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PsychoFace vs mellren: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9

PsychoFace
World #194 · 13-23
VS
2026-09-25 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
mellren
World #123 · 15-8
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
44%
Win probability
56%
The call

mellren are favoured: our model gives them 56% against PsychoFace. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours mellren, record slightly favours mellren, form clearly favours mellren, firepower clearly favours mellren.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

PsychoFace · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
lov1kus★1.158275.9%57%1.23
eightz9991.0975.870.9%41%1.11
anttzz0.9474.370.9%62%1.08
PsychoDoctor0.9968.174.2%52%1.04
facecrack0.8469.869.6%51%0.94

mellren · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
lollipop21k★1.1594.777.4%56%1.26
shootic1.0477.273.5%61%1.18
reNIK1.0380.575.8%56%1.11
mdl1.0269.373%47%1.1
menddel1.0470.570.4%52%1.08
Maksilvl0.9769.473.9%55%1.06

Recent form

PsychoFace

Black PhoenixPistolsPist5/6StompStomp2-1315d ago1-2Just PlayersPistolsPist6/6Blew leadBL617d ago1-2LeoOvertimeOT18d ago1-2G2 AresOvertimeOT20d ago2-1ex-RUBYOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2QUAZARPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT2mo ago2-0ex-RUBYPistolsPist3/42mo ago0-2Spirit AcademyPistolsPist5/6StompStomp13-02mo ago2-1Enjoy2mo ago2-1The Last Resort2mo ago1-2EnjoyOvertimeOT3mo ago1-2Virtus.proBlew leadBL63mo ago1-2Leo3mo ago1-2G2 Ares3mo ago2-0brazylijski luzPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-13mo ago2-0

mellren

Permittatoday2-1BERGPistolsPist2/21d ago2-0KUUSAMOUpsetUpset1d ago0-2Drama7d ago2-1Enjoy10d ago1-2Saint SinnersOvertimeOT11d ago2-1Falcons Force13d ago0-2BASEMENT BOYS16d ago1-2BERGPistolsPist0/416d ago2-0HAVUPistolsPist3/417d ago0-2BERGOvertimeOT17d ago2-0WBT1mo ago2-1WBTPistolsPist0/41mo ago2-0Bushido WildcatsUpsetUpsetComebackCB61mo ago2-1Noir VersePistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Spirit Academy#1112-10-2
PsychoFace vs Spirit Academy
Jul 17WNuke13-3Cache9-13Dust213-0
mellren vs Spirit Academy
Aug 1LAncient6-13Dust27-13
Enjoy#1813-31-2
PsychoFace vs Enjoy
Jul 17WMirage13-3Inferno10-13Dust213-6Jul 7LCache22-19Dust29-13Mirage4-13
mellren vs Enjoy
Sep 13LAncient11-13Inferno13-3Mirage9-13
Tricksters#1992-02-0
PsychoFace vs Tricksters
May 25WDust216-13Nuke13-6
mellren vs Tricksters
Jul 12WMirage19-16Ancient16-14
AM1-20-2
PsychoFace vs AM
May 22LDust213-8Mirage2-13Nuke10-13
mellren vs AM
Mar 25LDust214-16Ancient7-13

Map lab

mellren73%to win the Bo3 · most likely mellren 2-0
If the veto goes
PsychoFace 27%how the series ends73% mellren
9%2-041%
18%2-133%
Map 1Dust2PsychoFace pick
PsychoFace50%14-14vsmellren50%4-4
50%Win50%
50%CT55%
54%T50%
66%Pistol25%
83%Conv100%
Map 2Miragemellren pick
PsychoFace18%6-12vsmellren82%11-4
33%Win73%
52%CT54%
42%T53%
44%Pistol47%
88%Conv71%
Map 3Anubisdecider
PsychoFace35%4-4vsmellren65%3-0
50%Win100%
58%CT67%
47%T54%
69%Pistol33%
82%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

