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FlyQuest vs Rooster: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2

FlyQuest
World #93 · 29-14
VS
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
Rooster
World #165 · 31-21
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
78%
Win probability
22%
87%
1.057.3Market · 3 booksBookmakerFLYROOGGBet1.057.3Sweatbet 1.057.3Thunderpick Row1.057.3
13%
The call · high confidence

FlyQuest are favoured: our model gives them 78% against Rooster. Bookmakers lean FlyQuest at 87%. Strength clearly favours FlyQuest, record slightly favours FlyQuest, firepower clearly favours FlyQuest.

Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

FlyQuest · avg 1.25 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Vexite★1.3187.778.3%59%1.39
jks1.3385.278.5%62%1.35
nettik1.1175.580%58%1.2
INS1.0576.675.5%51%1.16
aliStair1.2368.779.7%35%1.14

Rooster · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
chelleos★1.3185.173.3%37%1.3
damyo1.2483.379.6%56%1.25
rekonz0.9974.572.2%55%1.08
SkulL0.8671.970.3%46%1.01
ADK0.8357.470.7%49%0.93

Recent form

FlyQuest

LFO 8PistolsPist3/4today2-0DEPOUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/410d ago0-2FinishersPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-013d ago2-0DeviousPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-114d ago2-0Rare AtomOvertimeOT20d ago2-1DEPO20d ago2-0KaleidoPistolsPist3/420d ago2-0Rare AtomUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT21d ago1-2NEXVOID21d ago2-0Ground ZeroPistolsPist4/42mo ago2-0THUNDER dOWNUNDERPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-12mo ago2-0MindfreakPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-22mo ago2-0Ground ZeroPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0DXAStompStomp13-12mo ago13-1paiN4mo ago0-2

Rooster

MindfreakStompStomp13-1today2-0ArcadeUpsetUpset24d ago1-2MARKandLARRYOvertimeOT25d ago2-1Ground ZeroOvertimeOT26d ago0-2MARKandLARRYStompStomp13-228d ago2-0MindfreakUpsetUpset1mo ago1-2AbyssalStompStomp2-131mo ago0-2FURYPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB62mo ago2-0FinishersPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-02mo ago2-0MindfreakUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2THUNDER dOWNUNDERStompStomp0-132mo ago0-2AbyssalPistolsPist2/2StompStomp13-22mo ago13-2Ground ZeroStompStomp2-133mo ago2-1DXAStompStomp1-133mo ago2-1Ground ZeroPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT3mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Ground Zero#1194-06-17
FlyQuest vs Ground Zero
Jul 19WDust213-6Anubis13-5Jul 17WDust213-7Anubis13-6
Rooster vs Ground Zero
Aug 28LAnubis4-13Nuke15-19Jun 18WNuke2-13Anubis13-11Mirage13-11Jun 16LMirage10-13Dust213-16
+7 earlier meetings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#1214-00-6
FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 18WDust213-10Nuke13-1Jun 4WAnubis13-10Inferno13-3
Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 17LAnubis4-13Nuke0-13Feb 8LOverpass6-13Nuke10-13Jan 31LAnubis4-13Nuke1-13
Alter Ego#1281-20-2
FlyQuest vs Alter Ego
Mar 12LOverpass8-13Anubis13-9Dust213-16
Rooster vs Alter Ego
May 2LNuke5-13Overpass9-13
Finishers#1882-02-0
FlyQuest vs Finishers
Sep 10WNuke13-0Cache13-11
Rooster vs Finishers
Aug 3WDust213-4Anubis13-0
Mindfreak#1902-07-7
FlyQuest vs Mindfreak
Jul 18WNuke13-2Inferno13-3
Rooster vs Mindfreak
Sep 23WNuke13-9Cache13-1Aug 11LInferno9-13Anubis13-6Mirage10-13Jul 17LNuke9-13Inferno14-16
+3 earlier meetings
DXA1-04-1
FlyQuest vs DXA
Jul 17WInferno13-1
Rooster vs DXA
Jun 17WInferno1-13Dust213-8Anubis13-5Jun 15WInferno13-11Dust213-6
SemperFi2-00-2
FlyQuest vs SemperFi
Apr 2WAncient16-13Anubis13-4
Rooster vs SemperFi
Mar 23LDust25-13Mirage4-13

