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Phantom vs fnatic: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Pulse Beat II

Phantom
World #73 · 54-52
VS
TBD
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
fnatic
World #42 · 45-31
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
40%
Win probability
60%
37%
2.51.48Market · 27 booksBookmakerPHAFNAroobet2.11.66Betify2.121.68Cs2skin2.121.68Rainbet2.121.68Razed2.121.68bcgame2.121.68betory2.121.68betpanda2.121.68ZizoBet2.171.64Duel.com2.181.711red2.51.48Epicbet2.51.48Stake2.51.48Thunderpick Row2.51.48duelbits2.51.48GGBet2.521.49Sweatbet 2.521.48betovo2.541.48scored2.541.48Shuffle2.61.45GranaWin2.631.451xBit2.671.481xbet2.671.48ColdBet2.671.48Spinbet2.671.48Vivatbet2.671.48betlabel2.671.48
63%
The call

fnatic are favoured: our model gives them 60% against Phantom. Bookmakers lean fnatic at 63%. Strength slightly favours fnatic, record slightly favours fnatic, firepower clearly favours fnatic, head-to-head slightly favours fnatic.

Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Phantom · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
nicoodoz★1.2781.876.4%49%1.21
Kylar1.0873.172.8%60%1.17
KEi1.0277.373.1%49%1.11
Kunai0.927370.1%59%1.05
TMB0.8672.770.4%54%1.04

fnatic · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
cairne★1.1579.476.2%55%1.25
jackasmo1.1382.174.7%61%1.21
jambo1.2176.373.7%40%1.2
mazay1.1178.774%57%1.17
fEAR0.8668.470.9%50%0.97

Recent form

Phantom

100 Thievestoday1-2fnaticComebackCB7today2-1G2 AresPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0SINNERS16d ago0-2INFINITEUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/419d ago0-2OG20d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity24d ago0-2Nemiga25d ago2-1LeoComebackCB6Blew leadBL726d ago2-1AcendOvertimeOT1mo ago17-19JiJieHaoPistolsPist5/62mo ago1-2NRG2mo ago2-1levelONEPistolsPist4/42mo ago2-0EYEBALLERSOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2levelONEPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0

fnatic

EACPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL6today2-1PhantomBlew leadBL7today1-2DramaUpsetUpsetPistolsPist2/217d ago14-16Ninjas in PyjamasPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL617d ago2-1BBL18d ago2-1ASTRALUpsetUpset19d ago8-13Virtus.proComebackCB7OvertimeOT20d ago2-1TeletubisieStompStomp13-224d ago2-1K27UpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2HEROICUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0Fluxo2mo ago2-066662mo ago2-0FKOMARPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0Liquid2mo ago0-2EACPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB62mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
today Phantom2 : 1 fnatic◆ same lineup5mo ago Phantom0 : 2 fnatic!
⚠ Different lineup
Phantom
outlunAtic, mwlky
inTMB, nicoodoz
fnatic
outBr4tkO, KRIMZ
incairne, mazay
Alliance#211-21-4
Phantom vs Alliance
Feb 17LNuke13-8Overpass17-19Anubis10-13
fnatic vs Alliance
Jun 14LAnubis4-13Dust219-17Ancient6-13Mar 31LAnubis9-13Inferno13-16
HEROIC#341-22-0
Phantom vs HEROIC
Jul 16LAncient11-13Nuke16-14Dust211-13
fnatic vs HEROIC
Aug 9WAncient13-9Inferno13-11
K27#390-23-3
Phantom vs K27
Jul 17LNuke9-13Ancient6-13
fnatic vs K27
Aug 9LAncient13-8Mirage13-16Cache10-13Feb 10WDust216-13Mirage0-13Overpass13-8
EYEBALLERS#431-20-1
Phantom vs EYEBALLERS
Aug 8LAncient11-13Inferno19-17Anubis10-13
fnatic vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 14LMirage8-13
FOKUS#452-31-2
Phantom vs FOKUS
Jun 21WDust210-13Ancient13-7Nuke19-16Mar 25LAncient20-22Nuke13-16
fnatic vs FOKUS
May 30LAncient9-13Inferno13-7Dust28-13
SINNERS#471-20-2
Phantom vs SINNERS
Sep 7LAncient4-13Mirage7-13Feb 22WOverpass13-8
fnatic vs SINNERS
Feb 12LDust210-13Overpass3-13
GenOne#534-31-2
Phantom vs GenOne
May 5WDust213-10Ancient10-13Nuke13-9Apr 29WDust213-7Ancient13-11Apr 16LDust27-13Nuke6-13
fnatic vs GenOne
Jan 22LAncient4-13Anubis13-8Dust214-16
Sashi#582-31-3
Phantom vs Sashi
Aug 4LAnubis4-13Cache6-13Feb 23WOverpass11-13Mirage13-11Nuke13-10
fnatic vs Sashi
Apr 12LAncient5-13Mar 30LAncient16-14Dust25-13Inferno7-13

Map lab

fnatic65%to win the Bo3 · most likely fnatic 2-0
If the veto goes
Phantom 35%how the series ends65% fnatic
13%2-040%
22%2-125%
Map 1AncientPhantom pick
Phantom42%25-28vsfnatic58%20-16
47%Win56%
51%CT52%
49%T51%
57%Pistol51%
75%Conv92%
Map 2Anubisfnatic pick
Phantom31%6-8vsfnatic69%22-12
43%Win65%
53%CT49%
48%T56%
43%Pistol53%
75%Conv94%
Map 3Dust2decider
Phantom47%23-24vsfnatic53%15-14
49%Win52%
53%CT49%
49%T50%
50%Pistol47%
81%Conv89%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

