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Matches / Upcoming / QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC

QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12

QUAZAR
World #102 · 27-15
VS
2026-09-16 14:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 28-17
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
56%
Win probability
44%
54%
1.712.04Market · 2 booksBookmakerQUAEX-GGBet1.712.04Sweatbet 1.712.04
46%
The call

QUAZAR are favoured: our model gives them 56% against ex-RUSTEC. Bookmakers lean QUAZAR at 54%. Firepower slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, head-to-head slightly favours QUAZAR.

Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

QUAZAR · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Ne1XXX1.0678.874.9%64%1.18
Porya1.0575.774.6%59%1.14
gehji1.0575.572.2%56%1.13
kaiori1.1872.671.7%43%1.12
newt0.9971.773.3%61%1.12

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
yiksrezo1.2182.774.6%68%1.24
youka1.2773.872.8%36%1.21
KIRO1.0776.679%60%1.18
jakekeS0.9369.973%56%1.03
Brilliance0.8570.269.5%56%0.99

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#762-00-2
QUAZAR vs Bushido Wildcats
Jul 13WNuke13-7Inferno13-6
ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 13LNuke8-13Dust219-22
BET-M#770-20-2
Lavked#1052-01-2
Spirit Academy#1090-22-0
QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy
Jul 17LDust22-13Anubis8-13
ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy
Aug 30WCache13-6Dust216-13
Misa#1102-12-1
Just Players#1262-06-1
NEW VISION#1570-22-1
QUAZAR vs NEW VISION
Jul 26LMirage4-13Inferno9-13
ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION
Aug 4WDust23-13Nuke13-8Anubis19-17
SAW Youngsters#1772-12-1
QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 22WInferno19-17Nuke9-13
ex-RUSTEC vs SAW Youngsters
Aug 12WNuke13-9Inferno6-13Anubis16-14

Map lab

ex-RUSTEC55%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-RUSTEC 2-0
If the veto goes
QUAZAR 45%how the series ends55% ex-RUSTEC
17%2-032%
28%2-122%
Map 1AnubisQUAZAR pick
QUAZAR52%11-5vsex-RUSTEC48%14-7
69%Win67%
63%CT50%
52%T59%
59%Pistol57%
95%Conv96%
Map 2Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
QUAZAR33%7-10vsex-RUSTEC67%18-12
41%Win60%
45%CT55%
47%T51%
56%Pistol48%
74%Conv76%
Map 3Miragedecider
QUAZAR56%15-7vsex-RUSTEC44%7-4
68%Win64%
56%CT57%
54%T50%
61%Pistol41%
81%Conv78%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

QUAZARAnubisex-RUSTEC
63%CT side50%
52%T side59%
59%Pistol57%
95%After win96%
8%After loss28%
QUAZARDust2ex-RUSTEC
45%CT side55%
47%T side51%
56%Pistol48%
74%After win76%
13%After loss19%
QUAZARMirageex-RUSTEC
56%CT side57%
54%T side50%
61%Pistol41%
81%After win78%
0%After loss31%
Pistol rounds59% · 50% · QUAZAR win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 84% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol7% · 24% · ex-RUSTEC fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, QUAZAR vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapQUAEX-
AncientQUA bann/a0gn/a0g
QUAZAR on Ancient
no recent maps
ex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoEX- ban36%4-742%5-7
AnubisQUA pick69%11-567%14-7
Dust2EX- pick41%7-1060%18-12
NukeQUA ban53%10-945%9-11
CacheEX- ban64%7-445%5-6
Miragedecider68%15-764%7-4
Each team's usual first ban: QUAZAR Ancient · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

QUAZAR

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/59 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 23 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs The Last ResortAnubisfrom 10 downvs RUSTECOverpassfrom 6 downvs WingmanMiragefrom 6 downvs OmegaDust2from 6 downvs LavkedNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/44 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 16 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The Last ResortNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs ENCE AcademyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs WingmanDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs CSDIILITAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs zajezdzaczeMirageled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The Last ResortNukeled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs HEROIC AcademyMirage16-14vs CSDIILITMirage16-12vs zajezdzaczeNuke13-16vs RUSTECDust215-19vs M1X KSMirage22-20

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/58 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 16 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 downvs EntropyDust2from 5 downvs WalczakiCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/47 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 14 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FortressNukefrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16

QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ

Who is favored to win QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC?

QUAZAR are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC?

Bookmakers price QUAZAR at 1.71 and ex-RUSTEC at 2.04 (implied 54% vs 46%).

When do QUAZAR and ex-RUSTEC play?

QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-09-16 14:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12.

QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER