Matches / Upcoming / Mai Tai vs ex-MANA
Mai Tai vs ex-MANA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier
Our model gives ex-MANA a 61% chance to beat Mai Tai at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier.
FormatBO3Form6-14 · 13-17Pistolsex-MANA 52%Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Mai Tai
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#730-22-4
Mai Tai vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 2LNuke5-13Dust27-13
BASEMENT BOYS#880-22-0
Mai Tai vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 2LMirage14-16Nuke3-13ex-MANA vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 4WAncient13-9Dust213-10
WBT#940-20-2
Mai Tai vs WBT
Aug 18LAnubis6-13Ancient10-13ex-MANA vs WBT
Jul 4LDust26-13Ancient10-13
Honvéd#990-32-0
ex-MANA vs Honvéd
Jun 24WDust213-8Mirage16-13
SAW Youngsters#1080-23-3
Mai Tai vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 16LAncient5-13Mirage9-13
benched gods#1290-20-2
Mai Tai vs benched gods
Jul 20Lseries0-2ex-MANA vs benched gods
Jul 17LDust212-16Anubis10-13
Misa#1473-21-4
DONSTU#1740-12-1
Mai Tai vs DONSTU
Jul 1Lseries0-1ex-MANA vs DONSTU
Jul 13WDust213-7Anubis10-13Ancient13-10Firepower
roster ratingsMai Tai · avg 1.11 · top +0.11
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Mai Tai vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMAIEX-
InfernoMAI ban n/a0g 20%1-4
Mai Tai on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheEX- ban 50%2-2 33%1-2
MirageMAI pick 43%6-8 56%9-7
Dust2EX- pick 25%1-3 50%11-11
AnubisMAI ban 20%1-4 38%3-5
NukeEX- ban 20%1-4 17%1-5
Ancientdecider 50%3-3 46%6-7
Each team's usual first ban: Mai Tai Inferno · ex-MANA Cache.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
ex-MANA60%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: ex-MANA 62% · Dust2: ex-MANA 61% · Ancient: Mai Tai 53% toss-upWhyex-MANA hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMai Tai 40%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 15% · ex-MANA 60%: 2-0 38%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Mai Tai 40%ex-MANA are the clearer side here: the most likely result is ex-MANA 2-0.60% ex-MANA
Mirage
Mai Tai38%ex-MANA62%
6-8record9-7
43%win56%
49%CT win54%
52%T win52%
39%pistol47%
82%convert100%
Dust2
Mai Tai39%ex-MANA61%
1-3record11-11
25%win50%
42%CT win54%
41%T win45%
38%pistol52%
100%convert91%
Ancient
Mai Tai53%ex-MANA47%
3-3record6-7
50%win46%
51%CT win50%
52%T win51%
58%pistol58%
100%convert87%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MAIct
MAIt
EX-ct
EX-t
MAIpistol
MAIconv
MAIeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Miragepool
49%65/133
52%87/168
54%77/143
52%96/183
39%11/28
82%9/11
24%4/17
47%15/32
100%15/15
59%10/17
Dust2pool
42%20/48
41%15/37
54%106/198
45%113/249
38%3/8
100%3/3
20%1/5
52%23/44
91%21/23
29%6/21
Ancientpool
51%35/68
52%26/50
50%73/146
51%71/139
58%7/12
100%7/7
20%1/5
58%15/26
87%13/15
36%4/11
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
42%22/53
56%30/54
n/a
n/a
n/a
60%6/10
83%5/6
0%0/4
Cacheban
50%22/44
46%17/37
47%17/36
56%19/34
38%3/8
100%3/3
0%0/5
33%2/6
50%1/2
0%0/4
Anubisban
29%16/55
61%35/57
50%44/88
48%41/85
60%6/10
83%5/6
75%3/4
25%4/16
75%3/4
17%2/12
Nukeban
37%18/49
30%13/44
56%40/72
32%17/53
50%5/10
40%2/5
0%0/5
58%7/12
86%6/7
20%1/5
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-MANA wins more pistol rounds: 52% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (90% vs 92%). Lose the pistol → ex-MANA fight back to win the next round more often (41% vs 22%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Mai Tai
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/14 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 5 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 downvs BERGMiragefrom 5 downvs ROUNDSAncientfrom 3 downvs ROUNDSNukefrom 3 downvs MisaMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/24 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 7 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs HonvédDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs BASEMENT BOYSMirageled 4 · lost 14-16vs WBTAnubisled 4 · lost 6-13vs UNiTYMirageled 3 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs eternal premiumMirage13-16vs BASEMENT BOYSMirage14-16vs UNiTYMirage14-16vs UNiTYAnubis13-16vs ENCEAnubis14-16
ex-MANA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/32 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 14 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs MisaMiragefrom 7 downvs HonvédDust2from 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsCachefrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 4 downvs LeoDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/41 (49%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 41 maps they lost, 20 (49%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs megoshortDust2led 8 · lost 10-13vs EACMirageled 8 · lost 9-13vs MisaInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs los kogutosNukeled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MisaMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs megoshortDust2led 8 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs HonvédMirage16-13vs BIG AcademyAncient14-16vs benched godsDust212-16vs OlyBetNuke14-16vs Rune EatersAncient14-16
Mai Tai vs ex-MANA FAQ
Who is favored to win Mai Tai vs ex-MANA?
ex-MANA are favored with a 61% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Mai Tai vs ex-MANA?
Match odds for Mai Tai vs ex-MANA aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Mai Tai and ex-MANA play?
Mai Tai vs ex-MANA is scheduled for 2026-08-27 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier.