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The Last Resort vs Nexus: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9

The Last Resort
World #127 · 39-31
VS
2026-09-24 08:00 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Nexus
World #148 · 17-22
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
54%
Win probability
46%
42%
2.211.61Market · 6 booksBookmakerTHENEX1xBit2.211.611xbet2.211.61ColdBet2.211.61Spinbet2.211.61Vivatbet2.211.61betlabel2.211.61
58%
The call

The Last Resort are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Nexus. Bookmakers lean Nexus at 58%. Strength slightly favours The Last Resort, form slightly favours The Last Resort, firepower clearly favours Nexus.

Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Inferno

Firepower

roster ratings

The Last Resort · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
arTisT★1.1475.571.6%34%1.12
Girafffe171.871.2%52%1.1
bevve173.870.9%55%1.08
Extinct0.8974.169.6%52%1.06
Vacancy0.8866.870.8%53%1.01

Nexus · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
shield★1.3271.975.2%36%1.2
s0und1.0374.669.7%66%1.12
HOLY1.168.372%64%1.08
Nexius0.9376.468.7%59%1.08
fNk0.8773.768.3%50%1

Recent form

The Last Resort

RyvexOvertimeOT4d ago3-2SINNERSStompStomp2-1312d ago0-2INOX DivisionUpsetUpsetComebackCB614d ago2-0MOUZ NXT16d ago2-0G2 AresUpsetUpset19d ago2-0Leo20d ago0-2PrivateerOvertimeOT1mo ago2-0OGStompStomp2-131mo ago0-2ColorStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2Strael BoraOvertimeOT1mo ago2-0HonvédPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL81mo ago0-2HYPERSPIRIT1mo ago0-2BetclicOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2BetclicComebackCB62mo ago1-2PrivateerPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0

Nexus

Bushido WildcatsPistolsPist5/62d ago1-2EntropyPistolsPist4/44d ago2-0PermittaPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-24d ago2-0Spirit AcademyStompStomp1-135d ago0-2ex-RUSTECBlew leadBL67d ago1-2G2 AresPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2Bushido Wildcats1mo ago0-2UNiTYPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT2mo ago1-2LPHPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-12mo ago2-0BRUTEPistolsPist4/42mo ago2-0Jam2mo ago0-2GamersLabPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0AllianceStompStomp1-133mo ago1-2Noir VersePistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0MetizportStompStomp0-133mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Betclic#492-41-2
The Last Resort vs Betclic
Aug 1LNuke6-13Anubis19-17Ancient6-13Aug 1LCache13-11Anubis6-13Ancient8-13
Nexus vs Betclic
Feb 26LOverpass13-8Anubis11-13Ancient11-13
Phantom#731-20-2
The Last Resort vs Phantom
Apr 27LAncient13-11Mirage8-13Nuke4-13
Nexus vs Phantom
Feb 14LOverpass8-13Ancient11-13
OG#780-20-1
The Last Resort vs OG
Aug 19LNuke10-13Dust22-13
Nexus vs OG
Mar 13LAncient4-13
BASEMENT BOYS#971-20-1
The Last Resort vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jul 7LAncient13-5Dust26-13Nuke11-13
Nexus vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 29LAnubis8-13
G2 Ares#1132-00-2
The Last Resort vs G2 Ares
Sep 4WInferno13-9Cache19-17
Nexus vs G2 Ares
Aug 17LAnubis11-13Inferno15-19
ex-RUBY#1152-01-2
The Last Resort vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18WNuke13-3Mirage13-11
Nexus vs ex-RUBY
Feb 16LAncient9-13Mirage13-4Dust23-13
MOUZ NXT#1452-00-1
The Last Resort vs MOUZ NXT
Sep 7WAnubis13-11Ancient13-6
Nexus vs MOUZ NXT
Mar 24LDust28-13
Entropy#1532-02-0
The Last Resort vs Entropy
Jun 3WAncient13-6Overpass13-7
Nexus vs Entropy
Sep 19WMirage13-11Anubis13-10

Map lab

The Last Resort62%to win the Bo3 · most likely The Last Resort 2-0
If the veto goes
The Last Resort 62%how the series ends38% Nexus
39%2-014%
23%2-124%
Map 1AncientThe Last Reso… pick
The Last Resort60%18-15vsNexus40%6-8
55%Win43%
56%CT49%
46%T51%
42%Pistol54%
75%Conv73%
Map 2AnubisNexus pick
The Last Resort64%10-6vsNexus36%7-8
63%Win47%
55%CT49%
50%T55%
44%Pistol50%
71%Conv100%
Map 3Infernodecider
The Last Resort50%13-10vsNexus50%8-6
57%Win57%
54%CT49%
50%T50%
59%Pistol54%
78%Conv67%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

