
75%3/4
50%2/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
35%17/48
51%18/35
n/a
n/a
50%4/8
75%3/4
0%0/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
42%10/24
33%6/18
n/a
n/a
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
61%14/23
80%12/15
25%3/12
43%3/7
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
MEIA NOITE wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 0%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MEIA NOITE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/8 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 2 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/12 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 5 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs ODDIKMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 4 · lost 5-13vs METANOIA WolvesAncientled 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs BORRACHEIROSAncient13-16vs METANOIA WolvesMirage22-20vs METANOIA WolvesAncient12-16
Sementes do Mal
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal FAQ
Who is favored to win MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal?
MEIA NOITE are favored with a 60% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal?
Match odds for MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do MEIA NOITE and Sementes do Mal play?
MEIA NOITE vs Sementes do Mal is scheduled for 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC at CCT 2026 South America Series 5.