PsychoFaceDust2mellren
50%CT side55%
54%T side50%
66%Pistol25%
83%After win100%
32%After loss25%
PsychoFaceMiragemellren
52%CT side54%
42%T side53%
44%Pistol47%
88%After win71%
15%After loss13%
PsychoFaceAnubismellren
58%CT side67%
47%T side54%
69%Pistol33%
82%After win100%
60%After loss75%
Pistol rounds59% · 38% · PsychoFace win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 80% · PsychoFace keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol27% · 25% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, PsychoFace vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPSYMEL
InfernoPSY ban25%1-364%7-4
PsychoFace on Inferno
LG2 Ares8–1320d agoWQUAZAR16–142mo agoLEnjoy10–132mo agoLThe Last Resort10–132mo ago
mellren on Inferno
LKUUSAMO11–131d agoWDrama13–77d agoWEnjoy13–310d agoWSaint Sinners13–1011d agoLFalcons Force9–1313d agoWBERG13–916d agoLBushido Wildcats8–131mo agoWHonvéd13–111mo ago
CacheMEL ban50%1-1n/a0g
PsychoFace on Cache
LSpirit Academy9–132mo agoWEnjoy22–193mo ago
mellren on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2PSY pick50%14-1450%4-4
PsychoFace on Dust2
LBlack Phoenix2–1315d agoLJust Players10–1317d agoWLeo13–818d agoWG2 Ares13–720d agoLex-RUBY8–132mo agoWQUAZAR13–42mo agoWSpirit Academy13–02mo agoWEnjoy13–62mo ago
mellren on Dust2
WBASEMENT BOYS13–316d agoLWBT11–131mo agoWBushido Wildcats13–111mo agoWHonvéd13–111mo agoLSpirit Academy7–132mo agoWLPH13–62mo agoLLPH9–132mo agoLAM14–166mo ago
MirageMEL pick33%6-1273%11-4
PsychoFace on Mirage
LJust Players9–1317d agoWG2 Ares19–1720d agoLex-RUBY12–162mo agoLex-RUBY9–132mo agoWEnjoy13–32mo agoWThe Last Resort13–92mo agoLEnjoy4–133mo agoLVirtus.pro11–133mo ago
mellren on Mirage
WPermitta13–4todayWDrama13–77d agoLEnjoy9–1310d agoWSaint Sinners13–811d agoLFalcons Force11–1313d agoLBASEMENT BOYS11–1316d agoWBERG13–816d agoLHAVU4–1317d ago
AncientPSY ban33%2-456%5-4
PsychoFace on Ancient
WBlack Phoenix13–1115d agoLbrazylijski luz10–134mo agoLex-RUBY4–134mo agoLK274–134mo agoLUNiTY5–135mo agoWFamalicão13–45mo ago
mellren on Ancient
WPermitta13–3todayLEnjoy11–1310d agoWBERG13–717d agoWNoir Verse13–31mo agoLSpirit Academy6–132mo agoWBanda Chuya13–92mo agoWTricksters16–142mo agoLPURE10–133mo ago
NukeMEL ban38%6-100%0-6
PsychoFace on Nuke
LBlack Phoenix9–1315d agoWJust Players13–817d agoLLeo9–1318d agoLex-RUBY9–132mo agoWSpirit Academy13–32mo agoLThe Last Resort4–132mo agoLLeo11–133mo agoLGenOne6–134mo ago
mellren on Nuke
LPermitta8–13todayLKUUSAMO10–131d agoLDrama8–137d agoLSaint Sinners20–2211d agoLBASEMENT BOYS5–1316d agoLHAVU9–1317d ago
Anubisdecider50%4-4100%3-0
PsychoFace on Anubis
LLeo13–1618d agoWLeo13–33mo agoLNuclear TigeRES11–134mo agoWHEROIC Academy16–144mo agoLLeo6–134mo agoWUNiTY13–115mo agoWFamalicão13–45mo agoLUNiTY14–165mo ago
mellren on Anubis
WWBT13–71mo agoWWBT13–101mo agoWNoir Verse13–81mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: PsychoFace Inferno · mellren Cache.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

PsychoFace

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/41 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 41 maps they won, 9 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs The Last ResortMiragefrom 5 downvs G2 AresMiragefrom 5 downvs brazylijski luzDust2from 4 downvs G2 AresOverpassfrom 4 downvs EnjoyCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/50 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 20 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HYPERSPIRITMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs UNiTYDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs brazylijski luzDust2led 6 · lost 14-16vs Virtus.proMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortMiragefrom 5 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HYPERSPIRITMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs UrsaNuke13-16vs UNiTYAnubis14-16vs UNiTYDust216-13vs LeoDust218-22vs HEROIC AcademyAnubis16-14

mellren

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/30 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 13 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 downvs PermittaMiragefrom 9 downvs TrickstersMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs BERGMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/22 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 22 maps they lost, 7 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs DramaNukeled 6 · lost 8-13vs AMAncientled 4 · lost 7-13vs PUREAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs EnjoyAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs HAVUNukeled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs DramaNukeled 6 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs AMDust214-16vs TrickstersMirage19-16vs TrickstersAncient16-14vs Bushido WildcatsMirage16-12vs BERGMirage16-14

PsychoFace vs mellren FAQ

Who is favored to win PsychoFace vs mellren?

mellren are favored with a 56% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for PsychoFace vs mellren?

Match odds for PsychoFace vs mellren aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do PsychoFace and mellren play?

PsychoFace vs mellren is scheduled for 2026-09-25 10:30 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.

PsychoFace vs mellren Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER