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Just Swing vs NSN: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1

Just Swing
2026-08-27 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1
NSN
Our model gives Just Swing a 62% chance to beat NSN at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1. Bookmakers price Just Swing at 1.2 and NSN at 3.76 (implied 76% vs 24%).
Just Swing
1.2odds
NSN
3.76odds
Our read62%
38%
Market76%
24%
median decimal odds · 2 booksBookmakerJUSNSNSweatbet 1.23.76Thunderpick Row1.23.76
FormatBO3Form10-14 · 2-2PistolsJust Swing 61%Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Just Swing

Rare AtomPistolsPist3/41d ago0-2KaleidoUpsetUpsetPistolsPist4/42d ago2-0Last BulletOvertimeOT4mo ago1-2ZEVSPistolsPist3/44mo ago2-0Chaos4mo ago2-0Alter Ego4mo ago9-13Last Bullet4mo ago2-1BORING PLAYERSPistolsPist4/44mo ago2-0Chinggis WarriorsOvertimeOT4mo ago1-2Rare AtomPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT4mo ago2-1The QUBEStompStomp13-25mo ago1-2Rare AtomBlew leadBL65mo ago0-2BORING PLAYERS5mo ago2-1TYLOO5mo ago1-2XDM5mo ago0-2

NSN

QuantumXPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0NEXVOIDStompStomp1-132d ago0-2The QUBE5mo ago2-1Haunted House5mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Chinggis Warriors#2051-21-1
Just Swing vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 27LNuke13-11Inferno12-16
NSN vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 5Lseries0-1Mar 20Wseries1-0
Haunted House2-11-2
Just Swing vs Haunted House
Mar 20WDust213-9Ancient11-13Nuke13-0
NSN vs Haunted House
Mar 22LDust27-13Ancient13-4Mirage9-13
The QUBE1-22-1
Just Swing vs The QUBE
Apr 5LNuke13-2Mirage10-13Inferno9-13
NSN vs The QUBE
Apr 3WAncient6-13Inferno13-4Mirage13-10
FengDa0-10-1
Just Swing vs FengDa
Apr 2Lseries0-1
NSN vs FengDa
Mar 21Lseries0-1

Firepower

roster ratings

Just Swing · avg 1.09 · top +0.15

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
qqGOD541.1582.773.7%49%1.24
Purely521.066970.5%42%1.09
sATOR1540.966971.8%49%1.07
gas540.9175.973.1%60%1.05
skrr540.972.569.9%60%1.02

NSN · avg 1.11 · top +0.12

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Yuxz101.097976.3%59%1.23
z1ayr101.2685.175.4%40%1.22
reason80.8872.271.2%56%1.05
KLRoxy40.8769.569.1%59%1.03
zzi100.9675.675.2%50%1.01

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Just Swing vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapJUSNSN
MirageJUS ban 25%1-3 50%1-1
Just Swing on Mirage
WZEVS13–54mo agoLThe QUBE10–135mo agoLRare Atom9–135mo agoLTYLOO3–135mo ago
NSN on Mirage
WThe QUBE13–105mo agoLHaunted House9–135mo ago
NukeNSN ban 58%7-5 n/a0g
Just Swing on Nuke
LLast Bullet6–134mo agoWChaos13–94mo agoLAlter Ego9–134mo agoWLast Bullet13–84mo agoWBORING PLAYERS13–64mo agoWChinggis Warriors13–114mo agoWThe QUBE13–25mo agoWBORING PLAYERS13–85mo ago
NSN on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2JUS pick 40%6-9 50%1-1
Just Swing on Dust2
LRare Atom8–131d agoWLast Bullet16–134mo agoWZEVS13–44mo agoWChaos13–94mo agoLLast Bullet7–134mo agoLRare Atom9–134mo agoWBORING PLAYERS13–105mo agoLXDM10–135mo ago
NSN on Dust2
WQuantumX13–91d agoLHaunted House7–135mo ago
AncientNSN pick 27%3-8 50%2-2
Just Swing on Ancient
LRare Atom7–131d agoLLast Bullet7–134mo agoWLast Bullet13–104mo agoWBORING PLAYERS13–64mo agoLBORING PLAYERS11–135mo agoLSemperFi9–135mo agoLMorningstar6–135mo agoLBMZ1–135mo ago
NSN on Ancient
WQuantumX13–71d agoLNEXVOID5–132d agoLThe QUBE6–135mo agoWHaunted House13–45mo ago
AnubisJUS ban 50%1-1 n/a0g
Just Swing on Anubis
WRare Atom16–144mo agoLXDM5–135mo ago
NSN on Anubis
no recent maps
CacheNSN ban 100%1-0 n/a0g
Just Swing on Cache
WKaleido13–32d ago
NSN on Cache
no recent maps
Infernodecider 56%5-4 50%1-1
Just Swing on Inferno
WKaleido13–102d agoLChinggis Warriors12–164mo agoWRare Atom13–104mo agoLThe QUBE9–135mo agoLRare Atom5–135mo agoWTYLOO13–75mo agoW5star13–65mo agoLLegion5–136mo ago
NSN on Inferno
LNEXVOID1–132d agoWThe QUBE13–45mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Just Swing Overpass · NSN Nuke.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