PhantomAncientfnatic
51%CT side52%
49%T side51%
57%Pistol51%
75%After win92%
20%After loss11%
PhantomAnubisfnatic
53%CT side49%
48%T side56%
43%Pistol53%
75%After win94%
13%After loss19%
PhantomDust2fnatic
53%CT side49%
49%T side50%
50%Pistol47%
81%After win89%
21%After loss19%
Pistol rounds52% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol77% · 92% · fnatic keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 16% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Phantom vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPHAFNA
InfernoPHA ban67%6-377%17-5
Phantom on Inferno
L100 Thieves10–13todayLfnatic5–13todayWG2 Ares13–98d agoLINFINITE7–1319d agoWOG13–1120d agoWJiJieHao13–72mo agoWNRG13–82mo agoWEYEBALLERS19–172mo ago
fnatic on Inferno
WPhantom13–5todayWNinjas in Pyjamas13–817d agoLBBL9–1318d agoWHEROIC13–112mo agoWFluxo13–102mo agoWBASEMENT BOYS13–53mo agoWFOKUS13–74mo agoWRune Eaters13–104mo ago
NukeFNA ban54%31-26n/a0g
Phantom on Nuke
W100 Thieves13–9todayLOG9–1320d agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–1324d agoLLeo10–1326d agoWLavked13–62mo agoWVexar13–82mo agoLINOX Division8–132mo agoLK279–132mo ago
fnatic on Nuke
no recent maps
AncientPHA pick47%25-2856%20-16
Phantom on Ancient
WG2 Ares13–48d agoLSINNERS4–1316d agoWNemiga13–1125d agoWLeo13–026d agoLAcend17–191mo agoLJiJieHao6–132mo agoWNRG13–72mo agoWlevelONE13–52mo ago
fnatic on Ancient
LDrama14–1617d agoWBBL13–1118d agoLASTRAL8–1319d agoWK2713–82mo agoWHEROIC13–92mo agoWFKOMAR13–52mo agoWEAC13–52mo agoLMetizport2–132mo ago
AnubisFNA pick43%6-865%22-12
Phantom on Anubis
WLeo13–1126d agoLJiJieHao11–132mo agoLEYEBALLERS10–132mo agoLSashi4–132mo agoWpaiN13–52mo agoWWalczaki13–113mo agoLfnatic13–165mo agoWASTRAL13–86mo ago
fnatic on Anubis
WEAC13–10todayWVirtus.pro16–1320d agoWTeletubisie13–224d agoWFluxo13–102mo agoW666613–52mo agoLLiquid5–132mo agoWMetizport13–82mo agoWBRUTE13–112mo ago
CachePHA ban0%0-282%9-2
Phantom on Cache
LNemiga11–1325d agoLSashi6–132mo ago
fnatic on Cache
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–617d agoWBBL13–1118d agoWVirtus.pro13–320d agoWTeletubisie13–824d agoLK2710–132mo agoWFKOMAR13–32mo agoWEAC16–132mo agoWLilmix13–72mo ago
MirageFNA ban46%16-1950%13-13
Phantom on Mirage
L100 Thieves4–13todayWfnatic13–10todayLSINNERS7–1316d agoLINFINITE10–1319d agoWOG13–820d agoLNRG10–132mo agoWG2 Ares13–102mo agoLAcend7–134mo ago
fnatic on Mirage
LEAC20–22todayLPhantom10–13todayLNinjas in Pyjamas10–1317d agoLTeletubisie10–1324d agoLK2713–162mo agoWMetizport13–42mo agoLMetizport6–133mo agoWaimclub13–113mo ago
Dust2decider49%23-2452%15-14
Phantom on Dust2
Wfnatic13–3todayLex-Zero Tenacity8–1324d agoWNemiga13–525d agoWlevelONE13–42mo agoWlevelONE13–32mo agoLHEROIC11–132mo agoLpaiN8–132mo agoLFOKUS10–133mo ago
fnatic on Dust2
LPhantom3–13todayLVirtus.pro11–1320d agoW666613–42mo agoLLiquid10–132mo agoWHOTU13–32mo agoLBRUTE5–132mo agoWSPARTA13–82mo agoWMisa13–112mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Phantom Inferno · fnatic Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Phantom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/118 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 118 maps they won, 38 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs fnaticDust2from 10 downvs G2 AresAncientfrom 9 downvs aAaDust2from 7 downvs HEROICNukefrom 7 downvs fnaticMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i44/120 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 120 maps they lost, 44 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28vs LeoNukeled 7 · lost 10-13vs WashingtonOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs fnaticDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi42% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT42% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16vs FAVBETAnubis13-16vs MASONICOverpass14-16vs MASONICNuke14-16vs STATEOverpass13-16

fnatic

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/102 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 102 maps they won, 40 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 downvs MonteOverpassfrom 7 downvs BRUTEAnubisfrom 7 downvs Virtus.proAnubisfrom 7 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/71 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 26 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PhantomDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs PhantomMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs illwillDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PhantomDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs AstralisMirage16-12vs K27Dust216-13vs ENCEAncient17-19vs MonteOverpass19-16

Phantom vs fnatic FAQ

Who is favored to win Phantom vs fnatic?

fnatic are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Phantom vs fnatic?

Bookmakers price Phantom at 2.5 and fnatic at 1.48 (implied 37% vs 63%).

When do Phantom and fnatic play?

Phantom vs fnatic is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at Stake Pulse Beat II.

Phantom vs fnatic Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER