Matches / Upcoming / Misa vs Leo
Misa vs Leo: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9
Misa
World #118 · 41-50
VS
2026-09-26 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Leo
World #108 · 48-50
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
55%45%
45%
2.021.68Market · 3 books
55%The call
Misa are favoured: our model gives them 55% against Leo. Bookmakers lean Leo at 55%. Firepower clearly favours Leo, head-to-head slightly favours Misa.
Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsMisa · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Leo · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Misa
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents1mo ago
Misa2 : 1
Leo!1mo ago Misa2 : 1 Leo!
Misa2 : 1 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
Misa
outCkanic
incyber
Leo
outOneUn1que
indrac
Misa2 : 1 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
Misa
outCkanic
incyber
fnatic#421-21-2
Misa vs fnatic
Jul 12LDust211-13Cache19-16Anubis8-13Leo vs fnatic
Apr 27LAncient4-13Mirage13-10Anubis10-13
WBT#631-62-1
ex-RUSTEC#641-21-4
Misa vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 13LInferno16-13Anubis8-13Dust28-13
Bushido Wildcats#727-47-4
Misa vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 13WCache11-13Mirage13-7Anubis13-10Sep 12WNuke13-9Cache13-2Aug 18LNuke13-9Anubis7-13+1 earlier meeting
Leo vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 15WDust214-16Nuke13-9Cache13-11Aug 20WNuke13-9Mirage3-13Dust213-2Aug 4LNuke6-13Dust213-7Anubis1-13+1 earlier meeting
UNiTY#1000-44-2
G2 Ares#1133-51-2
LAVLavked#1200-21-4
Misa vs Lavked
Jun 9LDust25-13Mirage10-13
HAVU#1242-04-2
Map lab
Leo58%to win the Bo3 · most likely Leo 2-0
If the veto goes
Misa 42%how the series ends58% Leo
16%2-034%
26%2-123%
Misa49%28-24vsLeo51%36-30
54%Win55%
52%CT51%
51%T53%
48%Pistol49%
82%Conv80%
Misa32%14-19vsLeo68%26-16
42%Win62%
50%CT58%
43%T50%
47%Pistol54%
81%Conv82%
Misa53%11-15vsLeo47%3-5
42%Win38%
55%CT44%
45%T54%
58%Pistol69%
90%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MisaDust2Leo
52%CT side51%
51%T side53%
48%Pistol49%
82%After win80%
22%After loss18%
MisaNukeLeo
50%CT side58%
43%T side50%
47%Pistol54%
81%After win82%
23%After loss15%
MisaCacheLeo
55%CT side44%
45%T side54%
58%Pistol69%
90%After win100%
14%After loss20%
Pistol rounds50% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol84% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol21% · 17% · Misa fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Misa vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMISLEO
AncientMIS ban33%1-245%19-23
MirageLEO ban42%15-2147%7-8
Dust2MIS pick54%28-2455%36-30
NukeLEO pick42%14-1962%26-16
InfernoMIS ban50%12-1246%6-7
AnubisLEO ban53%20-1832%12-26
Each team's usual first ban: Misa Ancient · Leo Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Misa
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i33/103 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 33 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 8 downvs G2 AresDust2from 8 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs Phantom AcademyCachefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/116 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 116 maps they lost, 42 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 30Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 30 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/112 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 112 maps they won, 29 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/117 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 117 maps they lost, 37 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNiTYAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs PhantomAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNiTYAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
Misa vs Leo FAQ
Who is favored to win Misa vs Leo?
Misa are favored with a 55% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Misa vs Leo?
Bookmakers price Misa at 2.02 and Leo at 1.68 (implied 45% vs 55%).
When do Misa and Leo play?
Misa vs Leo is scheduled for 2026-09-26 10:30 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.