The Last ResortAncientNexus
56%CT side49%
46%T side51%
42%Pistol54%
75%After win73%
26%After loss8%
The Last ResortAnubisNexus
55%CT side49%
50%T side55%
44%Pistol50%
71%After win100%
17%After loss27%
The Last ResortInfernoNexus
54%CT side49%
50%T side50%
59%Pistol54%
78%After win67%
37%After loss8%
Pistol rounds48% · 52% · Nexus win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol75% · 80% · Nexus keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol27% · 15% · The Last Resort fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, The Last Resort vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapTHENEX
MirageTHE ban29%5-1260%6-4
The Last Resort on Mirage
LPsychoFace9–132mo agoLAtreides7–135mo agoLM1X KS3–135mo agoLAM1–135mo agoLPhantom8–135mo agoWJust Players13–45mo agoLMANA5–135mo agoLNemesis8–135mo ago
Nexus on Mirage
WEntropy13–114d agoWex-RUSTEC13–87d agoLUNiTY11–132mo agoWNoir Verse13–33mo agoLPURE12–163mo agoLInner Circle11–136mo agoLFlyQuest6–137mo agoWex-RUBY13–47mo ago
NukeNEX ban55%21-170%0-1
The Last Resort on Nuke
WRyvex13–94d agoLLeo5–1320d agoWPrivateer16–141mo agoLOG10–131mo agoWStrael Bora19–171mo agoLBetclic6–132mo agoWPrivateer13–102mo agoWPrivateer13–102mo ago
Nexus on Nuke
LJam10–132mo ago
AncientTHE pick55%18-1543%6-8
The Last Resort on Ancient
LRyvex17–194d agoWMOUZ NXT13–616d agoLLeo6–1320d agoLColor13–161mo agoLBetclic6–132mo agoLBetclic8–132mo agoLPrivateer7–132mo agoLfnatic4–132mo ago
Nexus on Ancient
WPermitta13–84d agoWUNiTY13–62mo agoWLPH13–22mo agoLAlliance1–133mo agoLInner Circle14–166mo agoLaimclub4–136mo agoWBC.Game13–106mo agoLOG4–136mo ago
AnubisNEX pick63%10-647%7-8
The Last Resort on Anubis
WMOUZ NXT13–1116d agoWStrael Bora13–81mo agoWBetclic19–172mo agoLBetclic6–132mo agoLQUAZAR10–132mo agoWM1X KS13–75mo agoWAaB13–115mo agoWMANA13–105mo ago
Nexus on Anubis
WEntropy13–104d agoLG2 Ares11–131mo agoLBushido Wildcats7–131mo agoWLPH13–12mo agoWBRUTE13–92mo agoLJam8–132mo agoWAlliance13–93mo agoWPURE13–43mo ago
Dust2THE ban42%5-733%5-10
The Last Resort on Dust2
WRyvex13–34d agoLSINNERS2–1312d agoWPrivateer13–91mo agoLOG2–131mo agoLColor2–131mo agoLHonvéd12–161mo agoLHYPERSPIRIT6–131mo agoWPrivateer13–32mo ago
Nexus on Dust2
WBushido Wildcats13–62d agoLSpirit Academy1–135d agoLex-RUSTEC9–137d agoLBushido Wildcats9–131mo agoWGamersLab13–62mo agoLAlliance3–133mo agoLaimclub11–136mo agoLMOUZ NXT8–136mo ago
CacheNEX ban75%6-233%2-4
The Last Resort on Cache
WRyvex13–74d agoWINOX Division16–1414d agoWG2 Ares19–1719d agoWBetclic13–112mo agoWPrivateer13–62mo agoLQUAZAR4–132mo agoLfnatic9–132mo agoWQUAZAR13–112mo ago
Nexus on Cache
LBushido Wildcats11–132d agoWPermitta13–24d agoLSpirit Academy8–135d agoLex-RUSTEC8–137d agoLUNiTY14–162mo agoWBRUTE13–72mo ago
Infernodecider57%13-1057%8-6
The Last Resort on Inferno
LRyvex8–134d agoLSINNERS6–1312d agoWINOX Division16–1314d agoWG2 Ares13–919d agoLHonvéd11–131mo agoLHYPERSPIRIT11–131mo agoWCTRL13–102mo agoWPsychoFace13–102mo ago
Nexus on Inferno
LBushido Wildcats4–132d agoLG2 Ares15–191mo agoWGamersLab13–52mo agoLMetizport3–133mo agoLAlliance9–133mo agoWPURE13–113mo agoWaimclub16–146mo agoWAlliance16–146mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: The Last Resort Dust2 · Nexus Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

The Last Resort

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/89 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 89 maps they won, 28 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 downvs QUAZARNukefrom 8 downvs LilmixMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 6 downvs BetclicCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/79 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 26 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13vs CTRLMirageled 9 · lost 11-13vs HonvédInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs FuzosOverpass16-13vs BUFF3D UPNuke16-13vs CTRLAncient16-14vs Rune EatersAnubis14-16vs HEROIC AcademyInferno14-16

Nexus

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/38 (16%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 38 maps they won, 6 (16%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 16% of their wins were comebacks, not 16% of all games.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 downvs AllianceAnubisfrom 5 downvs PUREAnubisfrom 4 downvs GamersLabDust2from 4 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/45 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 45 maps they lost, 17 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs kONODust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs Inner CircleAncientled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAncient15-19vs AllianceInferno16-14vs aimclubInferno16-14vs Inner CircleAncient14-16vs PUREMirage12-16

The Last Resort vs Nexus FAQ

Who is favored to win The Last Resort vs Nexus?

The Last Resort are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for The Last Resort vs Nexus?

Bookmakers price The Last Resort at 2.21 and Nexus at 1.61 (implied 42% vs 58%).

When do The Last Resort and Nexus play?

The Last Resort vs Nexus is scheduled for 2026-09-24 08:00 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.