NSN57%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: NSN 53% toss-up · Ancient: NSN 63% · Inferno: Just Swing 52% toss-upWhyNSN hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesJust Swing 43%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 17%  ·  NSN 57%: 2-0 33%, 2-1 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Just Swing 43%It’s nearly a coin-flip. NSN only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.57% NSN
Dust2
Just Swing47%
NSN53%
6-9record1-1
40%win50%
48%CT win50%
47%T win46%
60%pistol25%
94%convert0%
Ancient
Just Swing37%
NSN63%
3-8record2-2
27%win50%
45%CT win53%
42%T win45%
55%pistol63%
83%convert60%
Inferno
Just Swing52%
NSN48%
5-4record1-1
56%win50%
57%CT win57%
44%T win35%
72%pistol25%
69%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
JUSct
JUSt
NSNct
NSNt
JUSpistol
JUSconv
JUSeco
NSNpistol
NSNconv
NSNeco
Dust2pool
48%77/159
47%75/161
50%9/18
46%11/24
60%18/30
94%17/18
17%2/12
25%1/4
0%0/1
0%0/3
Ancientpool
45%47/105
42%47/112
53%23/43
45%14/31
55%12/22
83%10/12
10%1/10
63%5/8
60%3/5
0%0/3
Infernopool
57%51/89
44%45/102
57%8/14
35%6/17
72%13/18
69%9/13
0%0/5
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
Mirageban
58%23/40
31%12/39
63%15/24
33%7/21
38%3/8
67%2/3
0%0/5
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Nukeban
56%60/108
54%73/134
n/a
n/a
54%13/24
92%11/12
0%0/11
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
39%7/18
42%10/24
n/a
n/a
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
100%4/4
75%9/12
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Just Swing wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Just Swing usually win the next round too (84% vs 57%). Lose the pistol → Just Swing fight back to win the next round more often (11% vs 0%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Just Swing

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/24 (13%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 24 maps they won, 3 (13%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 13% of their wins were comebacks, not 13% of all games.vs JiJieHaoInfernofrom 3 downvs UnitronicsDust2from 3 downvs Rare AtomInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/30 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 7 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LegionDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Rare AtomMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Rare AtomDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs XDMDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs Rare AtomDust2led 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs JiJieHaoInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LegionDust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs Rare AtomAnubis16-14vs Chinggis WarriorsInferno12-16vs Last BulletDust216-13

NSN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/5 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/5 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 2 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni2 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini6.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi10% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT10% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Just Swing vs NSN FAQ

Who is favored to win Just Swing vs NSN?

Just Swing are favored with a 62% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Just Swing vs NSN?

Bookmakers price Just Swing at 1.2 and NSN at 3.76 (implied 76% vs 24%).

When do Just Swing and NSN play?

Just Swing vs NSN is scheduled for 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1.