Matches / Upcoming / Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue

Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2

Vitalem Aerem
World #182 · 3-5
VS
2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
bLight blue
World # · 1-1
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · Best of 3
53%
Win probability · thin data
47%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 53–47. No odds yet. Every factor is level between the two sides.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Vitalem Aerem · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Roninbaby0.9784.571.1%62%1.16
lan1.3284.272.8%34%1.16
BZA1.077373.4%60%1.04
B1NGO0.8963.272.6%53%1
rain0.8959.871.2%58%0.94

bLight blue · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ImpressioN1.2378.272.9%57%1.24
w1nt3r1.1888.672.3%58%1.24
Derek1.0475.471.2%46%1.04
clyd1e0.7672.673.1%66%0.94
Di1ka0.9767.268.2%25%0.87

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Map lab

Vitalem Aerem53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitalem Aerem 2-0
If the veto goes
Vitalem Aerem 53%how the series ends47% bLight blue
29%2-021%
24%2-126%
Map 1Dust2Vitalem Aerem pick
Vitalem Aerem58%3-3vsbLight blue42%0-2
50%Win0%
61%CT23%
46%T63%
50%Pistol50%
83%Conv100%
Map 2MiragebLight blue pick
Vitalem Aerem50%0-0thinbLight blue50%1-0
Win100%
CT67%
T33%
Pistol50%
Conv100%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Vitalem Aerem47%2-2vsbLight blue53%1-0
50%Win100%
62%CT58%
49%T50%
38%Pistol50%
67%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Vitalem AeremDust2bLight blue
61%CT side23%
46%T side63%
50%Pistol50%
83%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Vitalem AeremMiragebLight blue
CT side67%
T side33%
Pistol50%
After win100%
After loss0%
Vitalem AeremAncientbLight blue
62%CT side58%
49%T side50%
38%Pistol50%
67%After win100%
40%After loss0%
Pistol rounds45% · 50% · bLight blue win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 100% · bLight blue keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol18% · 0% · Vitalem Aerem fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitalem Aerem vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapVITBLI
CacheVIT bann/a0gn/a0g
Vitalem Aerem on Cache
no recent maps
bLight blue on Cache
no recent maps
AnubisBLI ban100%1-0n/a0g
Vitalem Aerem on Anubis
WBanzai13529d ago
bLight blue on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2VIT pick50%3-30%0-2
MirageBLI pickn/a0g100%1-0
Vitalem Aerem on Mirage
no recent maps
bLight blue on Mirage
WThe QUBE1614today
InfernoVIT ban33%1-20%0-1
NukeBLI ban25%1-3n/a0g
Ancientdecider50%2-2100%1-0
Each team's usual first ban: Vitalem Aerem Cache · bLight blue Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Vitalem Aerem

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/8 (13%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 1 (13%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 13% of their wins were comebacks, not 13% of all games.vs BanzaiAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/10 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 3 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lynn VisionDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs The HunsInfernoled 3 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionAncientled 3 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BanzaiAnubisfrom 4 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lynn VisionDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Just SwingDust213-16vs Lynn VisionAncient16-19

bLight blue

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs The QUBEMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/3 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 3 maps they lost, 1 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The QUBEDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The QUBEMiragefrom 3 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The QUBEDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi60% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT60% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs The QUBEMirage16-14

Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue FAQ

Who is favored to win Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue?

Vitalem Aerem are favored with a 53% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue?

Match odds for Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Vitalem Aerem and bLight blue play?

Vitalem Aerem vs bLight blue is scheduled for 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2.