Map lab

FlyQuest69%to win the Bo3 · most likely FlyQuest 2-0
If the veto goes
FlyQuest 69%how the series ends31% Rooster
44%2-011%
24%2-120%
Map 1AnubisFlyQuest pick
FlyQuest70%19-4vsRooster30%11-6
83%Win65%
62%CT54%
63%T48%
61%Pistol44%
81%Conv100%
Map 2Dust2Rooster pick
FlyQuest63%16-6vsRooster37%13-9
73%Win59%
58%CT57%
59%T53%
50%Pistol50%
86%Conv77%
Map 3Cachedecider
FlyQuest54%4-0vsRooster46%2-0
100%Win100%
63%CT100%
82%T58%
63%Pistol100%
100%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FlyQuestAnubisRooster
62%CT side54%
63%T side48%
61%Pistol44%
81%After win100%
39%After loss0%
FlyQuestDust2Rooster
58%CT side57%
59%T side53%
50%Pistol50%
86%After win77%
41%After loss18%
FlyQuestCacheRooster
63%CT side100%
82%T side58%
63%Pistol100%
100%After win100%
0%After loss–
Pistol rounds56% · 50% · FlyQuest win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 88% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol37% · 10% · FlyQuest fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FlyQuest vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Rooster habitually bans Ancient, FlyQuest's strongest maps (Anubis, Ancient, Dust2, Inferno, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 54/54), not an opponent read, so expect FlyQuest to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapFLYROO
MirageFLY ban57%4-360%9-6
FlyQuest on Mirage
LNRG10–134mo agoLJiJieHao11–135mo agoLTYLOO2–136mo agoWEternal Fire16–147mo agoWNexus13–67mo agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–67mo agoWSteel Helmet13–68mo ago
Rooster on Mirage
LArcade5–1324d agoWMARKandLARRY13–1125d agoLMindfreak10–131mo agoLAbyssal2–131mo agoWFURY13–92mo agoWGround Zero13–113mo agoLGround Zero10–133mo agoWAbyssal13–114mo ago
AncientROO ban67%6-3n/a0g
FlyQuest on Ancient
LDEPO9–1310d agoWDEPO13–920d agoWSINNERS16–144mo agoL5star13–164mo agoLJiJieHao8–135mo agoWSemperFi16–136mo agoWJiJieHao16–138mo agoWMorningstar13–118mo ago
Rooster on Ancient
no recent maps
AnubisFLY pick83%19-465%11-6
FlyQuest on Anubis
LDEPO5–1310d agoLRare Atom10–1320d agoWDEPO13–620d agoWKaleido13–420d agoWRare Atom16–1421d agoWNEXVOID13–1121d agoWGround Zero13–52mo agoWGround Zero13–62mo ago
Rooster on Anubis
LGround Zero4–1326d agoWMARKandLARRY13–428d agoWMindfreak13–61mo agoWFinishers13–02mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER4–132mo agoWGround Zero13–113mo agoWDXA13–53mo agoWMARKandLARRY13–104mo ago
Dust2ROO pick73%16-659%13-9
FlyQuest on Dust2
WLFO 813–4todayWDevious13–214d agoWRare Atom19–1720d agoLRare Atom6–1321d agoWGround Zero13–62mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–102mo agoWGround Zero13–72mo agoLLegacy7–134mo ago
Rooster on Dust2
LMARKandLARRY12–1625d agoLAbyssal6–131mo agoWFinishers13–42mo agoWDXA13–83mo agoLGround Zero13–163mo agoWDXA13–63mo agoLLast Bullet4–135mo agoWZEVS13–85mo ago
NukeFLY ban50%5-533%8-16
FlyQuest on Nuke
WFinishers13–013d agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–12mo agoWMindfreak13–22mo agoLpaiN7–134mo agoWJiJieHao13–35mo agoLTYLOO8–136mo agoWChinggis Warriors13–46mo agoLChinggis Warriors11–137mo ago
Rooster on Nuke
WMindfreak13–9todayWArcade13–724d agoLGround Zero15–1926d agoLMindfreak9–132mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–132mo agoLGround Zero2–133mo agoWAbyssal13–74mo agoLAlter Ego5–135mo ago
InfernoROO ban70%7-347%9-10
FlyQuest on Inferno
WRare Atom13–420d agoLRare Atom10–1321d agoWNEXVOID13–721d agoWMindfreak13–32mo agoWDXA13–12mo agoWLiquid13–74mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–34mo agoLGamerLegion11–134mo ago
Rooster on Inferno
LArcade3–1324d agoWMARKandLARRY13–825d agoWMARKandLARRY13–228d agoLMindfreak9–131mo agoLMindfreak14–162mo agoWAbyssal13–22mo agoLDXA1–133mo agoWDXA13–113mo ago
Cachedecider100%4-0100%2-0
FlyQuest on Cache
WLFO 813–3todayWFinishers13–1113d agoWDevious13–114d agoWKaleido13–520d ago
Rooster on Cache
WMindfreak13–1todayWFURY13–92mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: FlyQuest Overpass · Rooster Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FlyQuest

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/61 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 61 maps they won, 15 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 5 downvs JiJieHaoDust2from 5 downvs 5starDust2from 5 downvs Rare AtomDust2from 5 downvs Rare AtomDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/25 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 11 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICNukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs Alter EgoOverpassled 4 · lost 8-13vs JiJieHaoMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs GamerLegionInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICNukeled 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs JiJieHaoAncient16-13vs Eternal FireMirage16-14vs 100 ThievesNuke14-16vs Rare AtomDust216-13vs Alter EgoDust213-16

Rooster

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/65 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 65 maps they won, 19 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakAnubisfrom 6 downvs AbyssalMiragefrom 6 downvs FURYCachefrom 6 downvs WYDOInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/51 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 51 maps they lost, 16 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs ArcadeNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ground ZeroDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs AbyssalOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13vs Ground ZeroMirageled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroNuke14-16vs ArcadeNuke16-14vs ArcadeOverpass16-13vs ArcadeOverpass16-12vs MindfreakAnubis22-20

FlyQuest vs Rooster FAQ

Who is favored to win FlyQuest vs Rooster?

FlyQuest are favored with a 78% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for FlyQuest vs Rooster?

Bookmakers price FlyQuest at 1.05 and Rooster at 7.3 (implied 87% vs 13%).

When do FlyQuest and Rooster play?

FlyQuest vs Rooster is scheduled for 2026-09-25 09:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2.

FlyQuest vs Rooster Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER