Matches / Upcoming / ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE
ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1
Our model gives ex-MIBR Academy a 60% chance to beat MEIA NOITE at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1.
Our read60%40%
FormatBO3Form1-1 · 2-6PistolsMEIA NOITE 50%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Dust2
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
ex-MIBR Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsex-MIBR Academy · avg 0.96 · top +0.21
MEIA NOITE · avg 1.01 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nyezin | 20 | 1.1 | 85.8 | 71.1% | 48% | 1.14 |
| abr | 20 | 0.98 | 75.4 | 71.3% | 57% | 1.06 |
| Jerr1 | 6 | 0.98 | 66.8 | 72% | 40% | 1.04 |
| bsd | 20 | 1.02 | 69.6 | 68.4% | 30% | 1 |
| CutzMeretz | 6 | 0.71 | 64.7 | 66.5% | 45% | 0.8 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-MIBR Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-MEI
InfernoEX- ban n/a0g 100%2-0
ex-MIBR Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
AnubisMEI ban n/a0g n/a0g
ex-MIBR Academy on Anubis
no recent maps
MEIA NOITE on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientEX- pick 100%1-0 25%1-3
ex-MIBR Academy on Ancient
W
Turma do Pagode13–82d agoMirageMEI pick 0%0-1 43%3-4
CacheEX- ban n/a0g 0%0-2
ex-MIBR Academy on Cache
no recent maps
NukeMEI ban n/a0g 0%0-1
ex-MIBR Academy on Nuke
no recent maps
MEIA NOITE on Nuke
L
Galorys5–1323d agoDust2decider 50%1-1 50%2-2
Each team's usual first ban: ex-MIBR Academy Inferno · MEIA NOITE Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
ex-MIBR Academy52%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: ex-MIBR Academy 55% toss-up · Mirage: MEIA NOITE 52% toss-up · Dust2: ex-MIBR Academy 50% toss-upWhyex-MIBR Academy hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesex-MIBR Academy 52%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25% · MEIA NOITE 48%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ex-MIBR Academy 52%It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-MIBR Academy only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.48% MEIA NOITE
Ancient
ex-MIBR Academy55%MEIA NOITE45%
1-0record1-3
100%win25%
89%CT win50%
42%T win40%
50%pistol50%
100%convert75%
Mirage
ex-MIBR Academy48%MEIA NOITE52%
0-1record3-4
0%win43%
30%CT win48%
50%T win44%
50%pistol50%
0%convert86%
Dust2
ex-MIBR Academy50%MEIA NOITE50%
1-1record2-2
50%win50%
42%CT win35%
43%T win51%
25%pistol50%
100%convert75%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
EX-ct
EX-t
MEIct
MEIt
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
MEIpistol
MEIconv
MEIeco
Ancientpool
89%8/9
42%5/12
50%24/48
40%16/40
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
50%4/8
75%3/4
50%2/4
Miragepool
30%3/10
50%6/12
48%32/67
44%34/77
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
50%7/14
86%6/7
29%2/7
Dust2pool
42%10/24
43%6/14
35%17/48
51%18/35
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
50%4/8
75%3/4
0%0/4
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
61%14/23
80%12/15
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
42%10/24
33%6/18
n/a
n/a
n/a
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
17%1/6
33%4/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
MEIA NOITE wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 38%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → MEIA NOITE usually win the next round too (80% vs 67%). Lose the pistol → MEIA NOITE fight back to win the next round more often (27% vs 20%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ex-MIBR Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Turma do PagodeAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Turma do PagodeAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni1 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
MEIA NOITE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/8 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 2 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/12 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 5 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs ODDIKMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 4 · lost 5-13vs METANOIA WolvesAncientled 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs BORRACHEIROSAncient13-16vs METANOIA WolvesMirage22-20vs METANOIA WolvesAncient12-16
ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE FAQ
Who is favored to win ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE?
ex-MIBR Academy are favored with a 60% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE?
Match odds for ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do ex-MIBR Academy and MEIA NOITE play?
ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE is scheduled for 2026-08-27 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1.