Matches / Upcoming / Fluxo vs Galorys
Fluxo vs Galorys: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1
Our model gives Galorys a 55% chance to beat Fluxo at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1.
FormatBO3Form33-30 · 37-33PistolsFluxo 51%Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Fluxo
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents3mo ago
Fluxo0 : 2
Galorys!4mo ago Fluxo0 : 2 Galorys!
Fluxo0 : 2 Galorys!⚠ Different lineup
Fluxo
outLucaozy
inkye
Galorys
outk1not1, nython
inPKL, detr0ittJ
Fluxo0 : 2 Galorys!⚠ Different lineup
Fluxo
outLucaozy, mlhzin
inLtz, dav1deuS
Galorys
outk1not1, nython
inPKL, detr0ittJ
9z#121-20-2
Fluxo vs 9z
Feb 28LDust213-11Inferno7-13Nuke10-13Galorys vs 9z
Jan 18LAncient7-13Dust23-13
paiN#200-21-2
Fluxo vs paiN
Apr 4LMirage5-13Nuke2-13Galorys vs paiN
Apr 1LNuke13-16Overpass13-6Mirage5-13
MIBR#250-21-4
Fluxo vs MIBR
Jul 28LNuke10-13Inferno8-13
Imperial#568-65-8
Fluxo vs Imperial
Jul 31WDust25-13Inferno13-9Nuke13-8Jul 20WNuke17-19Cache16-13Dust219-17Mirage3-13Anubis13-11Jul 16WNuke19-15Cache7-13Dust213-6+1 earlier meeting
Galorys vs Imperial
Aug 8LNuke16-13Anubis10-13Inferno8-13May 1LOverpass2-13Dust211-13Mar 28LDust24-13Overpass13-16+3 earlier meetings
BESTIA#660-63-3
LP#825-37-11
ShindeN#874-44-2
Fluxo vs ShindeN
Mar 6WNuke13-3Dust213-8Mar 4WDust213-7Mirage13-10Jan 30LNuke6-13Ancient9-13+1 earlier meeting
Isurus#981-22-1
Fluxo vs Isurus
Jul 26LInferno13-9Nuke4-13Cache8-13Galorys vs Isurus
Apr 30WDust213-16Ancient13-8Nuke13-7Firepower
roster ratingsFluxo · avg 1.13 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Fluxo vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFLUGAL
AncientFLU ban 18%2-9 63%22-13
InfernoGAL ban 52%11-10 0%0-2
NukeFLU pick 52%22-20 48%15-16
AnubisGAL pick 53%8-7 56%5-4
Dust2FLU ban 57%16-12 39%11-17
MirageGAL ban 58%11-8 48%10-11
Cachedecider 60%3-2 50%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: Fluxo Overpass · Galorys Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Fluxo52%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: Fluxo 54% toss-up · Anubis: Galorys 52% toss-up · Cache: Fluxo 52% toss-upWhyFluxo hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFluxo 52%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 26% · Galorys 48%: 2-1 24%, 2-0 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Fluxo 52%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Fluxo only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.48% Galorys
Nuke
Fluxo54%Galorys46%
22-20record15-16
52%win48%
58%CT win57%
48%T win43%
55%pistol50%
80%convert87%
Anubis
Fluxo48%Galorys52%
8-7record5-4
53%win56%
47%CT win50%
52%T win47%
33%pistol28%
90%convert80%
Cache
Fluxo52%Galorys48%
3-2record1-1
60%win50%
56%CT win50%
48%T win62%
70%pistol25%
86%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FLUct
FLUt
GALct
GALt
FLUpistol
FLUconv
FLUeco
GALpistol
GALconv
GALeco
Nukepool
58%242/420
48%203/424
57%177/313
43%134/310
55%46/84
80%37/46
16%6/38
50%31/62
87%27/31
6%2/31
Anubispool
47%70/150
52%82/157
50%44/88
47%44/94
33%10/30
90%9/10
5%1/20
28%5/18
80%4/5
23%3/13
Cachepool
56%32/57
48%21/44
50%12/24
62%13/21
70%7/10
86%6/7
33%1/3
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
Ancientban
52%61/117
38%45/120
54%171/317
52%201/386
45%10/22
80%8/10
0%0/12
44%31/70
77%24/31
26%10/39
Infernoban
54%114/211
46%98/211
25%6/24
47%7/15
45%19/42
95%18/19
22%5/23
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Dust2ban
50%142/282
54%164/305
48%159/331
45%120/264
41%23/56
91%21/23
18%6/33
50%28/56
79%22/28
25%7/28
Mirageban
60%120/201
45%64/143
58%135/231
36%73/205
45%17/38
75%12/16
14%3/21
55%23/42
87%20/23
26%5/19
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Fluxo wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (83% vs 86%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (13% vs 11%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Fluxo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/73 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 73 maps they won, 20 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Keyd StarsNukefrom 8 downvs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 5 downvs ODDIKDust2from 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/68 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 17 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13vs LPInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs GameHuntersMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs GalorysDust2led 5 · lost 19-22
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Keyd StarsNukefrom 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs ShindeNAncient14-16vs ODDIKAncient18-22vs ODDIKDust222-18vs SAWAnubis22-20vs Keyd StarsNuke13-16
Galorys
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/84 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 84 maps they won, 25 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 6 downvs UNO MILLENukefrom 6 downvs RED CanidsOverpassfrom 5 downvs ImperialOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/78 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 78 maps they lost, 22 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13vs LPNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs SharksMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs MIBRNukeled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs LPOverpass15-19vs SharksNuke14-16vs MIBRNuke13-16vs Keyd StarsDust222-19vs MarsborneAncient13-16
Fluxo vs Galorys FAQ
Who is favored to win Fluxo vs Galorys?
Galorys are favored with a 55% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Fluxo vs Galorys?
Match odds for Fluxo vs Galorys aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Fluxo and Galorys play?
Fluxo vs Galorys is scheduled for 2026-08-28 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1.