Matches / Upcoming / Fathom vs F5

Fathom vs F5: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CROSSFIRE Season 6

Fathom
World # · 1-0
VS
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
F5
World # · 15-20
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
46%
Win probability · thin data
54%
30%
3.021.32Market · 3 booksBookmakerFATF5GGBet3.021.32Sweatbet 3.021.32Thunderpick Row3.021.32
70%
The call

F5 are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Fathom. Bookmakers lean F5 at 70%. Strength slightly favours Fathom, record clearly favours Fathom, firepower clearly favours Fathom.

Likely mapsAnubis · Ancient · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Fathom · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ArmoredHarp1.4394.674.7%40%1.27
Cinna1.373.382%57%1.25
atom1.1176.972.5%34%1.1
tripp1.0385.968.5%50%1.08
no1nx1.3869.584%55%1.04

F5 · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.25iStar gap: the best player rates 0.25 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
flacko1.1787.974.8%48%1.33
atyla1.0481.778.2%49%1.16
SeRCEra1.0175.165.1%52%1.06
Michael Weki0.9967.671.5%46%0.95
colin0.8660.775.2%52%0.92

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Fathom54%to win the Bo3 · most likely Fathom 2-0
If the veto goes
Fathom 54%how the series ends46% F5
29%2-021%
25%2-125%
Map 1AnubisFathom pick
Fathom54%1-0vsF546%1-2
100%Win33%
56%CT56%
67%T35%
0%Pistol50%
Conv100%
Map 2AncientF5 pick
Fathom54%1-0vsF546%8-11
100%Win42%
67%CT49%
45%T49%
50%Pistol53%
100%Conv90%
Map 3Miragedecider
Fathom50%0-0thinF550%10-5
Win67%
CT57%
T49%
Pistol57%
Conv82%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FathomAnubisF5
56%CT side56%
67%T side35%
0%Pistol50%
After win100%
0%After loss0%
FathomAncientF5
67%CT side49%
45%T side49%
50%Pistol53%
100%After win90%
0%After loss11%
FathomMirageF5
CT side57%
T side49%
Pistol57%
After win82%
After loss31%
Pistol rounds25% · 54% · F5 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 88% · Fathom keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 18% · F5 fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Fathom vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Each team's usual first ban: Fathom Nuke · F5 Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Fathom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/0 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 0 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 2 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi50% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT50% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

F5

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/36 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 36 maps they won, 12 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs FRZAncientfrom 6 downvs Outfit 49Overpassfrom 6 downvs OmenMiragefrom 5 downvs FarmVilleMiragefrom 4 downvs FarmVilleOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/47 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 13 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 7 · lost 6-13vs FRZNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs Reign AboveAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs Reign AboveAncientled 4 · lost 5-13vs Overtake SectorDust2led 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FRZAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs FlyQuest REDAncient20-22vs Chicken CoopNuke12-16vs MythicOverpass19-17vs VocaAncient14-16vs FarmVilleOverpass19-17

Fathom vs F5 FAQ

Who is favored to win Fathom vs F5?

F5 are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Fathom vs F5?

Bookmakers price Fathom at 3.02 and F5 at 1.32 (implied 30% vs 70%).

When do Fathom and F5 play?

Fathom vs F5 is scheduled for 2026-09-23 00:00 UTC at CROSSFIRE Season 6.