Matches / Upcoming / NuTorious vs Overtake Sector
NuTorious vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1
Our model gives Overtake Sector a 55% chance to beat NuTorious at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1. Bookmakers price NuTorious at 2.57 and Overtake Sector at 1.43 (implied 36% vs 64%).
FormatBO3Form5-9 · 5-7PistolsOVE 40%Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
NuTorious
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
LAG#1160-20-2
NuTorious vs LAG
Mar 29LNuke7-13Inferno6-13Overtake Sector vs LAG
Jul 10LMirage11-13Inferno9-13
Villainous#1420-22-1
NuTorious vs Villainous
Jul 12LAnubis8-13Inferno21-25Overtake Sector vs Villainous
Aug 26WMirage16-14Anubis3-13Inferno13-4Firepower
roster ratingsNuTorious · avg 1.09 · top +0.15
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, NuTorious vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNUTOVE
AnubisNUT ban 0%0-1 67%2-1
NuTorious on Anubis
LVillainous8–132mo agoNukeOVE ban 33%3-6 n/a0g
NuTorious on Nuke
L
NRG8–132mo agoLAGA2–134mo agoL
Fisher College5–134mo agoLLAG7–135mo agoWDemolition13–75mo agoL
BOSS10–135mo agoW
Full House13–115mo agoW
Reign Above13–95mo agoOvertake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageNUT pick 57%4-3 56%5-4
Dust2OVE pick 67%2-1 67%4-2
InfernoNUT ban 25%1-3 20%1-4
Overtake Sector on Inferno
WVillainous13–41d agoLLAG9–132mo agoL
Club 3339–132mo agoL
Marsborne7–133mo agoLMarsborne11–133mo agoCacheOVE ban n/a0g n/a0g
NuTorious on Cache
no recent maps
Overtake Sector on Cache
no recent maps
Ancientdecider 17%1-5 17%1-5
Each team's usual first ban: NuTorious Overpass · Overtake Sector Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Overtake Sector50%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: NuTorious 51% toss-up · Dust2: Overtake Sector 51% toss-up · Ancient: Overtake Sector 50% toss-upWhyOvertake Sector hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNuTorious 50%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 25% · Overtake Sector 50%: 2-0 25%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
NuTorious 50%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Overtake Sector only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.50% Overtake Sector
Mirage
NuTorious51%Overtake Sector49%
4-3record5-4
57%win56%
66%CT win66%
39%T win37%
36%pistol44%
80%convert75%
Dust2
NuTorious49%Overtake Sector51%
2-1record4-2
67%win67%
39%CT win61%
75%T win55%
17%pistol50%
100%convert83%
Ancient
NuTorious50%Overtake Sector50%
1-5record1-5
17%win17%
45%CT win57%
44%T win35%
25%pistol25%
100%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NUTct
NUTt
OVEct
OVEt
NUTpistol
NUTconv
NUTeco
OVEpistol
OVEconv
OVEeco
Miragepool
66%46/70
39%24/61
66%61/92
37%40/108
36%5/14
80%4/5
22%2/9
44%8/18
75%6/8
20%2/10
Dust2pool
39%14/36
75%12/16
61%39/64
55%29/53
17%1/6
100%1/1
25%1/4
50%6/12
83%5/6
50%3/6
Ancientpool
45%23/51
44%32/72
57%41/72
35%23/65
25%3/12
100%3/3
11%1/9
25%3/12
100%3/3
22%2/9
Anubisban
44%4/9
33%4/12
33%12/36
64%16/25
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
33%2/6
50%1/2
25%1/4
Nukeban
35%29/84
48%47/97
n/a
n/a
44%8/18
88%7/8
0%0/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
54%26/48
40%17/42
58%31/53
35%18/52
38%3/8
67%2/3
20%1/5
30%3/10
67%2/3
0%0/7
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Overtake Sector wins more pistol rounds: 40% vs 28%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → NuTorious usually win the next round too (89% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → Overtake Sector fight back to win the next round more often (28% vs 18%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
NuTorious
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/11 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 11 maps they won, 4 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Full HouseDust2from 6 downvs Full HouseNukefrom 5 downvs DETONATEInfernofrom 4 downvs DETONATEMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/19 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 5 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BOSSAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs VocaMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs BOSSNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs ZomblersInfernoled 3 · lost 19-22vs NRGAncientled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Full HouseDust2from 6 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BOSSAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs ZomblersInferno19-22vs NRGAncient13-16vs VillainousInferno21-25
Overtake Sector
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/14 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 4 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs ex-AetherAnubisfrom 4 downvs Club 333Miragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/17 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 17 maps they lost, 6 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs ex-AetherAncientled 3 · lost 12-16vs ex-AetherDust2led 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14
NuTorious vs Overtake Sector FAQ
Who is favored to win NuTorious vs Overtake Sector?
Overtake Sector are favored with a 55% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for NuTorious vs Overtake Sector?
Bookmakers price NuTorious at 2.57 and Overtake Sector at 1.43 (implied 36% vs 64%).
When do NuTorious and Overtake Sector play?
NuTorious vs Overtake Sector is scheduled for 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1.